dryslot Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 12z HRRR is extremely bullish. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: 12z HRRR is extremely bullish. Bumped NE. I liked 6z better. But there will probably be more nowcasting than normal with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, dendrite said: Bumped NE. I liked 6z better. But there will probably be more nowcasting than normal with this. I thought that all along with this that’s what makes me hesitant until I really see where that band is going to set up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1" so far, still coming down pretty well....temp 29.8⁰ 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Dendy’s size getting bigger as more forcing moves in from west . 30.8 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: 1" so far, still coming down pretty well....temp 29.8⁰ See. Very nice. Your little hole doing ok. Enjoy. Looks beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: I thought that all along with this that’s what makes me hesitant until I really see where that band is going to set up This process has interested me since college when we 3 day tripped skiing Maine and were blasted by an unforeseen Norlun. The climo favored spot in the entire country for Norlun is your area. I bet you see near 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I’d be willing to bet there’s a band of 12-15” along the Maine coast 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, Ginx snewx said: This process has interested me since college when we 3 day tripped skiing Maine and were blasted by an unforeseen Norlun. The climo favored spot in the entire country for Norlun is your area. I bet you see near 10 On FB i have 6-10" and over yonder as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Pounding massive flakes 1.3” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: Pounding massive flakes 1.3” Nice .. send that NE later this morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Light snow has commenced in Greenfield. 29°. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 12z NAM came in decently healthier for this afternoon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: 12z NAM came in decently healthier for this afternoon. Just noticed that. Walk off HR. Bottom 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: 12z NAM came in decently healthier for this afternoon. Lol…maybe we should toss all these models, and just nowcast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Just noticed that. Walk off HR. Bottom 9 Not sold yet though. Hrrr still hideous. Rap still hideous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 12z NAM came in decently healthier for this afternoon. yeah, looks absolutely nothing like the 12Z HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Cloudy, few breaks, 30F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3k NAM being pretty healthy too gives some hope though that the 12k isn’t on crack. Both NAMs show the initial WAA dying out midday east of ORH, but it regenerates a very healthy precip shield as the forcing from the northwest (that gives NNE most of their snow outside the norlun) punches in. So if they are right, we’d see a lot of blossoming precip on radar this afternoon. Esp after about 2-3pm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: yeah, looks absolutely nothing like the 12Z HRRR Maybe it’s just me..but the HRRR hasn’t been very good imo around here. Thing jumps all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Maybe it’s just me..but the HRRR hasn’t been very good imo around here. Thing jumps all over the place. Its been awful up here, That's why i don't place much stock in other then a mention. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 3k NAM being pretty healthy too gives some hope though that the 12k isn’t on crack. Both NAMs show the initial WAA dying out midday east of ORH, but it regenerates a very healthy precip shield as the forcing from the northwest (that gives NNE most of their snow outside the norlun) punches in. So if they are right, we’d see a lot of blossoming precip on radar this afternoon. Esp after about 2-3pm. HRRR is lost on this as with other guidance. Earlier runs have me with 0.0" of snow at 9am, yet I have 1.3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, UnitedWx said: Make that .3" lol This is definitely the most torturous type of storm. In between the initial fronto and an inverted trof with warm lower levels and shit snow growth. Tough solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 3k NAM being pretty healthy too gives some hope though that the 12k isn’t on crack. Both NAMs show the initial WAA dying out midday east of ORH, but it regenerates a very healthy precip shield as the forcing from the northwest (that gives NNE most of their snow outside the norlun) punches in. So if they are right, we’d see a lot of blossoming precip on radar this afternoon. Esp after about 2-3pm. Is that for E MA primarily? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Better off taking the under 10:1 on ratios. I also don’t see how I eek out 0.25” qpf here but all the guidance showing it… On ratios - the risks are not BLtemp related but lift, weak snow growth, and scattered light precip. None of this bodes well to stack. 7:1 probably better hedge… Unless you get into the IVT this should be the story in eastern New England sans Maine and the far interior of NH. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: Better off taking the under 10:1 on ratios. I also don’t see how I eek out 0.25” qpf here but all the guidance showing it… On ratios - the risks are not BLtemp related but lift, weak snow growth, and scattered light precip. None of this bodes well to stack. 7:1 probably better hedge… Unless you get into the IVT this should be the story in eastern New England sans Maine and the far interior or NH. Snow growth and ratios are phenomenal here.. I do think the lift will weaken further NE unless in the IVT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago The shit streak surprise in SNE tells me expect some forcing to be robbed with the part two “lead” of the clippah. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Snow growth and ratios are phenomenal here.. I do think the lift will weaken further NE unless in the IVT Yea not talking about that. Talking about later… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 7 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: HRRR is lost on this as with other guidance. Earlier runs have me with 0.0" of snow at 9am, yet I have 1.3" Anything meaningful on road surfaces? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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