TSSN+ Posted Saturday at 01:59 PM Share Posted Saturday at 01:59 PM 4 hours ago, aldie 22 said: Man doesn't your house have a bathroom? I had to think about this for a second then realized what you were talking about 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Saturday at 04:26 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:26 PM 6 hours ago, aldie 22 said: Man doesn't your house have a bathroom? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted Saturday at 04:30 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:30 PM 2 hours ago, TSSN+ said: I had to think about this for a second then realized what you were talking about I'm still trying to figure it out, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted Saturday at 04:41 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:41 PM The longer range hi-res guidance is adverting a Narrow Cold-Frontal Rain Band (NCRFB) like feature for Sunday evening. This makes sense given the high shear / low (no?) instability. If we can't get proper severe, at least a NCRFB is "cool" meteorologically. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Saturday at 06:51 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:51 PM Blocking and a big PNA spike open the window to some sort of strong slow moving system just before Halloween. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Saturday at 06:59 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:59 PM 6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Blocking and a big PNA spike open the window to some sort of strong slow moving system just before Halloween. Yeah the advertised late Oct- early Nov pattern looks like one that could snow in the western highlands. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Saturday at 07:02 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:02 PM 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: Yeah the advertised late Oct- early Nov pattern looks like one that could snow in the western highlands. Definitely lake effect or upslope behind a strong cold front if not synoptic 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted yesterday at 11:36 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:36 AM WB 0Z EPS and GEFS. Next week looks wet. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted yesterday at 02:04 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:04 PM so are we still having a Sandy redux? or was that a model fantasy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted yesterday at 02:17 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:17 PM 2 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z EPS and GEFS. Next week looks wet. Models are more than hinting about a deep trough crossing the country next week. No doubt that it would provide a good opportunity for rain. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted yesterday at 03:38 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 03:38 PM 1 hour ago, MN Transplant said: Models are more than hinting about a deep trough crossing the country next week. No doubt that it would provide a good opportunity for rain. Just need the 27th and 31st dry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted yesterday at 05:21 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:21 PM 3 hours ago, AlexD1990 said: so are we still having a Sandy redux? or was that a model fantasy JB was already hinting at the Sandy analog in the euro week 3 window. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted yesterday at 06:15 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:15 PM 3 hours ago, MN Transplant said: Models are more than hinting about a deep trough crossing the country next week. No doubt that it would provide a good opportunity for rain. 2 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said: Just need the 27th and 31st dry. 12z euro is biblical rains late next week 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted yesterday at 06:22 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:22 PM 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 12z euro is biblical rains late next week you weren't kidding lol. nearly all of this between hour 200-300. start building your arks 2 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted yesterday at 06:37 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:37 PM 15 minutes ago, Paleocene said: you weren't kidding lol. nearly all of this between hour 200-300. start building your arks What's the kuchera? In before the "what went wrong" thread request 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted yesterday at 06:48 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:48 PM 32 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 12z euro is biblical rains late next week 25 minutes ago, Paleocene said: you weren't kidding lol. nearly all of this between hour 200-300. start building your arks I'm a gambling man and I understand I might be going out on a limb here, but I'll take the under. Just a hunch 2 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted yesterday at 06:56 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:56 PM 8 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: I'm a gambling man and I understand I might be going out on a limb here, but I'll take the under. Just a hunch Coward! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted yesterday at 07:01 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:01 PM I'm all in. I'll fire up the thread. Flood apocalypse or bust 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted yesterday at 07:02 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:02 PM Just now, dailylurker said: I'm all in. I'll fire up the thread. Flood apocalypse or bust Lowlands jack or bust 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted yesterday at 07:18 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:18 PM It’s fitting that we end the drought and finish the year above average precip-wise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted yesterday at 07:28 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 07:28 PM 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: 12z euro is biblical rains late next week If that pans out on the Euro, I'll donate to the board. Euro long range QPF bias is real. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted yesterday at 08:06 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 08:06 PM 47 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: It’s fitting that we end the drought and finish the year above average precip-wise. "Epic flood breaks epic drought." - @usedtobe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago LR Ensembles depict a -AO/-NAO/+PNA pattern for the end of Oct onto early November. We shall see about storminess but should be a Fall feel at least. Not especially cold with a +EPO and deep GoA trough, but also not a Nina-ish look at all. 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago 1 hour ago, CAPE said: LR Ensembles depict a -AO/-NAO/+PNA pattern for the end of Oct onto early November. We shall see about storminess but should be a Fall feel at least. Not especially cold with a +EPO and deep GoA trough, but also not a Nina-ish look at all. Things are getting serious again; you are posting WB maps! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 2 hours ago, CAPE said: LR Ensembles depict a -AO/-NAO/+PNA pattern for the end of Oct onto early November. We shall see about storminess but should be a Fall feel at least. Not especially cold with a +EPO and deep GoA trough, but also not a Nina-ish look at all. sign me up for that h5 look in winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 15 hours ago, dailylurker said: I'm all in. I'll fire up the thread. Flood apocalypse or bust 15 hours ago, MillvilleWx said: I'm a gambling man and I understand I might be going out on a limb here, but I'll take the under. Just a hunch NoVA lost 200” of snow at 0z. Poor @Ji 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: NoVA lost 200” of snow at 0z. Poor @Ji Yup! That run was a snooze fest. Hopefully something interesting pops up soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 12 hours ago, CAPE said: LR Ensembles depict a -AO/-NAO/+PNA pattern for the end of Oct onto early November. We shall see about storminess but should be a Fall feel at least. Not especially cold with a +EPO and deep GoA trough, but also not a Nina-ish look at all. Wonder if the mountains could get their first accumulations out of that? Would love to go on a 3 hour jaunt if it meant seeing October snow. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Wonder if the mountains could get their first accumulations out of that? Would love to go on a 3 hour jaunt if it meant seeing October snow. It's possible given the look. Still pretty far out. GFS suggesting some upslope in early November with LES in the NW flow behind a cold front. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Both the GFS and Euro have 40s for highs towards the end of the runs. Bring it! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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