Discussion OBS for minor to possibly moderate impact winter storm interior 4A Tue - midnight Tue 12/2/25, may bring first measurable snow-sleet to coastal areas including NYC

[SnoSki14]

38 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Eps also. A few inches but I doubt that.

You're getting white rain at best, surface temps are way too warm 

Probably have to wait til mid Dec for a light to moderate event. Seems likely we'll get something with coming pattern 

[wdrag]

I see just about everyone has tossed in the towel.  So for now it's the best global modeling in the world (EC-EPS ECAI) vs all the other warmer model runs.  

Results ahead... front end could be a little bit of accumulative fun for us Tuesday morning.  

Will check back tomorrow to see if my over reliance on these colder cycles have any validity going forward. 

[SHELEG]

35 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

You're getting white rain at best, surface temps are way too warm 

Probably have to wait til mid Dec for a light to moderate event. Seems likely we'll get something with coming pattern 

If we get the perfect track temps will come down.

[wishcast_hater]

I know it’s way too early for accumulation projections but The Weather Channel has me down for 5-8” and AccuWeather 3-6”.
One can only dream.


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[SnoSki14]

15 minutes ago, SHELEG said:

If we get the perfect track temps will come down.

High is moving out, antecedent airmass isn't cold enough. Track won't help. 

You need to be well N&W or elevated 

[snywx]

1 minute ago, wishcast_hater said:

I know it’s way too early for accumulation projections but The Weather Channel has me down for 5-8” and AccuWeather 3-6”.
One can only dream.


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As of right now every piece of model guidance has a general 4-7" from E PA/Sussex into Orange and through Putnam/Dutchess. The exception being the NAM. 

[the_other_guy]

Where is that 287 horse and buggy photo?

I dont think its our storm, but be ready to bust it out!