November 2025 General Discussion

[Snowstorms]

5 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

brutal downgrade

Still have yet to visit Chicago

[michsnowfreak]

Regardless of what snow happens Sunday morning. The meso features on models after that look interesting too 

[Chicago Storm]

6 hours ago, OrdIowPitMsp said:

Miss south, suppression to start the season.

hopefully that's sarcasm.

[cyclone77]

First flakes on the way for Sun night for this area.

If tomorrow's wave were more potent (or it was a few weeks later) we'd have a nice little snow system.

[sbnwx85]

A reminder that NAM stands for Never A Mistake.

[sbnwx85]

Just now, sbnwx85 said:

A reminder that NAM stands for Never A Mistake.

Although putting 6” down before the lake effect even kicks in is crazy work.

[Baum]

2 hours ago, cyclone77 said:

First flakes on the way for Sun night for this area.

If tomorrow's wave were more potent (or it was a few weeks later) we'd have a nice little snow system.

Second event in weeks with similar look. Let’s hope it’s a long term winter trend versus blowing our load in early November 

[KeenerWx]

P&C is up to ~2” here for whatever that’s worth. Expectations low for anything that meaningful given source. But pretty good shot at first snowfall/measurable snowfall, which is exciting itself. 

[OrdIowPitMsp]

8 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:

hopefully that's sarcasm.

Completely. It’s not snowing in Oklahoma or Texas. 

[sbnwx85]

Winter Storm Watches are up along the southern shore of Lake Michigan from Cook County, IL to Berrien County, MI. 6-12” possible. Probably more in Porter and LaPorte Counties. Thundersnow possible. Rates of 2-4” per hour. The IWX forecast discussion is one of the best reads in a long time. Winds over 35+ mph, 6+” of snow and leaves on the trees are going to be a perfect recipe for major tree damage. 

The TV Mets going super conservative due to ground temps are going to have to backtrack big time. The rates and timing will overcome a warm ground in no time. This are going be a memorable event for localized areas.

[Baum]

Who’s the lunatic that walked into LOT’s forecast office and started sending out forecasts?

[IWXwx]

2 hours ago, sbnwx85 said:

Winter Storm Watches are up along the southern shore of Lake Michigan from Cook County, IL to Berrien County, MI. 6-12” possible. Probably more in Porter and LaPorte Counties. Thundersnow possible. Rates of 2-4” per hour. The IWX forecast discussion is one of the best reads in a long time. Winds over 35+ mph, 6+” of snow and leaves on the trees are going to be a perfect recipe for major tree damage. 

The TV Mets going super conservative due to ground temps are going to have to backtrack big time. The rates and timing will overcome a warm ground in no time. This are going be a memorable event for localized areas.

Did you read IWX this morning? 

Given the incredible thermodynamics, Lake
Superior connection, and synoptic support any mesolow or dominant
band will be capable of producing snowfall rates of up to 3"/hour
with thundersnow quite possible. There is still some uncertainty
where exactly the band sets up and how long it stays in one area
(models show some variation to the flow through Monday), but snow
will be measured in feet, not inches, for any location that sees
this dominant band visit for more than a few hours. Have a
conservative 6-12" for La Porte County right now but that could
certainly go higher. Winds will also be a concern with this event.

[Cary67]

Hopefully spares ORD. Fly out Monday afternoon. Bad enough with flight reductions and TSA/ controller shortages.

[Sciascia]

Looks like the lull period will include the Bears game, which is a shame.

[A-L-E-K]

Escalated quickly, would be happy with 2-3

[Chicago916]

Definitely seems like today's 12z hi rez models are highlighting the swing of the LE into the IL side for a little. Liking trends, but won't expect it until we see the band on radar. Would be hilarious if the meso low pushes the snow too far west and leaves a gap.

[sbnwx85]

1 minute ago, Chicago916 said:

Definitely seems like today's 12z hi rez models are highlighting the swing of the LE into the IL side for a little. Liking trends, but won't expect it until we see the band on radar.

Yeah, even on this side of the lake you don’t really start getting your hopes up until the band is overhead