mimillman Posted Saturday at 03:11 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:11 PM At least the NW flow had some dusters every once in a while. This is just a train wreck 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted Saturday at 03:21 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:21 PM Dismal near-term look, and that valentine's day storm that was looking promising for a few runs has trended away. let's fast forward to the 19th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted Saturday at 08:18 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:18 PM At least the NW flow had some dusters every once in a while. This is just a train wreck GFS gives us some beneficial rain at least. Something to hang your hat on. Nice thump for the northeast on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted Sunday at 01:38 AM Share Posted Sunday at 01:38 AM The AO index has been negative since about Christmas. The AO index isn't calculated based off temperature anomalies, but look at this plot of 1000mb heights over the Arctic Ocean vs Europe. The official calculation of the AO is based on 1000mb height anomalies (close to S.L.P. anomalies,) projected onto a loading pattern and doing the calculus. I would call it a very negative NAO, but the CPC values aren't so negative. And 850mb temperature anomalies in Greenland vs Europe and the USA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted Sunday at 05:26 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:26 PM Virginia is for snow lovers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted Sunday at 07:03 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:03 PM I'll take the 300hr 12z GFS run pleez. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted Sunday at 07:46 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:46 PM Zzzzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted Sunday at 07:52 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:52 PM The great VD storm of 2026 has yet to show its face. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted Sunday at 08:32 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:32 PM If only skipping ahead to late March weather could get us to spring early. Meanwhile, it is still winter in the northeast. Quite a respectable one for them so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted Sunday at 08:57 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:57 PM I know everyone here just seems to have mood swings with each op model run but the look on the ensembles in late February doesn’t look bad to me at all. You have Canada filled with Arctic air, a -PNA and the seasonal warming in the south as we head toward March. The ingredients are there for interesting stuff IMO. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted Sunday at 09:19 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 09:19 PM 21 minutes ago, roardog said: I know everyone here just seems to have mood swings with each op model run but the look on the ensembles in late February doesn’t look bad to me at all. You have Canada filled with Arctic air, a -PNA and the seasonal warming in the south as we head toward March. The ingredients are there for interesting stuff IMO. Its been a fantastic winter for cold, snowfall, and snowcover. Just need the cherry on top (big storm). Would love to see that end of Feb or Mar. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted yesterday at 10:16 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:16 AM Zzzzzzz 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 4 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: Zzzzzzz I concur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago 5 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: Zzzzzzz At least it's been a good kind of Zzzzzzz for some of us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Not just zzzzzz. Full on coma. Open the pools. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago March will be rockin' 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 25 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: March will be rockin' where? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted 15 hours ago Author Share Posted 15 hours ago Deep cold definitely eroding but per the weeklies the persistent warmth looks to remain in the west. Since Thanksgiving, except for 2 brief thaws, we have been treated to a continuous fresh, clean and glistening snow blanket (none of that hoping the torch passes to preseve a crusty pack) with nonstop cold. Feels like a Winnipeg winter. But whats been lacking locally is a real big storm (biggest was 6.2"). With the eroding of the deep cold and the getting to that time of year when real dynamic late winter/early spring storms can develop, its the transition from deep winter to gambling time. More risk, more reward type. Might as well buckle up, what have we got to lose? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago On 2/8/2026 at 1:52 PM, Baum said: The great VD storm of 2026 has yet to show its face. There it is: IN THE EVENT PRECIP DOES EXPAND WELL NORTH INTO THE AREA, ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BE IN PLAY LATE SATURDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY. AS A NORTHERLY TREND IN THIS SYSTEM WOULD INTRODUCE MORE POPS TO THE AREA, WHICH COULD BE IN THE FORM OF WINTRY WEATHER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago where?I’d guess Wisconsin and Minnesota. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 4 hours ago, ILSNOW said: where? I don't know. Just felt like saying it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PositiveEPOEnjoyer Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Wonder if @cyclone77 will tag 70 next week? I wouldn't rule it out based on recent model runs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 7 hours ago, cyclone77 said: March will be rockin' Severe or snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 37 minutes ago, frostfern said: Severe or snow? Hopefully both lol. March can be a very interesting month with a ton of variability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Multi-day mid-month blowtorch on tonight's GFS. It's not good to get that kind of stuff in February, so I hope it is overdoing the warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Winter about done? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Stick a fork in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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