Brian D Posted October 30 Share Posted October 30 Roller coaster pattern with precip mainly confined to N areas of the sub, and some LER/S for early Nov is what it looks like. Hoping mid month will see some decent organized stuff. I have something possible for Veteran's day on the 11th, and the pattern mid month may produce something worth talking about. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 with roughly 4.0" for Toledo (August to October) this puts the area near one of the worst three-month (August to October) drought periods (46% or normal rainfall) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 Lake spinners today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 Saw some graupel in Rock Falls an hour ago or so. First winter precip on the books. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted November 2 Author Share Posted November 2 Wind adv out for today for strong SW winds. Leaves are blowing around pretty good. Last few days, lots of tweety flocks, and even a few geese flocks moving through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 3 Share Posted November 3 31 at DTW this morning. 20s in outlying areas. First official freeze of the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 3 Share Posted November 3 b2b2b gfs runs hinting at wintery mix potential this weekend, probably a mirage but it's about that time of year 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted November 3 Share Posted November 3 Past few runs of the EPS really trying to sell our first snow chcs of the season up here. Something to keep an eye on, fs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 3 Share Posted November 3 The GFS is the only model showing any real snow this weekend around here, but all models show the first big push of arctic air. It looks brief, however. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 3 Share Posted November 3 8 hours ago, nvck said: Past few runs of the EPS really trying to sell our first snow chcs of the season up here. Something to keep an eye on, fs Mt Pleasant, CMU student? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 4 Share Posted November 4 On 11/3/2025 at 6:22 AM, A-L-E-K said: b2b2b gfs runs hinting at wintery mix potential this weekend, probably a mirage but it's about that time of year gfs still selling, others not far off gonna be a raw one either way, especially lakeside 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted November 4 Share Posted November 4 Watching the first potential action of the season bump south with each GFS run. Model mayhem season is underway. If anything falls here this weekend it will most likely be frozen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted November 4 Share Posted November 4 16 hours ago, Stebo said: Mt Pleasant, CMU student? yessir! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted November 4 Author Share Posted November 4 And so it begins (on the MN Deer Hunting opener) on Sat. YAH U Betcha! Saturday A chance of snow, mainly after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the morning. Saturday Night A slight chance of snow before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Sunday A chance of flurries. Partly sunny, with a high near 36. Northwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Sunday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 20. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Monday Mostly sunny, with a high near 36. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 4 Share Posted November 4 58 minutes ago, nvck said: yessir! Nice, FIRE UP, class of 08 here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted November 4 Share Posted November 4 Looks like about 60% of members on the 12z EPS have some snow during the day on Sunday, with that percentage closer to 90 when you include Monday, and the possible LE snow. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Wednesday at 01:32 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:32 PM it's boring but these sunny 60 degree days in november are quite nice first flakes showing up in my point now tho 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted Wednesday at 05:56 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:56 PM Some models had already been teasing some snow mixing in across Iowa. Now the Euro has finally joined them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted Wednesday at 06:11 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:11 PM Not sure why the gif is reversed, but I like the trend on the eps honing in on a deeper low, located right near the MI/OH/IN border, which would be pretty favorable for snow for us in michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted Wednesday at 06:17 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:17 PM Now the euro is showing a more respectable storm. Bullseye around lapeer with 6+. Giving me Nov 11 historic early snow vibes. Looks like a slow mover as it digs and deformation snows deliver the goods. It seems like yrs since ive tracked a legit snow threat. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted Wednesday at 10:13 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:13 PM Starting to get excited about the potential on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted Thursday at 03:56 AM Share Posted Thursday at 03:56 AM 9 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said: Some models had already been teasing some snow mixing in across Iowa. Now the Euro has finally joined them. Euro seems to be trending towards what the GFS has been showing for days. Looks like the Euro may be getting schooled by the GFS if trends continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Thursday at 11:40 AM Share Posted Thursday at 11:40 AM track would be a banger month or two later but should be a white rain event at best imby few models selling some LES making it's way into NE IL, riding obviously 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted Thursday at 02:38 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:38 PM track would be a banger month or two laterbut, would it be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Thursday at 02:40 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:40 PM yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted Thursday at 02:45 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:45 PM 2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: track would be a banger month or two later but should be a white rain event at best imby few models selling some LES making it's way into NE IL, riding obviously Hopefully it's a trendsetter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted Thursday at 02:50 PM Share Posted Thursday at 02:50 PM Curious to see if these new AI models, and their more southern tracks, win out on this one?? Very consistent and did well this Summer and Fall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted Thursday at 03:32 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:32 PM It was the frostiest morning of the season so far. If you squinted it kind of looked like snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted Thursday at 03:36 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:36 PM 44 minutes ago, Frog Town said: Curious to see if these new AI models, and their more southern tracks, win out on this one?? Very consistent and did well this Summer and Fall... Since AI is supposed to learn, it probably just looked at the last 10 years of every winter storm tracking south and weaker of the projected track a few days out. lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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