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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread


Torch Tiger
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7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It’s unfortunate we melt it all later this week but I still think the 21-24 or so offer a chance or two. 

When you loop the ensembles, the ridge axis never makes it here. That could be ripe for a good overrunning or SWFE

 

IMG_4210.gif

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1 hour ago, mahk_webstah said:

I’m talking about the low that’s over Newfoundland. Move it 250 miles northeast allows a storm to climb the coast doesn’t it?  And even stall with all that blocking.

I need my coffee before I post…lol

I originally read it as move it south 250 miles. :stein:

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6 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Some warmth aloft 

Not really.  If aloft is 925 maybe zr but if it’s 850 it’s likely sleet.  Kind of reminds me of the gtg at Clarkes Boston a week before Christmas in 2017.  Guidance universally had a huge torch starting in 5 days.  Scooter and Will pulled up the 84 hour NAM which indicated the CAD signals. Got cut off at the pass with some ice and snow followed by deep cold for a few weeks.

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