The Return of the 12/5 Snowstorm

[Terpeast]

8 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

GFS looks to be pretty similar to 12z so far (though out West is possibly slightly improved?) Didn't matter, if anything the run is a slight step backwards with the energy being more ribbony 

Gfs may be more interested in the follow up wave (dec 8-9)

[JenkinsJinkies]

See, I told you it was too soon.

[SnowenOutThere]

4 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Gfs may be more interested in the follow up wave (dec 8-9)

Tbh that wave has nearly infinitely more potential as it’s not 3 separate ones in a trench coat pretending to be a real storm  

[mappy]

23 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

See, I told you it was too soon.

Don’t ruin the fun for everyone else. 

[mitchnick]

24 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Gfs may be more interested in the follow up wave (dec 8-9)

Gfs isn't interested in anything over the next week+ unfortunately except for a fast, compressed flow.

[nw baltimore wx]

28 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

See, I told you it was too soon.

 

4 minutes ago, mappy said:

Don’t ruin the fun for everyone else. 

Having separate threads also makes it easier to follow. Especially on a phone.

[stormtracker]

34 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

See, I told you it was too soon.

It’s 72 hours. We usually make thread 5 days out. 

[CAPE]

1 hour ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

See, I told you it was too soon.

Jinx bullshit is annoying.. bullshit.

This is a fucking science based forum ffs. Get a grip.

[CAPE]

I tend to cuss when I drink bourbon. Feels good.

[Solution Man]

Just now, CAPE said:

I tend to cuss when I drink bourbon. Feels good.

Love it CAPE

[SnowenOutThere]

Doesn't look the 18z Euro should cave too much if at all so far. 

[CAPE]

2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Doesn't look the 18z Euro should cave too much if at all so far. 

Very impressed with your posts lately. 

[pazzo83]

2 hours ago, mitchnick said:

Do you want to get banned?

lol these damn kids

[stormtracker]

12 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Jinx bullshit is annoying.. bullshit.

This is a fucking science based forum ffs. Get a grip.

This.

One of my pet peeves here.   As if the storm is sentient, pulls up the internet and sees a storm thread. "Welp, I'm not coming now".

[bncho]

17 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Doesn't look the 18z Euro should cave too much if at all so far. 

pretty close to 12z. Solid run. Heavier precipitation shifted slightly SE, but that's the only major difference.

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, bncho said:

pretty close to 12z. Solid run. Heavier precipitation shifted slightly SE, but that's the only major difference.

Solid run? Maybe some chunks, but solid?

[Weather Will]

Just now, mitchnick said:

Solid run? Maybe some chunks, but solid?

Solid my &@$@.

[Weather Will]

What is too bad is that we may waste a very anomalous cold shot coming......WB 18Z EURO for Friday.

[Weather Will]

For Friday, as forecasted by the 18Z EURO, the trough is positively tilted, too progressive.

[mitchnick]

6 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

What is too bad is that we may waste a very anomalous cold shot coming......WB 18Z EURO for Friday.

That's likely why our storm gets pushed east unfortunately. 

[NorthArlington101]

AIFS ens a very minor tick better, but when you’re talking tenths of inches, ya take what you can get. 

 

[Weather Will]

I mean an early thread jinxing a storm is silly, but there is really not a significant/ solid threat for Friday based on current guidance.

[CAPE]

Strong upper jet streak induces stretched/elongated vorticity ribbon underneath. Not going to get a widespread or major event with this, but rather a possible narrow corridor of decent lift that could produce a light to moderate event. Hard to say exactly where that might occur at this juncture but it appears it will be somewhere in our region or maybe even a bit south. Given the h5 look on the Euro it *should* be cold enough for a bit of snow.

[JenkinsJinkies]

16 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

What is too bad is that we may waste a very anomalous cold shot coming......WB 18Z EURO for Friday.

This level of cold anomaly is almost always dry. Too cold to snow is a real thing.

[87storms]

Jinxes are bs, but superstition is legit. I bought my last jeep in Nov '13. If things don't trend better soon, I might get another one.

[JenkinsJinkies]

54 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Jinx bullshit is annoying.. bullshit.

This is a fucking science based forum ffs. Get a grip.

I mean the atmospheric models are already showing red flags, which have been pointed out on this very page.

[mappy]

15 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

I mean an early thread jinxing a storm is silly, but there is really not a significant/ solid threat for Friday based on current guidance.

we just had a 25 page thread for sleet and cold rain. It’s okay to start a thread for this potential 

[mappy]

2 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

I mean the atmospheric models are already showing red flags, which have been pointed out on this very page.

So don’t read the thread