October Medium/Long Range Discussion

[Maestrobjwa]

18 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Buckle up friend....gonna be a long winter of rug pulls

Can't be a rug pull if ya don't believe it from the beginning. Literally any model solution that shows a hit we have to throw it out. We know what the limitations of both the nina and the -PDO regime are, right? So like...why give a "good" model run showing something different the time of day? Better to just ignore it!

[nw baltimore wx]

46 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Can't be a rug pull if ya don't believe it from the beginning. Literally any model solution that shows a hit we have to throw it out. We know what the limitations of both the nina and the -PDO regime are, right? So like...why give a "good" model run showing something different the time of day? Better to just ignore it!

Because that’s what insane people do. 

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z GEFS through Day 9.  Lots of hits.

[bncho]

39 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z GEFS through Day 9.  Lots of hits.

very good mean as well

[hstorm]

3 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Can't be a rug pull if ya don't believe it from the beginning. Literally any model solution that shows a hit we have to throw it out. We know what the limitations of both the nina and the -PDO regime are, right? So like...why give a "good" model run showing something different the time of day? Better to just ignore it!

We all believe it from the beginning, we just tell ourselves we don't as a coping mechanism. 

[Interstate]

1 hour ago, bncho said:

very good mean as well

I remember seeing something like this on the Ens a couple of weeks ago too.

[Mikeymac5306]

5 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Buckle up friend....gonna be a long winter of rug pulls

Not even out of October and Wiggum has us buckling up...