Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[beavis1729]

9 hours ago, frostfern said:

So you would be happy with 3 one inch dusters in December followed by two months of arctic CAD and maybe a duster or two to offset sublimation?  Just keep a steady 3 inches with zero melting.  Stay below 15F so no melting on roads or dirty looking snow.

Yep. Of course I’d prefer more snow, but beggars can’t be choosers. 

I go to northern WI a few times each winter for snowmobiling and relaxing. That’s my ideal climate - every winter, you can count on frozen lakes and ponds, plus constant snow cover for 2+ months…it’s just a matter of how much. And they don’t salt the roads to death. Plus, the summers are nice - warm, but not overly hot/humid. 

[A-L-E-K]

Zzzzzzz

[Nelson]

Doesn't look like we are going to shake this northwest flow (west ridge) any time soon

[CheeselandSkies]

12Z GFS is disgusting. Endless CAD through the end of the run. Although *at least* the last 200 hours of each run of that model are a total crapshoot, I'd really prefer a different look at some point.

[Nelson]

All of the ensembles are pretty disheartening for any type of change away from the position of that western ridge - That look has been so f'ing persistent...

[DocATL]

12Z GFS is disgusting. Endless CAD through the end of the run. Although *at least* the last 200 hours of each run of that model are a total crapshoot, I'd really prefer a different look at some point.

I believe the GFS after its coup this weekend. Probably a perilous thing to do but we’ll see.


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[DocATL]

Clipper parade?


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[Malacka11]

Back to regularly scheduled low stakes programming 

[McHenrySnow]

23 hours ago, DocATL said:

I believe the GFS after its coup this weekend. Probably a perilous thing to do but we’ll see.


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What coup?! The GFS failed spectacularly. 

[ILSNOW]

23 hours ago, DocATL said:

I believe the GFS after its coup this weekend. Probably a perilous thing to do but we’ll see.


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GFS had no snow in chicago where over 6 inches of lake induced/lake effect has happened so far.

[DocATL]

Yeah I didn’t think we’d do as well as we did overnight. It failed. I spoke way too soon.


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[cyclone77]

Exciting times ahead.  Luckily that 0.4" we received should satisfy snow lovers around here for the next 2+ weeks.

 

[madwx]

Definitely feels like we saw that map a lot last year too

[RCNYILWX]

Regardless of what the long range stuff shows, maybe the 2015 Superbowl rematch is a good omen...

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[Chicago916]

So we do this LE again end of week? Looks favorable this side of the lake again interestingly