Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[SchaumburgStormer]

Not hating the "snowpack in place, frequent refreshers" pattern we are in. Feeling pretty good for a white christmas. 

[A-L-E-K]

wouldn't be surprised to see 20:1+ in any good fgen banding with the saturday event

[Cary67]

Maybe a warm up towards the holidays?

[A-L-E-K]

mixed bag with 12z guidance on the potential saturday event, icon and ggem p hot, gfs more of sliding duster

 

[migratingwx]

12z GFS still favoring a southern track, with the heaviest snows staying south of Chicago. 

[migratingwx]

Euro has shifted north from earlier runs for the Friday and Saturday systems.

12z vs 6z bottom 2 maps below

 

[cyclone77]

Lock it in.

[WestMichigan]

The end of the Euro and GFS couldn't be much more different.  The Euro has Western Ohio is in the upper 20's on 12/24 and the GFS is saying low 60's.  Definitely la la land for both, but a large difference nonetheless.

[A-L-E-K]

[TheClimateChanger]

12 minutes ago, WestMichigan said:

The end of the Euro and GFS couldn't be much more different.  The Euro has Western Ohio is in the upper 20's on 12/24 and the GFS is saying low 60's.  Definitely la la land for both, but a large difference nonetheless.

I wouldn't completely rule it out at this point.

 

[A-L-E-K]

sure why not^

[WestMichigan]

1 minute ago, TheClimateChanger said:

I wouldn't completely rule it out at this point.

 

One of them is going to be wrong.  Maybe both are, but both definitely can't be correct.

[TheClimateChanger]

2 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

sure why not^

Severe weather outbreak?

[sbnwx85]

Snowpack will take a hit, but we need to eventually get out of the northwest flow pattern. Maybe it will set up a big dog for the New Year. 

[Baum]

24 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said:

Snowpack will take a hit, but we need to eventually get out of the northwest flow pattern. Maybe it will set up a big dog for the New Year. 

I’ll stay here.