Baroclinic Zone Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Im bringing my juju back for this one. Let’s talk about the shortwave traversing across the northern tier states and crossing the area on the 23rd. High pressure is overhead and we have a fresh antecedent airmass cold enough to support frozen precip. High pressure pushes south and we get that moist southerly return air just as system is moving in. Potential is there for advisory level snows for a broad area. Also seeing some potential for redevelopment or inverted trough as system pushes offshore. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Its beginning to look alot like Christmas Congrats Jeffafafafa to Dendrite and everyone else 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: If bringing my juju back for this one. Let’s talk about the shortwave traversing across the northern tier states and crossing the area on the 23rd. High pressure is overhead and we have a fresh antecedent airmass cold enough to support frozen precip. High pressure pushes south and we get that moist southerly return air just as system is moving in. Potential is there for advisory level snows for a broad area. Also seeing some potential for redevelopment or inverted trough as system pushes offshore. You have “If bringing my juju back”…I think you mean “I’m” bringing my juju back…right? Correct that so the snow gods don’t punish us for poor grammar..please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Yeah I just took a look at the guidance and consensus is growing on a nice 2-4” event. And since it will be cold enough afterwards, that means we’d get a White Christmas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: You have “If bringing my juju back”…I think you mean “I’m” bringing my juju back…right? Correct that so the snow gods don’t punish us for poor grammar..please I remember when people complained about the Juju word back on Eastern. Lol There was no Grinch storm instead its a Christmas miracle. Festivus for the rest of us. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago I would like to see continued improvement on guidance and not a LBSW thing today. 6z moved towards it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I would like to see continued improvement on guidance and not a LBSW thing today. 6z moved towards it. 6z moved to a LBSW, or toward the better look? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: 6z moved to a LBSW, or toward the better look? 6z moved to a more widespread look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 6z moved to a more widespread look. Ok, thanks Scott. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Looks like 12z Nam won’t be that great for SNE. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Looking like a high end advisory or low end warning event up this way pair of 4’s on MOS Tues-Weds. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like 12z Nam won’t be that great for SNE. NAM at 72 hrs out…toss that into toilet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: 6z moved to a more widespread look. The EPS and GEFS are nothing like the ops. All kinds of red flags on the 6z euro with a 1007 mb low near PWM on the 6z EPS and weaker from the prior run. This is a weak low surrounded by surface highs, with no opportunity to amplify with the mid level flow compressing out of southeast Canada. Shrediola. 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Just now, WinterWolf said: NAM at 72 hrs out…toss that into toilet. Yeah would not worry about that with how consistent most other models were at 00 and 06z. Looks like it just organizes everything late. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 3 minutes ago, jbenedet said: The EPS and GEFS are nothing like the ops. All kinds of red flags on the 6z euro with a 1007 mb low near PWM on the 6z EPS and weaker from the prior run. This is a weak low surrounded by surface highs, with no opportunity to amplify with the mid level flow compressing out of southeast Canada. Shrediola. Perfect! We should expect a good storm now. Appreciate the take. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago There’s a late blooming miller b type distribution of qpf showing up on the ensemble guidance. That’s likely how this evolves… A local max at points west of CT river, and then points east in Maine with the weak/late redevelopment. Very weak system overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Perfect! We should expect a good storm now. Appreciate the take. lol “storm”. Yea go run with that to your friends. Tell them about the incoming storm. Moose fart is more like it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 2 minutes ago, jbenedet said: lol “storm”. Yea go run with that to your friends. Tell them about the incoming storm. Moose fart is more like it. We’ll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 4 minutes ago, jbenedet said: lol “storm”. Yea go run with that to your friends. Tell them about the incoming storm. Moose fart is more like it. Who pisses in your Cheerios every day. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Perfect! We should expect a good storm now. Appreciate the take. I know, again!!! I know there are times when things are shitty and just not going the right way and it is what it is. But between Jbenedic and A few others, he always takes the model runs that show the worst outcome but never posts anything that shows better outcomes. It's not about wish casting, it's about being realistic and showing both ends of the spectrum. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Who pisses in your Cheerios every day. TBlizz. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Icon is great 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Icon is great 12z Reggie also looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 12z ICON.also has a ice storm the day after Christmas 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Def not a big storm. Just enough to give a picturesque look for most on here seems likely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago The goal is to cover the grass. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago RRFS congrats NYC lol. Would not trust it at this range though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Gfs is nice for NYC north Still snowing in sne 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago We take gfs 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Op and AI gfs crank that inverted trough for E NH/M 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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