The Iceman Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 2 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: 18z GFS reminds me a lot of Boxing Day 2010. A storm that was so painfully close in eastern PA. We got 16" on Boxing day, 10 miles away got 6". Insane gradient. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago oof Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago DT about to be Pounding his chest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago IMO, people are getting overly excited. Something maybe but some of these ridiculous total are just way far fetched. I'll be happy w/a solid 6" storm and then some cold... 44F 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago IMO, people are getting overly excited. Something maybe but some of these ridiculous total are just way far fetched. I'll be happy w/a solid 6" storm and then some cold... 44F Agreed. Its hard not to get excited with these insane solutions but like you said, it's even harder to get a storm of that magnitude in these parts. We fall for it time and time again. Especially this winter when models are struggling even inside 5 days. Not to mention we haven't been in the type of pattern that is conducive of big wrapped up lp's climbing the east coast. Almost everything trends more flat, strung out, and suppressed recently. I hope im wrong. I just can't forget the numerous head fake insane snow maps 5 days out just to watch it fizzle out to another "storm that was so close." Sent from my SM-S938U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 8 hours ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said: My top analog is 2/26/2010. Feels like a last hurrah (after a brief warm-up), and I think this will miss just north, with NYC having a historic snowstorm, while PHL gets 4-6 inches, and BWI/DCA gets close to nothing, as the winter is pretty much over in those cities. 23” with 50 mph winds out of the west with snow 2” an hour February 10th 2010. It was a MONSTER!! Never have I seen 50 mph winds out of the west with 2” hour rates for 2 hours straight a really crazy storm. It looked like a huyricsnd hurricane east of Ocean City Maryland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Yes, we’ve know the flavor of this winter and how the models are handling it for awhile now. Epic looks a week+ out only to start scaling back as we move up in time from there. My thinking is, the ceiling for this is probably a high-end SECS. Of course that means a nothing burger is still on the table. We just can’t know! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowguy66 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Who cares about DT 1 1 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, Birds~69 said: IMO, people are getting overly excited. Something maybe but some of these ridiculous total are just way far fetched. I'll be happy w/a solid 6" storm and then some cold... 44F It's the mid-range shuffle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Yall getting testy about 1 guy who has reasoning behind a storm not happening lmfao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago What always gets me is folks staring at an 18z vs a 12z model with 5 days to go and they get fired up that the 18z GFS has 31 inches of snow at ACY and only 3" at ABE....this is all model noise and meaningless! There will be a storm and there are many runs to go that will have it suppressed and those that have it going inland. Relax folks! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Fog rolling in. Nothing would please me more than coming out of this rainy foggy week with a snowstorm on the weekend. Cautiously optimistic at this juncture. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 57 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Yall getting testy about 1 guy who has reasoning behind a storm not happening lmfao we are all optimists not pessimists. Go post on his page and rave to your hearts content about how great this guy is. His forecasting is like walking with two left feet and trying tie his shoe laces with no thumbs. Hopeless 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 51 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: What always gets me is folks staring at an 18z vs a 12z model with 5 days to go and they get fired up that the 18z GFS has 31 inches of snow at ACY and only 3" at ABE....this is all model noise and meaningless! There will be a storm and there are many runs to go that will have it suppressed and those that have it going inland. Relax folks! Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said: Agreed. As far as LR models go, the typical pattern MO this year is the LR models show the MECS storm potential at 7-10 days.---lose the MECS potential at 4-6 days and then bring the potential MECS back in a diminshed capacity 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 6 minutes ago Share Posted 6 minutes ago Hurricane Schwartz is not impressed in the least with the threat this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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