Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion

[sbnwx85]

Official stats from South Bend:

12.6” fell on Wednesday setting a record for max snowfall for January 14.

It is the 17th day in South Bend history with a foot or more of snowfall.

Another 4” fell overnight bringing the storm total to 16.6”.

These stats are taken from the north side of town, so my 11”+3” =14” here on the south side would fall in line.

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1237 AM EST THU JAN 15 2026

...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT SOUTH BEND...

A RECORD SNOWFALL OF 12.6 INCHES WAS SET AT SOUTH BEND YESTERDAY.
THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 6.0 INCHES SET IN 1985.

 

[Stevo6899]

26 minutes ago, dmc76 said:

7.3”  still snowing 

Our biggest snow of the winter gonna be when 1-2 was forecasted. Just goes to show how much the models struggle with phasing. It rained this morning in florida for the first time in weeks and the roads are slick. I can't imagine how bad the roads are there with temps in the teens.

[dmc76]

10 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said:

Our biggest snow of the winter gonna be when 1-2 was forecasted. Just goes to show how much the models struggle with phasing. It rained this morning in florida for the first time in weeks and the roads are slick. I can't imagine how bad the roads are there with temps in the teens.

Roads are trashed. Salt is useless 

[dmc76]

[dmc76]

Just a little off 

[Chinook]

So I guess this is the best storm Toronto has had in a decade. I'm not sure what any Canadian posters may have to say about this. I can't remember them ever boasting about 9.6" in the entire time AmericanWX has existed. 

and other storm reports of 6"-14.5" near Cleveland, 10"-20" by South Bend

 

 

 

 

[Stevo6899]

25 minutes ago, Chinook said:

So I guess this is the best storm Toronto has had in a decade. I'm not sure what any Canadian posters may have to say about this. I can't remember them ever boasting about 9.6" in the entire time AmericanWX has existed. 

and other storm reports of 6"-14.5" near Cleveland, 10"-20" by South Bend

 

 

 

 

Oh to be in that band north of the city right now. Prob 3 inches an hour and it's stationary. 

[Powerball]

6 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

I honestly think this is the biggest bust I've ever seen. The forecast the night before yesterday called for a 30% chance of snow showers. Then yesterday morning it was a 50% chance. No accumulation mentioned in the grids byt the forecast discussion mentioned a dusting to less than an inch.

Sounds like a general 5-7" in the Detroit area. Still lightly snowing.

The biggest bust was February 4-6, 2011.

DTW getting 6" exactly with this event though is funny...

[Powerball]

3 hours ago, Stevo6899 said:

Our biggest snow of the winter gonna be when 1-2 was forecasted. Just goes to show how much the models struggle with phasing. It rained this morning in florida for the first time in weeks and the roads are slick. I can't imagine how bad the roads are there with temps in the teens.

 

We had some surprise stratiform rain last week (it only amounted to a couple tenths of an inch) in the midst of what's been an otherwise extended dry spell, and yeah, the roads were also trash.

[michsnowfreak]

1 hour ago, Powerball said:

The biggest bust was Feburary 4-6, 2011.

DTW getting 6" exactly with this event though is funny...

Id call the two busts comparable. Feb 5, 2011 had a forecast of partly sunny and ended up with 4-6". Yesterday had a forecast of dusting to less than an inch and had 4-7

[sbnwx85]

Dog days of winter

[michsnowfreak]

6.2" total here. 24.4" season. Lots of drifting overnight. A shocking model failure. 

[Powerball]

1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:

6.2" total here. 24.4" season. Lots of drifting overnight. A shocking model failure. 

 

Out of curiosity, what was the total QPF?

At first inspection, it seems this also happened to be a powdery snow. So it was a combination of models busting on the timing of phasing and a bullseye of forcing right in the DGZ.

[Harry Perry]

My wife just said “This is what happens when the field is mostly men talking about inches - man math.” 

Ended up with 2.5” here. (An inch or less was expected). 

 

[sbnwx85]

On 1/13/2026 at 3:35 PM, sbnwx85 said:

Funny enough, this prayer was answered... I might have to start going to church again.

