Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[Chicago916]

At 15-1 to 20-1 ratios, I think Chicago gets 20in+ with that run. Certified big dog potential. Everyone's eyes peeled to the Euro soon.

[Powerball]

It would be wild if the UKMET ended up being correct. 

One of the biggest busts of the century.

[andyhb]

Yeah you're all going to want to watch out if that phasing trend continues in the west with this weekend system. Potential for a major short range bust in the positive direction and a major winter storm for the sub-forum.

[Chicago Storm]

tell me what this looks like…

[sbnwx85]

Excitement building. It’s palpable 

[Harry Perry]

00z Ukie. Some lake effect interference around here but what a mood changer.

[cyclone77]

Will be a complete whiff for this area.  Southern and eastern sub may get a taste.

[andyhb]

41 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

tell me what this looks like…

[sbnwx85]

Euro another nudge north early on… I miss these days of play by play as the models roll in.

[Chicago Storm]

[sbnwx85]

Oh lawdy she comin…

[Powerball]

5 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said:

Oh lawdy she comin…

 

Take her all the way and completely relieve me from the pink.

Thanks!

[Harry Perry]

00z Euro 

[Snowstorms]

8 minutes ago, Powerball said:

 

Take her all the way and completely relieve me from the pink.

Thanks!

Going to be whole lot of pingers on Fri-Sat with that pesky warm air aloft and how quickly it moves north. Won't be enjoying that. 

[OHweather]

Pretty great trends at 500mb...

The PV over the Canadian Maritimes is pulling out a bit quicker, the northern stream diving into the Rockies is definitely trending more amped (with more amped ridging over western Canada/Alaska), there's better phasing, and heights are rising more ahead of the storm. 

[largetornado]

Looking like Ohio valley is going to get smashed. This trend bringing the ice further north could result in long term power outages due to prolonged and severe cold behind this

[Radtechwxman]

I'm intrigued and definitely keeping an eye out for this more phase trend to hold. Won't shock me if it trends back to less phased and way south though. Lots of moving pieces to watch. Would be a huge win for subforum. I would be happy just getting a few inches to cover ground before arctic tundra sets in. 

[Powerball]

EE rule lives on?

[A-L-E-K]

Congrats nyc

[Baum]

56 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

Congrats nyc

If nothing else it stunted our cold wave to about 24 hours

[DocATL]

Anybody honestly think there will be anything beyond mood flakes north of I-80?

[A-L-E-K]

1 minute ago, DocATL said:

Anybody honestly think there will be anything beyond mood flakes north of I-80?


.

the best model does, we have a thread now

[WestMichigan]

6 hours ago, Powerball said:

EE rule lives on?

Haven't heard that in a while.

[A-L-E-K]

8 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

Congrats nyc

[Jackstraw]

13 hours ago, sbnwx85 said:

East coast forum would be in shambles. Rooting for this.

I'm rooting for it lol. All models nudging N again. Ukie and Canuk full on warning criteria all the way to you. All the models backing off to varying degrees the deep H5 look dipping down into the far SW and even cutting off near the S Cali coast. More and more of this COULD allow for more phasing and a farther N surface low track, at least letting it hook more as it moves E. Yeah I'm wishcasting somewhat but todays 12Z runs are the first ones where they all give snow at least up to I70. Like I've said before, bitter cold with bare tundra ground irk me more than winter rain and mud  

[WestMichigan]

Euro isn't backing down.  All time record at GRR is 2/14/1899 with -24°F.  This gets us close to that mark on Saturday morning.

[DocATL]

Gonna be interesting to see the extent of ice cover in the lower Great Lakes in a week or two.