Saturday night/Sunday 12/13-12/14 Jawn

[penndotguy]

11 minutes ago, MGorse said:

I hear there is accumulating snow on the way. 

And not a messy slop fest that we’ve come to expect. Snow from start to finish for a change. 

[MGorse]

3 minutes ago, penndotguy said:

And not a messy slop fest that we’ve come to expect. Snow from start to finish for a change. 

Yup, although it is possible it starts as a rain/snow mix here. If that does occur, hopefully it will be brief. 

[KamuSnow]

19 minutes ago, MGorse said:

I hear there is accumulating snow on the way. 

Yes! I have an apperntment with it tonight! Just a little more work to do preparing the landscape, getting the straggler leaves etc. up. (Did most of it late yesterday). 

Tomorrow night should have a heart of winter feel to it, almost squeaky snow cold here.

The mesos are showing some "early" activity out ahead of the main area of precipitation, like around 7ish. Probably a mix to start if it comes in that early.

[RedSky]

The experimental new nam is going to cause headaches and nightmares with a 12z and 15z run time

It's mostly been indicating 4-6" area wide

Hrrr agrees

 

 

[Voyager]

1 hour ago, RedSky said:

The era of it always snows at night

That's the best for stickage. Even at temps above 25 degrees mid afternoon I've noticed melting on roads and sidewalks unless the rates are good.

[RedSky]

2 minutes ago, Voyager said:

That's the best for stickage. Even at temps above 25 degrees mid afternoon I've noticed melting on roads and sidewalks unless the rates are good.

Give me less stickage then squinting at a light outside at 4am to see the best rates

 

[RedSky]

How much for Philly euro kutchie has a 7" lolipop

 

 

 

[Ralph Wiggum]

Im in trouble at Point Pleasant. Sitting at a balmy 47F. 

[anthonyweather]

How much for Philly euro kutchie has a 7" lolipop
 
 
 

?




.

[Joshb32689]

My hopping around between Delco and Chesco over the last few years means this might be the first >3”, clean snowstorm I’ve seen since at least 2019. Bring itttttttttttt. 
Give me that high end in the Coatesville area please 
 

[RedSky]

9 minutes ago, anthonyweather said:

?




.

weathermodels map very different it's posted on the central pa side

Temp profile ratio kuchera different formula

 

[LVblizzard]

18z HRRR would make everyone very happy.

[BBasile]

Yay. 

[Duca892]

Saw WWA was upped to 2-4in later this morning. Nice nice nice for Whitehall. Sweet spots might be Bucks to Philly for this one 

[geeter1]

Philly area upgraded to a WSW...

[Kevin Reilly]

[LVblizzard]

5 minutes ago, Duca892 said:

Saw WWA was upped to 2-4in later this morning. Nice nice nice for Whitehall. Sweet spots might be Bucks to Philly for this one 

Very surprised they haven’t given a WWA to Carbon/Monroe counties. Models have brought some of the heavy banding into the Poconos.

[Hurricane Agnes]

Thar she blows!

Quote

Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
214 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025

NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-102-104-106-141000-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WW.Y.0015.251214T0000Z-251214T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0004.251214T0000Z-251214T1800Z/
Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Delaware-Philadelphia-
Eastern Chester-Eastern Montgomery-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of Camden, Cherry Hill, Moorestown,
Glassboro, Philadelphia, Media, Lansdale, Kennett Square, West
Chester, Morrisville, Mount Holly, Norristown, and Doylestown
214 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 3 and
  5 inches.

* WHERE...Portions of southern New Jersey and southeast Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will
  likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road
  conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for
the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

Some run that I saw yesterday showed what looked like this clipper zooming right off the coast like a Miller B and running on up toward New England.

[PhiEaglesfan712]

Heck, even Atlantic City is getting snow. That's been hard to come to by the last 7-10 years.

[Birds~69]

27 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Im in trouble at Point Pleasant. Sitting at a balmy 47F. 

Philly 44F, North Wales 41F

Usually don't like temps this high (>40F) before a storm but we should be alright...

[RedSky]

35F big gradient in temps

 

[Birds~69]

17 minutes ago, BBasile said:

Yay. 

"Heavy snow expected". Ehh...not really. I don't consider 3-5" heavy snow. Moderate snow would be more appropriate.....

41F/Cloudy

[Newman]

I'm surprised Mount Holly didn't mention "localized 6 inches" for the WSW. I also thought they might follow what State College did with Lancaster and York counties and put Berks, Lehigh, Northampton under 2-5 inches. Would love to read their latest AFD to see if they're just playing it safe or if they don't trust some of the latest short term guidance from the HREF, HRRR, and RRFS. It's also kinda splitting hairs I know

[Fields27]

Feels good to be on the right side of the last minute trends in models. Also not having to worry about the rain/snow line inching closer. Should be a fun one.

Sent from my SM-S938U using Tapatalk

[BBasile]

21 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

"Heavy snow expected". Ehh...not really. I don't consider 3-5" heavy snow. Moderate snow would be more appropriate.....

41F/Cloudy

They're referring to the rates. 

[LVblizzard]

We have just been NAM’d. 4-6” for most of us, jackpot zones of 6-8” scattered around SE PA.

[Birds~69]

1 minute ago, BBasile said:

They're referring to the rates. 

Ahhh....makes more sense then. 

Haven't had a clipper in a while but I don't remember heavy rates. Usually a light/mod 1-2/1-3"...

[BBasile]

Just now, Birds~69 said:

Ahhh....makes more sense then. 

Haven't had a clipper in a while but I don't remember heavy rates. Usually a light/mod 1-2/1-3"...

I remember a clipper that was probably 10 or so years ago (I think) that dumped 3 inches in about an hour.  And that was basically the snowfall total.  

[Duca892]

Really wouldn’t shock me if most got upped to 3-5in

[JTA66]

21 minutes ago, Fields27 said:

Feels good to be on the right side of the last minute trends in models. Also not having to worry about the rain/snow line inching closer. Should be a fun one.

Sent from my SM-S938U using Tapatalk
 

I was thinking the same. The trend of late has been for the models to dry up as a storm approaches. Couldn’t ask for a better time to reverse that trend.

Oh, and Ralph…hope you’re planning to spend Christmas at Point Pleasant.

38F/28F