First Winter Storm to kickoff 2025-26 Winter season

[CoastalWx]

That’s definitely a better look for Worcester verbatim compared to previous GFS runs

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, dendrite said:

Still pretty warm llvls for a lot of SNE. 

It’s not developing the 850-925 lows as quickly as those colder looks. It just keeps everything ripping out of the south. 

At 78h, it has a closed 925 low off Delmarva but it’s due south winds here. Zero turning of the winds early on. Euro has a closed low off Delmarva at 925 with winds almost out of due east. 

[weatherwiz]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

That’s definitely a better look for Worcester verbatim compared to previous GFS runs

Heavier rates along the Mass Pike might be enough to pump enough moisture higher up into the DGZ and get better growth going 

[dryslot]

[bristolri_wx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Told ya .

Not really seeing "rains to Maine" on that GFS run except for extreme coast.

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Told ya .

That was a trend better for SNE than previous runs. Still warmish but it at least holds snow for longer…gives you maybe advisory snows instead of a quick coating. 

[Snowcrazed71]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Told ya .

Told ya what? It's looking more like the Euro now. It definitely shifted more south.

[dryslot]

Maybe one run had rain on the coast up here otherwise..............

[moneypitmike]

2 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

Not really seeing "rains to Maine" on that GFS run except for extreme coast.

i guess he said "to Maine" and not "through Maine".  North of Rt 1 looks fine, ftw.

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That was a trend better for SNE than previous runs. Still warmish but it at least holds snow for longer…gives you maybe advisory snows instead of a quick coating. 

As long as this trend continues. We don’t need everything else trending towards it today 

[tamarack]

8 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Good hit up our way still.

Probably too far north here for the good stuff, but we won't sneer at 3-4".

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Not even close for most around Boston and South. Need something euro like

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Good look.

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That was a trend better for SNE than previous runs. Still warmish but it at least holds snow for longer…gives you maybe advisory snows instead of a quick coating. 

I wouldn't worry about the OP details yet...like where we stand.

[dryslot]

12z GGEM goes over SE MA/Cape

[TheMainer]

2 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Probably too far north here for the good stuff, but we won't sneer at 3-4".

I agree, I think that's where we'll end up, enough to whiten the ground with a few inche, hopefully not enough to insulate it though. Think I'll sneak maybe an inch or two Sunday night and then it'll wash away.

[Lava Rock]

i guess he said "to Maine" and not "through Maine".  North of Rt 1 looks fine, ftw.

If he cant get snow, nobody can

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[TauntonBlizzard2013]

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

12z GGEM goes over SE MA/Cape

It’s really warm. Good snow confined to NW of Worcester to SNH

[dryslot]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

It’s really warm. Good snow confined to NW of Worcester to SNH

It was similar to the 12z GFS.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, dryslot said:

It was similar to the 12z GFS.

Similar but def warmer. 

[dryslot]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Similar but def warmer. 

Just based it off of the track, I don't generally dive very deep into the GGEM.

[ORH_wxman]

GGEM was even slower than the GFS to turn the low and midlevels out of the east. And it’s because of how it handles the vort. It keeps a strong vort tracking through western NY. You aren’t getting big snowstorms for a good chunk of New England like that. 

[ORH_wxman]

Euro is keeping that southern vort independent of the northern stream for quite a bit longer. These more amped models are trying to phase earlier so you get a big WAA surge out ahead of it. 

[powderfreak]

14 minutes ago, dryslot said:

12z GGEM goes over SE MA/Cape

Pretty big change from 00z.

We watch.

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Pretty big change from 00z.

We watch.

Huge actually lol, It has a bit of a hybrid look to it, Almost a bit SWFE ish on some of these runs, The 12z Euro should be of interest to see what it does.

[40/70 Benchmark]

11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Euro is keeping that southern vort independent of the northern stream for quite a bit longer. These more amped models are trying to phase earlier so you get a big WAA surge out ahead of it. 

Sell early phase. 

[ineedsnow]

I'm starting to like my spot for this... then a nice follow up storm on the GFS.. CMC also trying

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

I'm starting to like my spot for this... then a nice follow up storm on the GFS.. CMC also trying

I can’t believe it !

[ineedsnow]

UKIE kind of meh but high end advisory snows