October 2025 Discussion and Obs

[donsutherland1]

Here's how October has fared in New York City and Newark. The rate of warming has been very gradual, though there has been some acceleration since 1980. The chart's anomalies are based on the 20th century mean temperature for October. For Central Park, the 1991-2020 baseline temperature is 57.9° vs. the 20th century figure of 57.6°. 

Note: Octobers with large amounts of missing data were excluded.

 

[uofmiami]

8 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

another cutoff under thrb ridge 

We'll see if that comes up to us at all or gets pushed OTS as it moves N.

[anthonymm]

21 hours ago, bluewave said:

The magnitude and the duration of the warm ups are usually more impressive than the cool downs even using the warmer climate normals.

 

 

 

 

 

Wow I forgot how march was a full on spring month this year. March has totally ceased to be wintery in recent years, the last march with more than an half an inch of measurable snow in central park was 2019. I actually think this alone is more impressive than the overall warming/ lack of snow trend. March totally is not a winter month at all anymore.

[bluewave]

25 minutes ago, anthonymm said:

Wow I forgot how march was a full on spring month this year. March has totally ceased to be wintery in recent years, the last march with more than an half an inch of measurable snow in central park was 2019. I actually think this alone is more impressive than the overall warming/ lack of snow trend. March totally is not a winter month at all anymore.

Yeah, I have been pointing this out about March in recent years. The whole area near the coast has seen the lowest March decadal snowfall on record since 2020. The complete opposite of the 2010s. 
 

March Monthly Total Snowfall for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Mean	0.1	0.1
2025	0.0	0.0
2024	T	T
2023	0.1	0.1
2022	0.4	0.4
2021	T	T
2020	T	T

 

March Monthly Total Snowfall for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Mean	6.0	6.0
2019	10.4	10.4
2018	11.6	11.6
2017	9.7	9.7
2016	0.9	0.9
2015	18.6	18.6
2014	0.1	0.1
2013	7.3	7.3
2012	0.0	0.0
2011	1.0	1.0
2010	T	T

 

March Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Mean	0.5	0.5
2025	0.0	0.0
2024	0.0	0.0
2023	1.6	1.6
2022	1.6	1.6
2021	T	T
2020	T	T

 

March Monthly Total Snowfall for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Mean	8.2	8.2
2019	4.1	4.1
2018	31.9	31.9
2017	7.4	7.4
2016	3.2	3.2
2015	19.7	19.7
2014	5.4	5.4
2013	7.4	7.4
2012	T	T
2011	2.1	2.1
2010	0.4	0.4

[SACRUS]

 

80 / 55 warm startr

[MANDA]

Something to keep you cool on an unseasonably warm October day.  From Dr. Maue X post.  Covers the full upcoming winter season.  

Buckle up !   

I'd bet on the under myself.

 

 

[Stormlover74]

Somerville 86 already

[tdp146]

Another beach day 

[psv88]

83. Car thermometer was 85 in downtown Commack 

[Sundog]

12z EURO AI has major rainstorm starting day 6. I would post a loop but file size max limit is too small. 

 

 

 

[winterwarlock]

87 for high thus far

 

Push push

[Stormlover74]

12 minutes ago, Sundog said:

12z EURO AI has major rainstorm starting day 6. I would post it but file size max limit is too small. 

 

 

 

Regular euro too but on Sunday 

[GaWx]

19 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Regular euro too but on Sunday 

 I was wondering what’s the deal with that hybridish nor’easter offshore the E coast this weekend into next week? It’s on all 12Z major ops in one form or another.

  As you implied, the 12Z Euro has this, which had moved NNE from off the SE US and then turns sharply left into NJ in Sandy fashion:

[Sundog]

2 hours ago, MANDA said:

Something to keep you cool on an unseasonably warm October day.  From Dr. Maue X post.  Covers the full upcoming winter season.  

Buckle up !   

I'd bet on the under myself.

 

 

This is basically a normal to slightly below normal snowfall winter

[forkyfork]

19 minutes ago, GaWx said:

 I was wondering what’s the deal with that hybridish nor’easter offshore the E coast this weekend into next week? It’s on all 12Z major ops in one form or another.

  As you implied, the 12Z Euro has this, which had moved NNE from off the SE US and then turns sharply left into NJ in Sandy fashion:

i do not see that happening with a trough in the west

[MJO812]

17 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Expect some chilly weather with the NAO and AO going negative 

Gfs has a nice cool down in the long range.  

[Wxoutlooksblog]

18 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs has a nice cool down in the long range.  

The cool snaps seem to have been overdone this last few weeks. We'll see if a little bit of high latitude blocking changes that. Also, there's good reason to question the ultimate track of low pressure off the east coast next weekend.

WX/PT

[the_other_guy]

I don’t know anything about a cool down or how long it will last but it is oppressively hot out right now for October. Nothing short of disgusting. I’m sure some records will be broken today.

[winterwarlock]

1 minute ago, the_other_guy said:

I don’t know anything about a cool down or how long it will last but it is oppressively hot out right now for October. Nothing short of disgusting. I’m sure some records will be broken today.

How could peeps not enjoy bonus summer. Its mid 80s with dews in the 50s

[lee59]

82 the high here

[psv88]

Fucking hot on the baseball/football fields today 

[steve392]

Could be an anomaly but hit 90 degrees at my house.  Sun is dam strong today too.  Just low enough in horizon that it gets under my visors. 

[Sundog]

20 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

How could peeps not enjoy bonus summer. Its mid 80s with dews in the 50s

Some of us enjoy all four seasons. 

[Stormlover74]

11 minutes ago, steve392 said:

Could be an anomaly but hit 90 degrees at my house.  Sun is dam strong today too.  Just low enough in horizon that it gets under my visors. 

Teb reporting 89

[tdp146]

Maybe one of the top beach days of the summer. Water is very warm. Air about the same. Well past any early/mid season Ambrose jet stuff. Plus everyone is probably sweating to death at a pumpkin patch so it’s very empty. 

[SnoSki14]

50 minutes ago, Sundog said:

Some of us enjoy all four seasons. 

If I wanted year long summer I'd be in Florida

[winterwarlock]

1 hour ago, Sundog said:

Some of us enjoy all four seasons. 

yeah 66 with a wind and clouds...so enjoyable

 

and guess what you get your fall weather in april and may when the weather is awful here

[uofmiami]

1 hour ago, psv88 said:

Fucking hot on the baseball/football fields today 

Was beautiful yesterday, but my son had a 9am start for his travel baseball game.  So didn’t have to deal with the warmth off the turf field that occurs.  Had that last Sunday with the 3pm start. 

[winterwarlock]

88 for my high after a low of 47

 

stunning weather with deep blue skies golden sunshine and low dews...in the words of Mr G...Kaity if you want to take off the next two days to play hooky at the beach Monday and Tuesday will be more of the same maybe a tad cooler go ahead and do it

[Sundog]

4 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

yeah 66 with a wind and clouds...so enjoyable

 

and guess what you get your fall weather in april and may when the weather is awful here

Huh what? 

I hate summer, 95 degrees with an 80 degree dewpoint and zero wind. 

Really enjoyable let me tell you.