October Medium/Long Range Discussion

[TSSN+]

4 hours ago, aldie 22 said:

Man doesn't your house have a bathroom?

I had to think about this for a second then realized what you were talking about 

[CAPE]

6 hours ago, aldie 22 said:

Man doesn't your house have a bathroom?

[Maestrobjwa]

2 hours ago, TSSN+ said:

I had to think about this for a second then realized what you were talking about 

I'm still trying to figure it out, lol

[wxmeddler]

The longer range hi-res guidance is adverting a Narrow Cold-Frontal Rain Band (NCRFB) like feature for Sunday evening. This makes sense given the high shear / low (no?) instability. If we can't get proper severe, at least a NCRFB is "cool" meteorologically.

[WxUSAF]

Blocking and a big PNA spike open the window to some sort of strong slow moving system just before Halloween. 

[CAPE]

6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Blocking and a big PNA spike open the window to some sort of strong slow moving system just before Halloween. 

Yeah the advertised late Oct- early Nov pattern looks like one that could snow in the western highlands.

[WxUSAF]

3 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Yeah the advertised late Oct- early Nov pattern looks like one that could snow in the western highlands.

Definitely lake effect or upslope behind a strong cold front if not synoptic 

[Weather Will]

WB 0Z EPS and GEFS. Next week looks wet.

[AlexD1990]

so are we still having a Sandy redux? or was that a model fantasy 

[MN Transplant]

2 hours ago, Weather Will said:

WB 0Z EPS and GEFS. Next week looks wet.

Models are more than hinting about a deep trough crossing the country next week.  No doubt that it would provide a good opportunity for rain.