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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...


Typhoon Tip
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Just finished with the first phase of leaf suck up. Man, those stacks were incredibly thick. Usually we don’t start getting this many piling up until the second pass but this years a different animal. I think all these wind driven rain events lately combined with a pretty dry summer are playing a role.

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12z Euro's hinting at a NJ modeler in a week.   In fact, if it were not for some lead wave interference it'd likely take off.   As is, it's the first regional lower elevation inclusive chance to snow.  I was mentioning that 10-13th period over in the winter outlook thread just this morning. 

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8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

12z Euro's hinting at a NJ modeler in a week.   In fact, if it were not for some lead wave interference it'd likely take off.   As is, it's the first regional lower elevation inclusive chance to snow.  I was mentioning that 10-13th period over in the winter outlook thread just this morning. 

Ha that’s funny, I mentioned that yesterday in this specific thread too. I think I’d like to see a little bit more support for that though… But it’s a deep trough with some shortwaves rounding the bend so need to watch maybe for at least first flakes, if not, maybe minor stuff and some interior areas.

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54 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Don't see much EPS support.

could be a red flag. yep. 

that and the amplitude. euro’s not free of blame in doing this in that range. 

AIF/ICON/UKMET trended tho. just sayn’

Again there’s index support fwiw 

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