SouthCoastMA Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Euro tries to finger me an inch on Christmas eve like the GFS. Would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 13 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Damariscotta Destroyah You don't really need to use the R here, but "Damariscotter Destroyah" if you pause long enough between the words. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Ya models are going to struggle with the placement of the IVT but no reason not to favor the climo spots in the midcoast although I have seen jacks further west they are much rarer. Will be fun to watch moisture streaming off the gulf on radar wherever it sets up. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 6 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said: Ya models are going to struggle with the placement of the IVT but no reason not to favor the climo spots in the midcoast although I have seen jacks further west they are much rarer. Will be fun to watch moisture streaming off the gulf on radar wherever it sets up. The GFS and Euro are showing .90-1.35" qpf here, Ratios should be really high with this as well in the 12-15:1 range i think, These trough related set ups are generally good fluff producers. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago This is one of the most bizarre advisories i've ever seen. Winter Weather Advisory for sub-advisory snow. "up to two inches" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 13 minutes ago, dryslot said: The GFS and Euro are showing .90-1.35" qpf here, Ratios should be really high with this as well in the 12-15:1 range i think, These trough related set ups are generally good fluff producers. Ya the last one that really jacked my area was in February 2017? I think. Great ratios with that one iirc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 7 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: This is one of the most bizarre advisories i've ever seen. Winter Weather Advisory for sub-advisory snow. "up to two inches" Lol…they’re just covering the bases/their asses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 48 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Euro tries to finger me an inch on Christmas eve like the GFS. Would be nice Kinky 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 11 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: This is one of the most bizarre advisories i've ever seen. Winter Weather Advisory for sub-advisory snow. "up to two inches" NWS does this because of holiday travel to make folks aware. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 15 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: This is one of the most bizarre advisories i've ever seen. Winter Weather Advisory for sub-advisory snow. "up to two inches" I think it also has to do with the timing plus the increased holiday travel...just a way to increase awareness 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: NWS does this because of holiday travel to make folks aware. yea thats what i figured. i've seen a few weird ones like this in the past, and i remember one in November one time that was sub-advisory 1-3" but they put one out because it was the first one of the season, and it was right at rush hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: yea thats what i figured. i've seen a few weird ones like this in the past, and i remember one in November one time that was sub-advisory 1-3" but they put one out because it was the first one of the season, and it was right at rush hour. Yes, The first ones of the season too is the other period that they will do this especially if it affects the commuting hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Updated GYX map. Fingers crossed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 8 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Updated GYX map. Fingers crossed. Pit2 is in a good spot for this i think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Pit2 is in a good spot for this i think. I'd be happy with 5-8" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: I'd be happy with 5-8" Who wouldn’t be after what we’ve had the last 3-4 years. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 43 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said: Ya the last one that really jacked my area was in February 2017? I think. Great ratios with that one iirc Feb. 17 was a wonderful month, but if the event you've noted was the storm of 15-16, it was one of the most disappointed 6"+ snowfall in my memory, as it had been forecast as a much bigger dump. On Feb 11 a forecast 1-3 turned into 8" of 30:1 feathers with single-digit temps. Then 12-13 brought 21", bringing the pack to 47". The morning of the 15th, with depth at 44", our forecast was 12-18 - I thought "easy 50s pack, maybe even 60". As flakes began that afternoon, GYX chopped our forecast to 6-10, with the jack moving to west of Sebago. That 6.2 was heavier, temps were milder, and it only raised the pack to 46". My area (wherever I've lived) has been good at dodging IVT. We did get a surprise 2.4" on 3/21/92, but PWM had 11.4" and parts of Kennebunkport 2 feet. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 8 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: I'd be happy with 5-8" I'd be happier if it was further up and in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1+ pretty much locks in a White Christmas. Looks good for most. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMainer Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I'll take my 3-5 inches and let the southern Maine guys have the fun, I think we're in a slightly better position as things play out in the longer term 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 22 minutes ago, dryslot said: I'd be happier if it was further up and in. But I know what you really mean 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 27 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Who wouldn’t be after what we’ve had the last 3-4 years. Here comes the cracked out NAM run, jacks SW CT and LHV. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago NAM is hitting much of sne into NNE in the 18z run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Def a better run than the last several paltry runs....it has been the low outlier, so good to see some convergence. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spaizzo Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Here comes the cracked out NAM run, jacks SW CT and LHV. SOLD! I missed an almost an entire year (long story) and the winter before was nonexistent I’ll take it! . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 28 minutes ago, tamarack said: Feb. 17 was a wonderful month, but if the event you've noted was the storm of 15-16, it was one of the most disappointed 6"+ snowfall in my memory, as it had been forecast as a much bigger dump. On Feb 11 a forecast 1-3 turned into 8" of 30:1 feathers with single-digit temps. Then 12-13 brought 21", bringing the pack to 47". The morning of the 15th, with depth at 44", our forecast was 12-18 - I thought "easy 50s pack, maybe even 60". As flakes began that afternoon, GYX chopped our forecast to 6-10, with the jack moving to west of Sebago. That 6.2 was heavier, temps were milder, and it only raised the pack to 46". My area (wherever I've lived) has been good at dodging IVT. We did get a surprise 2.4" on 3/21/92, but PWM had 11.4" and parts of Kennebunkport 2 feet. Yes, that’s the event I was thinking of! Basically jack was right over my head in south Denmark where I was living at the time. I remember watching radar in awe as the GOM was deposited on my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Spaizzo said: SOLD! I missed an almost an entire year (long story) and the winter before was nonexistent I’ll take it! . Last 3 were pretty much non-existent for our area. I Haven't cracked 20" since Winter 21-22. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: NAM is hitting much of sne into NNE in the 18z run. Juicing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Nam joins gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, The 4 Seasons said: Last 3 were pretty much non-existent for our area. I Haven't cracked 20" since Winter 21-22. I did get a surprise 12-13” burger in Feb of 24…that’s been the highlight though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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