Panic Room 25-26

[paulythegun]

[Thanatos_I_Am]

You can almost feel the rug pull coming. Slow ticks north up until game time. Those of us in the district get our 3-5 inches of slop and the NW burbs/MD line pummeled. We’ve all seen this movie before 

[RevWarReenactor]

Go visit the southeast subforum. That despair is coming soon for the mid atlantic. People just don't know it yet. Moods are way too controlled by the latest model runs. When those change. Watch out. 

[H2O]

23 minutes ago, paulythegun said:

We are Horta  #teamhorta

[RevWarReenactor]

6 minutes ago, H2O said:

We are Horta  #teamhorta

Credit where credit is due. You called this first. AMped system. Mixing problems. 

[paulythegun]

Also the euro issue with the 18 hour dry slot (freezing drizzle slot) while people 50 miles north get pummelled

[paulythegun]

57 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said:

Go visit the southeast subforum. That despair is coming soon for the mid atlantic. People just don't know it yet. Moods are way too controlled by the latest model runs. When those change. Watch out. 

this post made me laugh so hard

[paulythegun]

1) Dry air limits WAA thump

2) Sleet mixes in almost immediately in the city

3) After a few hours of heavy sleet, we transition to a sort of purgatory dry slot/freezing drizzle situation due to the low position and the transfer happening too far north. 

4) Some light fluffy snow wraps around for 12 hours but the moderate band sits NW of the city until the coastal moves away and the band weakens and sputters through the city. 

RESULT: 1" of sleet washed away by sunday afternoon by the freezing drizzle

 

jk it'll probably be one of the best storms in 20 years

[paulythegun]

40 minutes ago, paulythegun said:

1) Dry air limits WAA thump

2) Sleet mixes in almost immediately in the city

3) After a few hours of heavy sleet, we transition to a sort of purgatory dry slot/freezing drizzle situation due to the low position and the transfer happening too far north. 

4) Some light fluffy snow wraps around for 12 hours but the moderate band sits NW of the city until the coastal moves away and the band weakens and sputters through the city. 

RESULT: 1" of sleet washed away by sunday afternoon by the freezing drizzle

 

jk it'll probably be one of the best storms in 20 years

the part i forgot: 

The trajectory of the WAA runs heavily north of the city, forming a finger-like stream of precip that stays north while the city stays dry for 12 hours

[dailylurker]

12 minutes ago, paulythegun said:

the part i forgot: 

The trajectory of the WAA runs heavily north of the city, forming a finger-like stream of precip that stays north while the city stays dry for 12 hours

Sounds like 2016 lol

[Thanatos_I_Am]

Things you’ll see in the observation thread Sunday: 

- The sleet line racing north ahead of schedule

- “Hearing pingers in College Park” (4-6 hours before they were forecasted to mix in)

- The folks in Frederick measuring snow in feet 

- DCA reporting a 6” storm total

- Various posts from new accounts asking how the forecast was so wrong 

- The same old “looks like the fall line was the cutoff” postmortem 

Cannot wait! 

 

[MN Transplant]

15 hours ago, Thanatos_I_Am said:

Things you’ll see in the observation thread Sunday: 

- The sleet line racing north ahead of schedule

- “Hearing pingers in College Park” (4-6 hours before they were forecasted to mix in)

- The folks in Frederick measuring snow in feet 

- DCA reporting a 6” storm total

- Various posts from new accounts asking how the forecast was so wrong 

- The same old “looks like the fall line was the cutoff” postmortem 

Cannot wait! 

 

I'm going to post the Correlation Coefficient to annoy @mattie g

[nw baltimore wx]

4 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

I'm going to post the Correlation Coefficient to annoy @mattie g

Include any early school closings.

[yoda]

1 hour ago, MN Transplant said:

I'm going to post the Correlation Coefficient to annoy @mattie g

An excellent choice my liege