[Snowstorms]

4 hours ago, Chinook said:

So I guess this is the best storm Toronto has had in a decade. I'm not sure what any Canadian posters may have to say about this. I can't remember them ever boasting about 9.6" in the entire time AmericanWX has existed. 

and other storm reports of 6"-14.5" near Cleveland, 10"-20" by South Bend

 

 

 

 

Northern part of Toronto got a good 14-16" of snow today. The biggest storm we've had since January 2022. 

But I'm in Texas where it's a balmy 57 today. 

[sbnwx85]

Looks like 1-3" for just about all of us overnight into tomorrow.

[michsnowfreak]

1 hour ago, Powerball said:

 

Out of curiosity, what was the total QPF?

At first inspection, it seems this also happened to be a powdery snow. So it was a combination of models busting on the timing of phasing and a bullseye of forcing right in the DGZ.

Still melting it lol

[DocATL]

6.2" total here. 24.4" season. Lots of drifting overnight. A shocking model failure. 

Man early December feels like it was a lifetime ago.


.

[michsnowfreak]

4 hours ago, Powerball said:

 

Out of curiosity, what was the total QPF?

At first inspection, it seems this also happened to be a powdery snow. So it was a combination of models busting on the timing of phasing and a bullseye of forcing right in the DGZ.

0.34"

[Cary67]

6 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

6.2" total here. 24.4" season. Lots of drifting overnight. A shocking model failure. 

And once again ORD safely in the rearview mirror compared to DTX for yet another year.lol

[michsnowfreak]

1 minute ago, Cary67 said:

And once again ORD safely in the rearview mirror compared to DTX for yet another year.lol

DTW is 23.9" & ORD 21.5" to date. Long way to the finish line.

[Cary67]

2 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

DTW is 23.9" & ORD 21.5" to date. Long way to the finish line.

What was the last year ORD finished ahead? Given the trough position and pattern that's developed  I like your position this year. The further east the better. Would assume Toronto and Montreal have fared decently.

[michsnowfreak]

5 minutes ago, Cary67 said:

What was the last year ORD finished ahead? Given the trough position and pattern that's developed  I like your position this year. The further east the better. Would assume Toronto and Montreal have fared decently.

2020-21 (48.8" to 44.9"). ORD has only beaten DTW 5 times the last 20 years.

[RogueWaves]

On 1/14/2026 at 7:01 PM, roardog said:

Yeah. It’s rare to see a forecast bust that bad these days. Although my yard only had about an inch from this system, it was still a surprise. I wasn’t expecting much snow this morning and next thing I knew it was snowing very hard around 8am. I looked at the radar and there was snow developing all over the SE quarter of the state and I thought then that the forecast could be a bust. 

I remember quite a few busts like this but ofc that was back in the 80's

Canton finally did well too. 

[mimillman]

3 hours ago, Cary67 said:

And once again ORD safely in the rearview mirror compared to DTX for yet another year.lol

It doesn’t snow in Michigan 

[TheClimateChanger]

Incredible! The 5.1" calendar day snowfall at Detroit yesterday was the most in a single calendar day in nearly three years! The last time more snow fell in one day was March 10, 2023 (5.2"). Even more impressive, the 7.2" calendar day snowfall at Cleveland today was the most in almost four years! The last time more snow fell in one day at Cleveland was February 3, 2022 (8.0"). I'm sure many have been waiting for days like these for a LONG time!

[TheClimateChanger]

6 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Incredible! The 5.1" calendar day snowfall at Detroit yesterday was the most in a single calendar day in nearly three years! The last time more snow fell in one day was March 10, 2023 (5.2"). Even more impressive, the 7.2" calendar day snowfall at Cleveland today was the most in almost four years! The last time more snow fell in one day at Cleveland was February 3, 2022 (8.0"). I'm sure many have been waiting for days like these for a LONG time!

Both of these pale in comparison to South Bend, which saw 12.6" yesterday - the most in nearly 11 years (February 1, 2015; 14.7 inches). To put the amount of snow that fell in South Bend in perspective, Detroit has only observed two days with more snow than that since 1908 (18.4" on 12/1/1974 & 13.7" on 2/1/2015).

[AWMT30]

5 hours ago, RogueWaves said:

I remember quite a few busts like this but ofc that was back in the 80's

Canton finally did well too. 

Yeah we did do well here in Canton with 5.5"