2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread

[Hvward]

And Franklin, clearing a move towards more snowfall on the 18z runs.  Lets see if that continues through the 00z and 06z and it will be real to me.

[wncsnow]

I think (and hope) it's going to increase tonight  The western trend has been evident with about every storm this year, why stop now? 

[Aleksey]

After seeing the Euro make a big jump like that I wouldn’t be surprised to see the heavier snow keep ticking west our way. But then again wouldn’t be surprised to wake up in the morning and poof it’s gone lol


.

Exactly why I’m not getting excited yet. If the trends continue tomorrow and even the slightest ticks west, then it’s game on. Great trends on the Euro though!


.

[Met1985]

Also for the near future we will see a reinforcing shot of cold air and the high elevations may see some flurries tonight. 

[BhamParker]

Might have to make a mountain chase this weekend from Birmingham. Looking at Gatlinburg, Highlands, or Maggie Valley. I lurk here every winter and this one is looking ripe. It’s been a tough year to chase in the mountains. This is y’all’s storm!


.

[Maggie Valley Steve]

6 minutes ago, BhamParker said:

Might have to make a mountain chase this weekend from Birmingham. Looking at Gatlinburg, Highlands, or Maggie Valley. I lurk here every winter and this one is looking ripe. It’s been a tough year to chase in the mountains. This is y’all’s storm!


 

Big weekend event in Maggie Valley with our IceFest. Skiers should be piling into town as Cataloochee increased their base by 25 inches since Sunday morning!

[BooneWX]

I really think this ULL could produce a hell of a band over us. It’s been so long since I’ve seen any sort of synoptic deform band over WNC. 

[franklin NCwx]

11 minutes ago, BhamParker said:

Might have to make a mountain chase this weekend from Birmingham. Looking at Gatlinburg, Highlands, or Maggie Valley. I lurk here every winter and this one is looking ripe. It’s been a tough year to chase in the mountains. This is y’all’s storm!


.

Highlands is farther east. Might be you're best bet

[Tyler Penland]

Also for the near future we will see a reinforcing shot of cold air and the high elevations may see some flurries tonight. 

Yeah it's WINDY here. Some of the strongest surface gusts I've had since Helene in the hole here. It's really hard for wind to hit the surface where we are in the holler but it sure is tonight.

Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

[Sw NC weather]

GFS and GFS AI both have 6-16” for the mountains. This is a very tedious setup but there is some very high level boom potential there. Especially if the trend west some more.

[Sw NC weather]

A solid 4-7” thump on the CMC. I think I’m gonna call it a night. Here’s to good trends tonight.

[Ja643y]

Any thoughts on escarpment for this one? I’m thinking of chasing, but have a long haul. I’d be Right above the parkway near 226. Looks like it starts to drop off pretty quickly around the escarpment… but still has potential for 6 plus? 

[franklin NCwx]

6z nam digging farther west and closing off over the Tennessee,  Bama, and Mississippi border at 84! Would be a great run for us afterwards 

[Hvward]

Seems that trends continued over night.  Lets see what the 6z Euro has to say, but this one looks real.

[WXNewton]

RGEM was going to be nice too!

[Met1985]

Id say right now a conservative 3 to 6 inches. A lot of energy flying around..we've got energy coming down from the PV and then the low. Kind of a 1 two punch possibly. 

[ncjoaquin]

3 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

Id say right now a conservative 3 to 6 inches. A lot of energy flying around..we've got energy coming down from the PV and then the low. Kind of a 1 two punch possibly. 

Give me 3 inches of snow and I wouldn't complain,  based on the last few years. I will take more, but I am not greedy. High ratios will help out even if the moisture is lacking. I am hanging my hat on that!

[Hvward]

6z Ai Euro coming in much better for WNC, but the down east crew isn't going to like it.

[strongwxnc]

5 minutes ago, Hvward said:

6z Ai Euro coming in much better for WNC, but the down east crew isn't going to like it.

Yup. Shows Snow starting around 1 Am Saturday and ending around 1 AM Sunday for our area as a whole. with 4" totals. 

[ncjoaquin]

84 hour nam, so the typical grain of salt, but I like it. 

 

[Sw NC weather]

5 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said:

84 hour nam, so the typical grain of salt, but I like it. 

 

It was gonna crank for another 6-12 hrs as well. Probably would’ve been 8-12” across the mountains. As HVWard said euro ai was a nice 5-8” event as well.

[Buckethead]

6 with absolutely gorgeous diamond dust falling this morning in Wolf.

Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

[Hvward]

6z Euro with a widespread 6”. I think this continues to trend towards WNC, we could end up being the bullseye.

[Met1985]

6 minutes ago, Hvward said:

6z Euro with a widespread 6”. I think this continues to trend towards WNC, we could end up being the bullseye.

Yes sir especially with all the energy we are going to see.

[buckeyefan1]

One of these days I’ll be in the bullseye too  

[Hvward]

Nam 3km says this starts for the high elevations Friday around noon.  This one could really slip up on us here with all the angst about missing snow last weekend and the negative attitude towards forecasting that many currently have.

[BooneWX]

Good morning boys. Someone call the we’re back department and let em know what’s up. 

[Met1985]

48 minutes ago, Hvward said:

Nam 3km says this starts for the high elevations Friday around noon.  This one could really slip up on us here with all the angst about missing snow last weekend and the negative attitude towards forecasting that many currently have.

This is exactly what's going to happen.  People say they blew it big and we aren't going to get any snow this weekend.  That's fine. At least you'll be able to find crap at the grocery store.

[Hvward]

25 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

This is exactly what's going to happen.  People say they blew it big and we aren't going to get any snow this weekend.  That's fine. At least you'll be able to find crap at the grocery store.

It really is a lose-lose situation.  We either finally get one right or we are always wrong.

[Maggie Valley Steve]

17 here at the house. GSP stated in their morning AFD the the National Blend is suggesting .25 to .50 of QPF with ratios of 15 to 20:1.