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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread


Torch Tiger
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6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We don't know yet.

Correct.  

 

5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

It’s definitely nice to see a solid euro run, however, the gfs and icon along with the gefs being a whiff should give everyone pause, especially given what we’ve seen in this flow 

The icon? Lol. 

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20 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

LOL is right,  same as citing the NAM at this range... without caveats 

The ICON I swear has ideas close to the end result on some events in the 120-150 range when the GFS/CMC are just totally lost but it might just be selective memory by me or the fact at that range its made a few hits and I remember them.  The NAM used to have biases/tendencies at 72-84 that gave you a feel for things but its been a good 8-10 years now since those worked.  I think upgrades to it ended that and now it often just shows oddball things but I can never find consistent biases anymore like I used to.  

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Surprisingly nice event here. As of this morning, we were supposed to have a little bit of snow mixing and then totaling less than 1 inch. As it has happened, we have nice snow growth fluffy accumulating snow. At 2 inches now it’s still coming down steadily 28°. An over performer and a few degrees colder than predicted. Let that be our trend this winter.

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