Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion

[sbnwx85]

Official stats from South Bend:

12.6” fell on Wednesday setting a record for max snowfall for January 14.

It is the 17th day in South Bend history with a foot or more of snowfall.

Another 4” fell overnight bringing the storm total to 16.6”.

These stats are taken from the north side of town, so my 11”+3” =14” here on the south side would fall in line.

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1237 AM EST THU JAN 15 2026

...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT SOUTH BEND...

A RECORD SNOWFALL OF 12.6 INCHES WAS SET AT SOUTH BEND YESTERDAY.
THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 6.0 INCHES SET IN 1985.

 

[Stevo6899]

26 minutes ago, dmc76 said:

7.3”  still snowing 

Our biggest snow of the winter gonna be when 1-2 was forecasted. Just goes to show how much the models struggle with phasing. It rained this morning in florida for the first time in weeks and the roads are slick. I can't imagine how bad the roads are there with temps in the teens.

[dmc76]

10 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said:

Our biggest snow of the winter gonna be when 1-2 was forecasted. Just goes to show how much the models struggle with phasing. It rained this morning in florida for the first time in weeks and the roads are slick. I can't imagine how bad the roads are there with temps in the teens.

Roads are trashed. Salt is useless 

[dmc76]

[dmc76]

Just a little off 

[Chinook]

So I guess this is the best storm Toronto has had in a decade. I'm not sure what any Canadian posters may have to say about this. I can't remember them ever boasting about 9.6" in the entire time AmericanWX has existed. 

and other storm reports of 6"-14.5" near Cleveland, 10"-20" by South Bend

 

 

 

 

[Stevo6899]

25 minutes ago, Chinook said:

So I guess this is the best storm Toronto has had in a decade. I'm not sure what any Canadian posters may have to say about this. I can't remember them ever boasting about 9.6" in the entire time AmericanWX has existed. 

and other storm reports of 6"-14.5" near Cleveland, 10"-20" by South Bend

 

 

 

 

Oh to be in that band north of the city right now. Prob 3 inches an hour and it's stationary. 

[Powerball]

6 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

I honestly think this is the biggest bust I've ever seen. The forecast the night before yesterday called for a 30% chance of snow showers. Then yesterday morning it was a 50% chance. No accumulation mentioned in the grids byt the forecast discussion mentioned a dusting to less than an inch.

Sounds like a general 5-7" in the Detroit area. Still lightly snowing.

The biggest bust was February 4-6, 2011.

DTW getting 6" exactly with this event though is funny...

[Powerball]

3 hours ago, Stevo6899 said:

Our biggest snow of the winter gonna be when 1-2 was forecasted. Just goes to show how much the models struggle with phasing. It rained this morning in florida for the first time in weeks and the roads are slick. I can't imagine how bad the roads are there with temps in the teens.

 

We had some surprise stratiform rain last week (it only amounted to a couple tenths of an inch) in the midst of what's been an otherwise extended dry spell, and yeah, the roads were also trash.

[michsnowfreak]

1 hour ago, Powerball said:

The biggest bust was Feburary 4-6, 2011.

DTW getting 6" exactly with this event though is funny...

Id call the two busts comparable. Feb 5, 2011 had a forecast of partly sunny and ended up with 4-6". Yesterday had a forecast of dusting to less than an inch and had 4-7

[sbnwx85]

Dog days of winter

[michsnowfreak]

6.2" total here. 24.4" season. Lots of drifting overnight. A shocking model failure. 

[Powerball]

1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:

6.2" total here. 24.4" season. Lots of drifting overnight. A shocking model failure. 

 

Out of curiosity, what was the total QPF?

At first inspection, it seems this also happened to be a powdery snow. So it was a combination of models busting on the timing of phasing and a bullseye of forcing right in the DGZ.

[Harry Perry]

My wife just said “This is what happens when the field is mostly men talking about inches - man math.” 

Ended up with 2.5” here. (An inch or less was expected). 

 

[sbnwx85]

On 1/13/2026 at 3:35 PM, sbnwx85 said:

Funny enough, this prayer was answered... I might have to start going to church again.

[Snowstorms]

4 hours ago, Chinook said:

So I guess this is the best storm Toronto has had in a decade. I'm not sure what any Canadian posters may have to say about this. I can't remember them ever boasting about 9.6" in the entire time AmericanWX has existed. 

and other storm reports of 6"-14.5" near Cleveland, 10"-20" by South Bend

 

 

 

 

Northern part of Toronto got a good 14-16" of snow today. The biggest storm we've had since January 2022. 

But I'm in Texas where it's a balmy 57 today. 

[sbnwx85]

Looks like 1-3" for just about all of us overnight into tomorrow.

[michsnowfreak]

1 hour ago, Powerball said:

 

Out of curiosity, what was the total QPF?

At first inspection, it seems this also happened to be a powdery snow. So it was a combination of models busting on the timing of phasing and a bullseye of forcing right in the DGZ.

Still melting it lol

[DocATL]

6.2" total here. 24.4" season. Lots of drifting overnight. A shocking model failure. 

Man early December feels like it was a lifetime ago.


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