November Medium/Long Range Discussion

[Weather Will]

When you go out to Dec. 6, you see that that the model is really struggling with the pattern.  Some members torch; some members cold.  So we are in wait mode....WB 12Z EPS 

[TSSN+]

55 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Am I missing something, or do the 12z Euro/ENS and GEFS just dump all the cold air out west and just torch the east coast.

Warm will rule 

[Weather Will]

SER asserts itself in the latest WB weeklies. (Today versus yesterday's run.) Whether a blip or the start of a trend away from a December to remember TBD.

[CAPE]

3 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

SER asserts itself in the latest WB weeklies. (Today versus yesterday's run.) Whether a blip or the start of a trend away from a December to remember TBD.

Lol not what I would call a SE ridge.. Follow the height lines. One could argue that would produce a more favorable storm track for our area than the previous run, which might tend towards being too far south. The biggest difference is the ridging poking into Greenland, and it isn't really that much different. I pay less attention to the colors on these super LR tools. Look at the height lines and imagine the flow.