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October Hybrid: 2025 Edition


WxWatcher007
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1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

GFS has been consistent on showers Sunday into Monday with 20-30mph wind for most,  with coastal flooding the biggest issue.  The hype on this storm is ridiculous. 

IMG_0176.png

I don't know.. some of these solutions are pretty wild.. 

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50 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Euro is just another model now. Has been for years as you know. 

Also, hope all is well man. Good to have you back. 

Thanks Don…good to be back and tracking something for a change…been a long stretch of boring weather. 
 

And yes, you are so right…it’s just another model now is right.   You’d think they’d go and put it back to whatever setup/algorithm or whatever it was that made it so darn good…And go with that set up.  Because it ain’t even close to the model it was decade ago..it’s regressed so badly. 

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29 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Thanks Don…good to be back and tracking something for a change…been a long stretch of boring weather.

And yes, you are so right…it’s just another model now is right.   You’d think they’d go and put it back to whatever setup/algorithm or whatever it was that made it so darn good…And go with that set up.  Because it ain’t even close to the model it was decade ago..it’s regressed so badly. 

The more likely scenario is the other models have caught up is what happened… instead of the Euro going backwards.

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4 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

The more likely scenario is the other models have caught up is what happened… instead of the Euro going backwards.

I don’t think so…yes the other models got better, but the euro jumps all over now…and close in.  Didn’t really do that before(very rarely)..that’s the difference. 

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1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

GFS has been consistent on showers Sunday into Monday with 20-30mph wind for most (besides immediate coast)  with coastal flooding the biggest issue.  The hype on this storm is ridiculous. 

IMG_0176.png

That's DIT for ya. Last week he was saying how dry it's going to be for weeks and weeks and weeks through the end of November. Now he's talking about some apocalyptic storm. Poor guy

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1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

I don’t think so…yes the other models got better, but the euro jumps all over now…and close in.  Didn’t really do that before(very rarely)..that’s the difference. 

Fair enough, the urban legend continues to grow for the Euro of old, ha.

I was just thinking even if the Euro is consistent now, we still don’t trust it like we used to against the others.  It’s too bad.

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10 minutes ago, ChangeofSeasonsWX said:

We have yet to see another non-tropical system that matches the violence of November 1950. That really was a one of a kind setup as far as non-hurricane wind impacts go. Nothing else even comes close.

You can find online videos of the Ohio State vs. Michigan game played during that storm, which was a full-on blizzard in Columbus.  The teams were punting on first down.

https://www.google.com/search?q=osu+michigan+1950&oq=osu+michigan+1950&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUyBggAEEUYOdIBCjEwMjE2ajBqMTWoAgiwAgE&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8#fpstate=ive&vld=cid:a7aac814,vid:S85War5TWRk,st:0

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56 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Well 18z gfs certainly got wetter lol. Man this storm is all over the place.

Red herring's still on the table  <_<

I'm noticing a weakening trend in the H500s that's very subtle over the last 2 days ( look at 18z two days ago and compare it to this run...etc).  Eventual if that continues and it this slips below a forcing threshold it's a laugher.    It's just not a convincing signal.  But sure why not

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