SchaumburgStormer Posted Tuesday at 02:47 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:47 PM Not hating the "snowpack in place, frequent refreshers" pattern we are in. Feeling pretty good for a white christmas. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Tuesday at 03:33 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:33 PM wouldn't be surprised to see 20:1+ in any good fgen banding with the saturday event 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted Tuesday at 03:48 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:48 PM Maybe a warm up towards the holidays? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Tuesday at 04:24 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:24 PM mixed bag with 12z guidance on the potential saturday event, icon and ggem p hot, gfs more of sliding duster 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
migratingwx Posted Tuesday at 04:25 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:25 PM 12z GFS still favoring a southern track, with the heaviest snows staying south of Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
migratingwx Posted Tuesday at 06:05 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:05 PM Euro has shifted north from earlier runs for the Friday and Saturday systems. 12z vs 6z bottom 2 maps below Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted Tuesday at 06:09 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:09 PM Lock it in. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted Tuesday at 06:30 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:30 PM The end of the Euro and GFS couldn't be much more different. The Euro has Western Ohio is in the upper 20's on 12/24 and the GFS is saying low 60's. Definitely la la land for both, but a large difference nonetheless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Tuesday at 06:34 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:34 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted Tuesday at 06:43 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:43 PM 12 minutes ago, WestMichigan said: The end of the Euro and GFS couldn't be much more different. The Euro has Western Ohio is in the upper 20's on 12/24 and the GFS is saying low 60's. Definitely la la land for both, but a large difference nonetheless. I wouldn't completely rule it out at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Tuesday at 06:44 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:44 PM sure why not^ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted Tuesday at 06:45 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:45 PM 1 minute ago, TheClimateChanger said: I wouldn't completely rule it out at this point. One of them is going to be wrong. Maybe both are, but both definitely can't be correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted Tuesday at 06:46 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:46 PM 2 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: sure why not^ Severe weather outbreak? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted Tuesday at 07:53 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:53 PM Snowpack will take a hit, but we need to eventually get out of the northwest flow pattern. Maybe it will set up a big dog for the New Year. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted Tuesday at 08:17 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:17 PM 24 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said: Snowpack will take a hit, but we need to eventually get out of the northwest flow pattern. Maybe it will set up a big dog for the New Year. I’ll stay here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted Tuesday at 08:26 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:26 PM You'd think that the amount of snow we have going into mid december would guarantee a white christmas, but the pattern going into the holidays isnt exactly favorable for snowpack retention. Going 40/60 odds, respectively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted Tuesday at 08:34 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:34 PM Not a big white Christmas guy if I’ve already put 20” on the ground by then. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted Tuesday at 08:57 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:57 PM Going to be another winter with I80 north crew constantly cashing in while us south barely miss out. Noticing all these nw systems bullseye me then shift north as we get closer. Bring back the south shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted Tuesday at 11:22 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:22 PM 3 hours ago, Baum said: I’ll stay here. I'm loving this pattern. Been years it seems since we've seen clippers parading like this. Also, the Pac hybrids are nice as well if we can get more of them. Seems like there's a better chance for a widespread score compared to a big cutter with widespread p-type/dry slot concerns. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted Tuesday at 11:32 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:32 PM Was hoping to go the whole month of Dec with snow cover. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted yesterday at 12:10 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:10 AM Wouldn't mind a little warm up if it means recentering the mean trough west of here so we can get some big dogs. Mid December 2013 warmed up prior to the epic period that followed. This pattern is cool in like January or February to maintain.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
migratingwx Posted yesterday at 12:35 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:35 AM A southward shift on the 18z Euro vs 12z below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted yesterday at 12:38 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:38 AM Probably going to see a lot of north and south wobbles. I dont like where I sit currently. Cutoff will be sharp and frontogenic bands always end up narrower than expected with brutal cutoff on either side. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted yesterday at 01:32 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:32 AM 53 minutes ago, Radtechwxman said: Probably going to see a lot of north and south wobbles. I dont like where I sit currently. Cutoff will be sharp and frontogenic bands always end up narrower than expected with brutal cutoff on either side. Yeah based on the last several.. any small changes upstream has larger impacts downstream 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted yesterday at 03:18 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:18 AM Pretty much inevitable there would be some form of pattern relaxation. The saving grace from probably not getting into a lengthy torch is the WPO is forecast to remain strongly negative, which keeps cold air discharge going into our source region. The EPO may head back toward neutral heading into Christmas week and then perhaps back to negative thereafter. I think with the likelihood of new snow on top of the melted and consolidated snowpack through this weekend and then the deep freeze for a couple days, if we can avoid a high dew point rain event, snowpack retention should be decent before a true pattern reload commences. Also with the -WPO that means CAA behind fronts should be fairly robust.Milder more zonal patterns often end up cloudy which typically isn't effective at melting much snow this time of year, again unless you get a couple days of high dew points. Even at over two weeks out, I'd lean towards Chicago having its first official white Christmas in a while. Sent from my SM-S936U using Tapatalk 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago Chasing tornadoes on Christmas would be a nice gift. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 1 minute ago, IWXwx said: Chasing tornadoes on Christmas would be a nice gift. Real flying reindeer and dodging 100mph plastic flying Santas, hell yeah lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 22 minutes ago, IWXwx said: Chasing tornadoes on Christmas would be a nice gift. 4 years ago OTD... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Couple days of cad and then we go Oregon mode until at least January Hot start will be a distant memory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now