OBS/Totals for 12/26-27 Storm

[jm1220]

Post obs and totals here. Good luck to all. 

Some guesses:

-Central Park 4.8", JFK 5.0", MMU: 4.2", HPN: 6.7", EWR: 4.0", ISP: 7.0", BDR: 7.3"

New Brunswick: 2.8"

Middletown NY: 7.5"

Newburgh NY: 7.1"

PHL 1.2" of crud, TTN: 1.6"-a little more snow but still mostly crud, ABE 2.1"

 

 

[Snowlover11]

Temps continue to drop. 
 

25F. My guess here in Rockland is 7-9”

[SnowenOutThere]

Hi y’all I’m a frequent poster in the mid-atl sub forum but due to circumstance I’ll be in NYC (upper east side manhattan) for this storm tomorrow! Excited to see nyc in the snow and practice photography with it. 

[SnowenOutThere]

Additionally, from a meteorological perspective this storm looks like it should be fun for the areas that remain snow for the thump. We have an extremely strong area of FGEN lift which should make for a good amount of lift. Only downside is the DGZ is not super large so may be a ton of flakes but not great rates. 

[jm1220]

25 here. 

[MJO812]

Down to 30 here in Brooklyn NY

Expecting 4 -8 inches for NYC. This will be very interesting how the banding will set up. 

[Stormlover74]

28. Should be one of those overcast days in the 20s where it smells like snow

[BxEngine]

Knyc: 2.4”

ewr: 4.2

lga: 3.1

hpn: 4.8

Upton: 6.8

somewhere in the oc hinderlands: 10.7”

[Brasiluvsnow]

Just walked the dog,,,,,23 degrees here in New City = that is all 

[NorthShoreWx]

Someone gonna get buried.  In 24 hours we'll know who.  Best chance is OC north of 17/84, but not ruling out on LI.

[rclab]

Accu weather has my Brooklyn neighborhood down to 28 while Central Park is 29 at 23:51. A 20 degree drop in 9 hours from the 49 degree reading at 14:51.. as always ….

[psv88]

14 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Someone gonna get buried.  In 24 hours we'll know who.  Best chance is OC north of 17/84, but not ruling out on LI.

We’re good for 5-7”.

24/11 now

[NorthShoreWx]

3 minutes ago, psv88 said:

We’re good for 5-7”.

24/11 now

I'm going 6 - 10.  Someone within 50 or 60 miles of here gets a foot.

Same T/TD here.

[jm1220]

4 hours ago, psv88 said:

We’re good for 5-7”.

24/11 now

 

4 hours ago, NorthShoreWx said:

I'm going 6 - 10.  Someone within 50 or 60 miles of here gets a foot.

Same T/TD here.

My guess for us is around 7". I think we do quite well but can see how we end up on the higher side with good banding or get relatively skunked sitting in a subsidence hole with CT getting hammered and us mixing with sleet. I think it's low likelihood here but can't be ruled out.

[snywx]

14/5 

expecting 8-10” here

[Snowlover11]

18/8

 

bone chilling cold. Up in the air on what to expect here. Could be 4-8”, 5-9” I’ll say right around 7” is my bet.

[MJO812]

23 here

[BoulderWX]

17 degrees

[jm1220]

20 here. 

[495weatherguy]

18 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

20 here. 

Are you concerned for the inevitable “warm nose” that always seems to catch meteorologists off guard?

[jm1220]

Just now, 495weatherguy said:

Are you concerned for the inevitable “warm nose” that always seems to catch meteorologists off guard?

In an overrunning driven storm like this? Always. I’m thinking it’s less than 50-50 that my area goes to sleet but wouldn’t shock me if it happened. NAM may be too warm in the mid levels but I’m confident it’s closer to right than the colder models. 

[495weatherguy]

1 minute ago, jm1220 said:

In an overrunning driven storm like this? Always. I’m thinking it’s less than 50-50 that my area goes to sleet but wouldn’t shock me if it happened. NAM may be too warm in the mid levels but I’m confident it’s closer to right than the colder models. 

Thank you for the explanation. 
Never surprised by the sleet mixing in

[BxEngine]

24 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

In an overrunning driven storm like this? Always. I’m thinking it’s less than 50-50 that my area goes to sleet but wouldn’t shock me if it happened. NAM may be too warm in the mid levels but I’m confident it’s closer to right than the colder models. 

This is my thinking too. Nam is prob too aggressive, but its most likely closer to reality than the coldest models. From southern bk and queens on a rough line through my area and a bit further west id be shocked if we didnt go to sleet long enough to cut accums by a decent amount.

[ForestHillWx]

15/4 as I just posted in the main thread.

We are under a WSW, with point click at 4-6”; candidly I think we come up short of that range.

Good luck to those east of me. 

[BlizzLuv]

23F

[Snowlover11]

35 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

This is my thinking too. Nam is prob too aggressive, but its most likely closer to reality than the coldest models. From southern bk and queens on a rough line through my area and a bit further west id be shocked if we didnt go to sleet long enough to cut accums by a decent amount.

Timing will tell but I dont believe we get hurt much by sleet up here, if we do it’s after the heaviest rates.

[donsutherland1]

For fun, my point estimate for Central Park is 5.8" with a general 4"-8" in and around the City.

[EastonSN+]

17 degrees.

[Brian5671]

upton going 5-9 here-all will depend on banding...

[MJO812]

1 hour ago, BxEngine said:

This is my thinking too. Nam is prob too aggressive, but its most likely closer to reality than the coldest models. From southern bk and queens on a rough line through my area and a bit further west id be shocked if we didnt go to sleet long enough to cut accums by a decent amount.

Its not a strong storm for sleet to rush in. We should be fine.