Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[SchaumburgStormer]

Not hating the "snowpack in place, frequent refreshers" pattern we are in. Feeling pretty good for a white christmas. 

[A-L-E-K]

wouldn't be surprised to see 20:1+ in any good fgen banding with the saturday event

[Cary67]

Maybe a warm up towards the holidays?

[A-L-E-K]

mixed bag with 12z guidance on the potential saturday event, icon and ggem p hot, gfs more of sliding duster

 

[migratingwx]

12z GFS still favoring a southern track, with the heaviest snows staying south of Chicago. 

[migratingwx]

Euro has shifted north from earlier runs for the Friday and Saturday systems.

12z vs 6z bottom 2 maps below

 

[cyclone77]

Lock it in.

[WestMichigan]

The end of the Euro and GFS couldn't be much more different.  The Euro has Western Ohio is in the upper 20's on 12/24 and the GFS is saying low 60's.  Definitely la la land for both, but a large difference nonetheless.

[A-L-E-K]

[TheClimateChanger]

12 minutes ago, WestMichigan said:

The end of the Euro and GFS couldn't be much more different.  The Euro has Western Ohio is in the upper 20's on 12/24 and the GFS is saying low 60's.  Definitely la la land for both, but a large difference nonetheless.

I wouldn't completely rule it out at this point.

 

[A-L-E-K]

sure why not^

[WestMichigan]

1 minute ago, TheClimateChanger said:

I wouldn't completely rule it out at this point.

 

One of them is going to be wrong.  Maybe both are, but both definitely can't be correct.

[TheClimateChanger]

2 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

sure why not^

Severe weather outbreak?

[sbnwx85]

Snowpack will take a hit, but we need to eventually get out of the northwest flow pattern. Maybe it will set up a big dog for the New Year. 

[Baum]

24 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said:

Snowpack will take a hit, but we need to eventually get out of the northwest flow pattern. Maybe it will set up a big dog for the New Year. 

I’ll stay here.

[hlcater]

You'd think that the amount of snow we have going into mid december would guarantee a white christmas, but the pattern going into the holidays isnt exactly favorable for snowpack retention. Going 40/60 odds, respectively.

[Baum]

Not a big white Christmas guy if I’ve already put 20” on the ground by then.

[Radtechwxman]

Going to be another winter with I80 north crew constantly cashing in while us south barely miss out. Noticing all these nw systems bullseye me then shift north as we get closer. Bring back the south shift.