November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...

[dryslot]

57 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Congrats NNE

 

6 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I wonder how many times you’ll post that this winter? 

Over/under 12.

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I wonder how many times you’ll post that this winter? 

We just don’t know. Nobody knows. 

[dryslot]

Coldest of the season overnight here, 23.0°F

[weatherwiz]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Wow gfs and euro are HWW stuff Wed night. 

Too bad that isn't coming through during the day, probably could get a few strong convective cells. 

But maybe some heavy graupel showers as that rolls through overnight. But yeah that is an impressive wind signal (at least on the GFS) with steep llvl lapse rates and 925mb winds >50 knots. 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Too bad that isn't coming through during the day, probably could get a few strong convective cells. 

But maybe some heavy graupel showers as that rolls through overnight. But yeah that is an impressive wind signal (at least on the GFS) with steep llvl lapse rates and 925mb winds >50 knots. 

I’m sure it will tone down as we get closer, but that sig was damaging. 

[Lava Rock]

1 hour ago, Lava Rock said:

35f. Denied again

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
 

33F, not quite there. 

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’m sure it will tone down as we get closer, but that sig was damaging. 

Maybe it won’t 

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’m sure it will tone down as we get closer, but that sig was damaging. 

Yeah I wouldn't be surprised if it's toned down a bit with the 12z runs but I guess we'll get an idea when the NAM rolls out and whether it falls towards the GFS/Euro. The NAM isn't too far off from the GFS but the GFS has a narrow ribbon of 130+ knots at 500mb along the base of the shortwave...that's wild stuff. 

[dendrite]

Mins

[SouthCoastMA]

32.4° - so close

[weathafella]

Frost on the cars at 11pm last night.  We step.

[CoastalWx]

32 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Maybe it won’t 

We just don’t know

[Damage In Tolland]

44 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Mins

41.4

[dendrite]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

41.4

Yeah I’m ready for it to start warming up. I’m already sick of winter. lol

[dryslot]

12 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Yeah I’m ready for it to start warming up. I’m already sick of winter. lol

Suck it up buttercup.

[Typhoon Tip]

I've seen a lot more of these 12 to 15F differential mornings when comparing dawn temperatures between ORH and here in the Nashoba Valley than I normally do.

It seems we are getting an anomalously large number of superb radiational cooling nights.   That one factor appears to be over-achieving relative to "rational cooling night" climo - if there were ever a metric.  

It's just I've seen a lot more of these 12 to 15F differential morning comparing dawn temperatures between ORH and here in the Nashoba Valley than I normal due. Autumn is the time of year for that to happen, true.   But lost count

[kdxken]

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

Bring the rain

 

Can you add an angry emoji please. Sad doesn't cut it.

[WxWatcher007]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Mins

Groton taking the crown of coldest coastal spot in CT so far this fall. 

[powderfreak]

November.

[Lava Rock]

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

November.

looks great. how much and was that from Sat?

[BrianW]

15 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Groton taking the crown of coldest coastal spot in CT so far this fall. 

I think they radiate well there with the sandy soil. HVN and BDR were in the mid 40s most of the night. 

 

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

We just don’t know

Actually you are so correct.   But I’ll go out on a limb here and say that will certainly tone down…99% of the time it does.  Unless this is the 1 percenter? 

[powderfreak]

18 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

looks great. how much and was that from Sat?

6” at the summit stake for depth.

It looks a lot nicer than it really is (2-6” of dense snow).  But in early November the look works.

[SouthCoastMA]

Seems like deja vu where you have a storm track that looks somewhat promising in the 7-10 day range that shifts north with time and ends up traversing the Lakes to NNE/Southern Ontario. Meh. 

[weatherwiz]

Well 12z GFS did not really back down. But as a reference for what is being discussed, here is a point-and-click sounding from within northeast Connecticut. That is a very well mixed lowest 1km (nearly dry adiabatic) with 50+ knot winds at 850mb. Very dry below the 850mb level too which would further enhance downward momentum. 

[weatherwiz]

This was 6z GFS for IJD

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Well 12z GFS did not really back down. But as a reference for what is being discussed, here is a point-and-click sounding from within northeast Connecticut. That is a very well mixed lowest 1km (nearly dry adiabatic) with 50+ knot winds at 850mb. Very dry below the 850mb level too which would further enhance downward momentum. 

It won’t back down.  No it won’t… back down 

[tamarack]

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

Mins

Bright moon, no wind, low of 21, coldest of the season by 4°.  0.3" ice on the washtub.

[dryslot]

6 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Bright moon, no wind, low of 21, coldest of the season by 4°.  0.3" ice on the washtub.

Last night was one of those nights where my locale can radiate with the best of them.

[Lava Rock]

18 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Last night was one of those nights where my locale can radiate with the best of them.

and mine with the worst of them. Didn't go sub 32 last year till 11/13.