December Medium/Long Range Discussion

[jayyy]

Doesn’t get much better than the 0z euro / cmc combo for the I-95 metro corridor

[Weather Will]

WB 6Z 12K NAM for Sunday.

[RevWarReenactor]

Looks good now for a 2-3 inches of snow from DC to Philly up I-95. Just seems like the potential rug pull is high with this one. 

[Interstate]

The 6z Euro is perfect for my backyard

[LP08]

10 minutes ago, Interstate said:

The 6z Euro is perfect for my backyard

Sign me up as well.

[TSSN+]

Santa got his shorts for Christmas? 
 

 

[dailylurker]

31 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said:

Looks good now for a 2-3 inches of snow from DC to Philly up I-95. Just seems like the potential rug pull is high with this one. 

I was thinking the opposite. Imo it has some boom potential, especially from AA County NE towards South NJ. It doesn't look great for the snow drought areas.

[WxUSAF]

I’m modestly confused why WBAL in Baltimore has a temp range of 29-32 on Sunday. That’s the high and low. 0z euro has mid-upper 10s by 0z Monday. 

[dailylurker]

4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

I’m modestly confused why WBAL in Baltimore has a temp range of 29-32 on Sunday. That’s the high and low. 0z euro has mid-upper 10s by 0z Monday. 

Boomer news for boomers lol

I think we need to pull this baby out of the LR thread and leave this place for torch talk. 

[NorthArlington101]

1 hour ago, LP08 said:

Sign me up as well.

Honestly wasn’t a huge fan of the tick north. I’d take it obviously but would rather have some more wiggle room 

[kristia]

57 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Santa got his shorts for Christmas? 
 

 

Mele Kalikimaka

[dailylurker]

Just now, kristia said:

Mele Kalikimaka

Who are you? Ice Princess? Lol

[kristia]

Just now, dailylurker said:

Who are you? Ice Princess? Lol

Someone who thought moving to Frederick County would mean more snow. Womp womp.  

[Chris78]

3 minutes ago, kristia said:

Someone who thought moving to Frederick County would mean more snow. Womp womp.  

We've been in the screw zone for several years now. The last couple weeks have been comical and sad for our area.

Ready for reshuffling. 

[Bubbler86]

1 minute ago, Chris78 said:

We've been in the screw zone for several years now. The last couple weeks have been comical and sad for our area.

Ready for reshuffling. 

Sitting at a sweet 1/2" here.  Moderate elevation means nothing in this area. 

[TSSN+]

9 minutes ago, kristia said:

Someone who thought moving to Frederick County would mean more snow. Womp womp.  

It will eventually pay off… hopefully 

[WxUSAF]

I’d vote for a thread for Sunday 

[MDScienceTeacher]

33 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

Boomer news for boomers lol

I think we need to pull this baby out of the LR thread and leave this place for torch talk. 

I agree. Btw this event reminds me of one of the events we had in 2015.. I think it was the Valentine’s Day snow squalls. 
 

that event was modeled as snow showers right up until the short range models started picking up on squall lines and coastal development.  I remember some places in Hartford county seeing 4-6 inches in a very short period of time.

 

the official Bwi total was 2.5 inches. 
 

here is a link to foots forecast for that storm.  I couldn’t find much on it.. others than this 

 

https://www.facebook.com/ffcentralmaryland/photos/730-am-214-something-wicked-this-way-comes-and-we-hope-you-are-well-aware-of-the/10152687024933857/?http_ref=eyJ0cyI6MTc2NTQ1Nzk1ODAwMCwiciI6Imh0dHBzOlwvXC93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbVwvIn0%3D

[TSSN+]

5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

I’d vote for a thread for Sunday 

Done 

 

 

[Benjamn3]

1 hour ago, TSSN+ said:

Santa got his shorts for Christmas? 
 

 

That shit makes me want to puke. I keep talking to myself in the mirror “it’s still two weeks it’s gonna be ok”. 

[H2O]

JFC the model flipped 3 times yesterday for what it showed on Xmas.  I trust it as much as i trust the Commanders defense to stop my kids high school offense.  Could it be 70s?  Sure.  Could it be 33 and rain?  Sure

 

But until the pattern sets for any length of time I'll dust off the oldie but goodie "we just won't know"

[WxUSAF]

1 minute ago, H2O said:

JFC the model flipped 3 times yesterday for what it showed on Xmas.  I trust it as much as i trust the Commanders defense to stop my kids high school offense.  Could it be 70s?  Sure.  Could it be 33 and rain?  Sure

 

But until the pattern sets for any length of time I'll dust off the oldie but goodie "we just won't know"

Seems safe now that above normal temps are coming starting late next week and into Xmas week. But with lots of cold air in Canada, we certainly could have a cold couple days behind any cold fronts. 

[mattie g]

8 hours ago, TowsonWeather said:

I would prostitute my mother on the nearest street corner for 3.5 inches of snow.

That's like...2 inches short of our biggest snowstorm IMBY in years, lol.

She loves you so much that she would do it on her own.

[Chris78]

22 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Sitting at a sweet 1/2" here.  Moderate elevation means nothing in this area. 

.7 here.

With the warm up coming there's a chance that's it heading into next month lol

[Bubbler86]

Just now, Chris78 said:

.7 here.

With the warm up coming there's a chance that's it heading into next month lol

Yea, wasted cold. 

[H2O]

1 minute ago, WxUSAF said:

Seems safe now that above normal temps are coming starting late next week and into Xmas week. But with lots of cold air in Canada, we certainly could have a cold couple days behind any cold fronts. 

I'm no euro hugger but even that mutes the ridge blob by xmas and doesn't have it as far east as the GFS.  And AN temps are low 50s so thats fine.  

[TowsonWeather]

3 hours ago, H2O said:

I'm no euro hugger but even that mutes the ridge blob by xmas and doesn't have it as far east as the GFS.  And AN temps are low 50s so thats fine.  

 

[H2O]

True dat

[winter_warlock]

6 hours ago, TSSN+ said:

Santa got his shorts for Christmas? 
 

 

Only a bovine moron would  believe a model 2 weeks out lol

[mitchnick]

Euro operational has cold returning with a vengeance the 26th. Eps? Naso much.