Event Discussion-OBS uncertain tracking thread for possible moderate impact event 8A Thu-8A Fri 10/30-31. Mainly 1-3" rains, G 45-55 MPH-mainly coast, and high prob of at least minor coastal flooding - Thursday afternoon high tide cycle.

[Brian5671]

1 minute ago, uofmiami said:

Round 2 of the winds tomorrow to blow away the trick or treaters it seems.  My daughter isn't going to be happy.

we'll see-alot of times winds are overdone on models and usually settles down after sunset...

[WestBabylonWeather]

The only bust that i hope happens is for tomorrows winds. I want my son to have fun trick or treating 

[uofmiami]

15 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

we'll see-alot of times winds are overdone on models and usually settles down after sunset...

I hope so for my daughter, my son couldn't care less though.

[David-LI]

everything looks orange outside

[LAVistaNY]

3.25”+ (power glitch reset my my gauge - I had seen 0.25 and now at 3.02”) eastern most Westchester 

[Snowlover11]

Absolute sh*tshow had to leave rockland to head for a wake in yonkers, blinding rains and the traffic was a nightmare. Your typical parkways/streams got high. Just got back home here in Nanuet.

[lee59]

After a slow start, ended up with 2.17 inches.

[WestBabylonWeather]

34 minutes ago, David-LI said:

everything looks orange outside

Yea what was that about 

[FPizz]

Thin but intense looking line making its way towards nj

[jm1220]

An inch or so rain here.

[psv88]

1.36”. Came down quickly. Area roads flooded out 

[wthrmn654]

0.65 with the monster rain all to come

[Sundog]

The radar out way east and KBOX looks insane

 

[coastalplainsnowman]

1 hour ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

Yea what was that about 

 

Rainbow-rama for about 10 minutes there.

[ag3]

13 hours ago, FPizz said:

Thin but intense looking line making its way towards nj

Rgem and Nam had this feature. And they both stall it over the area.

[Sundog]

5 minutes ago, ag3 said:

Rgem and Nam had this feature. And they both stalk it over the area.

The 18z NAM was laughably bad, wow

It has just a few tenths TOTAL for Boston and SW of there. 

The radar meanwhile is LOADED 

[wthrmn654]

0.92

[wthrmn654]

Car stuck in 3 feet of water, but he called out a "puddle" in New Suffolk in cutchogue. 

[MANDA]

49 minutes ago, Sundog said:

The radar out way east and KBOX looks insane

 

Melissa enhanced I believe.

 

https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_US/loop60w.html

[Sundog]

5 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Melissa enhanced I believe.

 

https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_US/loop60w.html

Nobody told the NAM:

This is the 18z run! This is so bad

[wthrmn654]

Man, if this is the style storms were going have this winter with s lot of wind before the storm and day of storm leading to higher tides, the beaches are not going make it. 

[donsutherland1]

So far, the guidance signaling a significant rain event from the extended range seems to have fared very well. A general 1"-3" has been recorded over a large part of the region, with some locally higher amounts.

[FPizz]

43 minutes ago, ag3 said:

Rgem and Nam had this feature. And they both stalk it over the area.

Dropped .25"

[wthrmn654]

Fatality reported by fdny.

[wthrmn654]

541

NWUS51 KOKX 310029

LSROKX

 

Preliminary Local Storm Report

National Weather Service New York NY

829 PM EDT Thu Oct 30 2025

 

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...

..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....

            ..REMARKS..

 

0350 PM Flash Flood Bedford-Stuyvesant 40.69N 73.94W

10/30/2025 Kings NY Broadcast Media

 

            *** 1 FATAL ***

            Corrects previous flash flood report from

            Bedford-Stuyvesant. High standing water with

            water level above tires on some cars with

            leaf debris in water with time of occurrence

            estimated. One Fatality reported by FDNY.

[wthrmn654]

A 39-year-old man died on Thursday after he became trapped in a flooded basement in Brooklyn, as sudden heavy, record-setting rains brought flash flooding to the New York area, the police said.

A neighbor said the man who died had become trapped when he went back to his basement in the Flatbush neighborhood to rescue one of his dogs. A diver pulled him out, a Fire Department spokesman said. He was taken by ambulance to Kings County Hospital, where he died. Officials did not confirm whether his death was caused by flooding.

[ForestHillWx]

Getting that sneaky line in NJ now. 

[wthrmn654]

1.42 dam that came down fast

[psv88]

Up to 1.58”, rain continues 

[MANDA]

8 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said:

Getting that sneaky line in NJ now. 

Moderate to heavy rain here at the moment.  Not expecting it to last long but coming down pretty good right now.