26th-27th event, coming at us like a wounded duck.

[CoastalWx]

19 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Surprised nothing from scooter, most models give him a couple now. Would be good for holiday cheer 

Haven’t looked yet. We eat and drink. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

18 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

I think the real guidance ticks back SW at 18z 

Sey-Mour Sleet

[ineedsnow]

NAM!!!! 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Track yes, but I think we will see a broader expansion of snow on the NE side of the storm.

I think the accumulating snow stops at the NE CT border 

[mob1]

ICON

[Snowcrazed71]

I'll tell you what.... it's fun watching all this unfold ( even though I'm going to miss it all ) We're leaving around 3:00 in the morning tonight for Canada and we'll be back on Tuesday. So I'll miss the snow, and then I'll miss the rain ( which will be melting some of the snow away ). But my gut is not all the snow will be melted as the temperatures don't look to be super warm when it rains on Sunday night. I guess I'll see you when I get back. Hopefully they'll be something next weekend. I'm still glad to see there's a good thump of snow coming for Connecticut and all my peeps on here. I'll live vicariously through your posts.. lol

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Actually upon further inspection I think plowable gets to about 1 mile south of Methuen should see about 40/70 % cirrus clouds there. 

[mob1]

RGEM

[ORH_wxman]

Icon and Rgem look very similar to 12z. Rgem might have been a hair NE with the heaviest stuff and icon a hair SW. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Actually upon further inspection I think plowable gets to about 1 mile south of Methuen should see about 40/70 % cirrus clouds 

It wasn't funny at first, but the 40/70 % addition changed that 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It wasn't funny at first, but the 40/70 % addition changed that 

Ha I figured you’d enjoy that more 

[ORH_wxman]

This is gonna be a crazy battle between the mid and upper level support for heavy snow and the obscene dry arctic air to the northeast. 
 

I’m looking at several different models right now and almost all of them are punching some serious lift, fronto, and dPVA well into SNE, but the further northeast you go, it just fights that ridiculous low level arctic air. There’s gonna be crazy Virga on the northeast side. Prob the type of system where you have Virga under 15-20 dbz returns. 

[Modfan2]

7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

This is gonna be a crazy battle between the mid and upper level support for heavy snow and the obscene dry arctic air to the northeast. 
 

I’m looking at several different models right now and almost all of them are punching some serious lift, fronto, and dPVA well into SNE, but the further northeast you go, it just fights that ridiculous low level arctic air. There’s gonna be crazy Virga on the northeast side. Prob the type of system where you have Virga under 15-20 dbz returns. 

Hopefully that drier air is closer to Central/Eastern Ma

[Baroclinic Zone]

15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

This is gonna be a crazy battle between the mid and upper level support for heavy snow and the obscene dry arctic air to the northeast. 
 

I’m looking at several different models right now and almost all of them are punching some serious lift, fronto, and dPVA well into SNE, but the further northeast you go, it just fights that ridiculous low level arctic air. There’s gonna be crazy Virga on the northeast side. Prob the type of system where you have Virga under 15-20 dbz returns. 

Quite remarkable how cold the lowest levels are. If we get into that fronto omega than we should do fine but otherwise it’s as you said. Virga.

[OrangeCTWX]

A little concerned about how quickly the heavy stuff moves through not going to lie.  It could be 2-3 hours of the good stuff and then just light snow after? Maybe I’m just being paranoid lol

[Brian5671]

2 minutes ago, OrangeCTWX said:

A little concerned about how quickly the heavy stuff moves through not going to lie.  It could be 2-3 hours of the good stuff and then just light snow after? Maybe I’m just being paranoid lol

Probably get 3~4 quick inches with that then maybe another 1-2

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, OrangeCTWX said:

A little concerned about how quickly the heavy stuff moves through not going to lie.  It could be 2-3 hours of the good stuff and then just light snow after? Maybe I’m just being paranoid lol

It’s probably true. Heavy snow for 3 hours is going to give you like a quick 4-5” and then you grab a couple on either side of it, there’s your warning event. People shouldn’t be expecting double digits in this. They might happen, but probably because banding was even stronger than anticipated and you never know quite where the best bands will set up. 

[Hoth]

4 minutes ago, OrangeCTWX said:

A little concerned about how quickly the heavy stuff moves through not going to lie.  It could be 2-3 hours of the good stuff and then just light snow after? Maybe I’m just being paranoid lol

Just be thankful for every flake man. They’ve been hard won. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

4 minutes ago, OrangeCTWX said:

A little concerned about how quickly the heavy stuff moves through not going to lie.  It could be 2-3 hours of the good stuff and then just light snow after? Maybe I’m just being paranoid lol

That’s been the thought for a while .. I think 3-6” with the meaty band then maybe 1-3” on either side of that .. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Nov 2018 was 6-8” in like a 3-4 hour window off WAA

[weatherwiz]

Updated map and even a blog post

https://weatherwiz.blogspot.com/2025/12/friday-december-26-2025-southern-new.html

[OrangeCTWX]

9 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Just be thankful for every flake man. They’ve been hard won. 

True that   Definitely looking forward to what I hope is a wall of snow.

[mob1]

I give up guessing. I'll get what I get. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Updated map and even a blog post

https://weatherwiz.blogspot.com/2025/12/friday-december-26-2025-southern-new.html

Nicely done 

[TalcottWx]

3 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Yep 

Simsbury

[NorEastermass128]

6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Updated map and even a blog post

https://weatherwiz.blogspot.com/2025/12/friday-december-26-2025-southern-new.html

Like a dagger through my heart. Oh well. 

[TalcottWx]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Haven’t looked yet. We eat and drink. 

I read amwx inside in law bathroom. 

[8611Blizz]

9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Updated map and even a blog post

https://weatherwiz.blogspot.com/2025/12/friday-december-26-2025-southern-new.html

It look like scooter will be able.to see that 1-2" out his window.

[ORH_wxman]

18z GFS looks a hair SW of 12z. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

18z hir res RGEM slightly more robust for eastern folks