First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season

[powderfreak]

You have to feel fairly confident from SW NH to Dendrite to Dryslot.

[40/70 Benchmark]

10 minutes ago, DomNH said:

0z mesos not looking any cooler to me. Guessing the CF will end up somewhere between Ray and here. 

Yup. No question. Probably over Salem.

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

22 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Final Call:

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/11/final-call-for-tuesday-winter-storm.html

FINAL CALL:

FIRST CALL:

Well, I had got issue my Final map last night due to time constraints, so it is what it is....but the fact is that the data has changed since then. If I were doing the map now, the zones would be shifted NW.....the 4-8" area near I 495 would be 2-5" of slush, the 3-6" between 495 and 128 would be 1-3", and the 2-4" area over Boston would be 2" or less and the 2" or less area would be mainly rain. Will grade the map as is, but figured I'd issue a heads up that it's unlikely to verify.

[DavisStraight]

55 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

I appear to be on the modeled mix line.....hopefully I'll land on the 'haves' rather than the have-not's.

Im in the same boat, being near the coast in summer is nice but sucks in the winter. Will still do better than my old pit.

[40/70 Benchmark]

20 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

You have to feel fairly confident from SW NH to Dendrite to Dryslot.

Now I'll sleep better.

[DomNH]

FWIW, GFS came in colder at 0z. 

[ORH_wxman]

That was a pretty cold GFS run. A lot of snow in 495 region. Skeptical given the mesos but we’ll see if they cool at all. 

[moneypitmike]

Lots of smiles for people

 

[moneypitmike]

5 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Im in the same boat, being near the coast in summer is nice but sucks in the winter. Will still do better than my old pit.

You're closer to the coast there than I am here......Bath is above the peninsulas.  I'm north of Rte 1, just below Merrymeeting Bay.

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That was a pretty cold GFS run. A lot of snow in 495 region. Skeptical given the mesos but we’ll see if they cool at all. 

Of course it did...I just made a white flag post on social media. The models can F right off.

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Of course it did...I just made a white flag post on social media. The models can F right off.

lol, where you are? I woulda waited. You were so close even on some of the torchier runs. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

lol, where you are? I woulda waited. You were so close even on some of the torchier runs. 

I mean my map in general...but it is what it is. Will grade it as such.

[DavisStraight]

7 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

You're closer to the coast there than I am here......Bath is above the peninsulas.  I'm north of Rte 1, just below Merrymeeting Bay.

Local weather says your in a good spot, all snow north of route 1. I wasn't sure where you were, just remember boat pictures, lol.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Man, I'd kill to verify that GFS.

[WxWatcher007]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Man, I'd kill to verify that GFS.

I was just going to say..many would love for that to verify after the last 36 hours.

[WinterWolf]

15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That was a pretty cold GFS run. A lot of snow in 495 region. Skeptical given the mesos but we’ll see if they cool at all. 

Sniffing out the colder temps perhaps? 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

I was just going to say..many would love for that to verify after the last 36 hours.

Yup…back to 2-4” here on that GFS. 

[Prismshine Productions]

You have to feel fairly confident from SW NH to Dendrite to Dryslot.

Hi PF

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[Prismshine Productions]

WB kissing 20 already...

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[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Sniffing out the colder temps perhaps? 

It’s sniffing this out…

 

[DavisStraight]

9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Yup…back to 2-4” here on that GFS. 

You moved back to Feeding Hills?

[ma blizzard]

03z HRRR coldest run in awhile .. would keep most areas NW of 495/90 snow through 21z 

[Torch Tiger]

18z was 1-2", 0z is roughly 5-10".  fun

[Torch Tiger]

53 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Man, I'd kill to verify that GFS.

Is the "backlash" or wrap-around snow one of the fraud 5?   if we stay too warm and it's a rainer, that's the last hope

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said:

Is the "backlash" or wrap-around snow one of the fraud 5?   if we stay too warm and it's a rainer, that's the last hope

Yea, figment of the late Bruce Shwoegler's imagination.

[Spanks45]

Temp down to 19.9, coldest of the season so far....sadly most of what falls will be rain, good luck up north. Maybe next week will be kinder down here.

[TheSnowman]

1 hour ago, moneypitmike said:

 

 

I don’t know WHAT people are talking about with the models changing; Rhode Island was totally screwed days ago, Rhode Island was totally screwed yesterday, Rhode Island is totally screwed today, and Rhode Island is totally screwed with the GFS 0z.  NOTHING.  Has Changed.  

[40/70 Benchmark]

Funny, no one mentioned the EURO...it ticked a hair warmer.  Of course it will nail that trend.

[WxWatcher007]

32 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Funny, no one mentioned the EURO...it ticked a hair warmer.  Of course it will nail that trend.

Nail the warmth after completely whiffing on temps and then completely crap on itself with Saturday’s light snow that’s now inside 100h.