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Ja643y

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Everything posted by Ja643y

  1. Ja643y
    Just like that back to mostly rain. Looks very rate dependent
  2. Ja643y
    Just checked the camera for our place just above the BlueRidge off 226… snow finally starting come down a bit and stick on elevated parts of the deck.
  3. Ja643y
    We left yesterday, but the outdoor cam I have shows more ice this morning than we had with the Saturday storm. All melted off now, but looked to be every bit of .25” this morning
  4. Ja643y
    Just a very basic temp gauge that has been here for years, not sure how well calibrated… but showed 20 for morning low, 37 for high. Currently 30.
  5. Ja643y
    I’m right up 226 from Marion before you get to Spruce Pine. Thoughts? Hoping to keep power tonight, but wouldn’t mind the kids waking up to an inch or two of snow.
  6. Ja643y
    Yea, I'm just up 226 from Marion... It has not let up for nearly 2 hours. I'm from Florida, so know some good rainfall rates, and although I don't have a gauge here, would be we've picked up 2.5 to 3 inches just since 8a.
  7. Ja643y
    0z GFS with maybe the best output all season. Long ways off, but last 8 or so runs have held serve for some type of event.
  8. Ja643y
    Don’t look now, but there’s a storm 8 days out on the GFS. I’m headed up with the kids next week. It looks like it may be colder than when I was there in early January!
  9. Ja643y
    I’ve got a place I can go to right on the McDowell/Mitchell line just under 3,300 feet. The maps show a pretty steep drop off with almost nothing. Is there shadowing that happens or does all the moisture get rung out pretty quick NE to SW as it crosses the boarder. I’ve only been there for one storm (last year - 10”+) but never for a Flow event. Any thoughts?
  10. Ja643y
    Wondering if anyone has looked at Next Friday and think there’s a chance for that to trend better for the region. GFS had an interesting solution at 6z that I imagine wouldn’t be too far fetched to trend for some snow for the Mountains - but then again, I know very little and only spend a month or two a year up here, so don’t know all the nuances.
  11. Ja643y
    Hurricane Hunter showing reading of 947.4 over land.. is this extrapolated from Wind speed? They obviously aren’t dropping dropsondes over land.
  12. Ja643y
    https://www.weather.gov.ky/radar looking at Cayman Radar, seems like the eye may be tightening, but also causing it to move due N or maybe even a smidge E of N… anyone else see this?
  13. Ja643y
    Not familiar with the area yet, how does the Spruce Pine area in Mitchell County set up for Flow Snow?
  14. Ja643y
    Just turned to a HEAVY sleet for the first time.
  15. Ja643y
    Fattest flakes of the storm right now
  16. Ja643y
    Solid 5.5" everywhere here and coming down hard! I think we get 10" by the time it's all said and done
  17. Ja643y
    ⁰22 degrees and coming down at a good clip. I'd say between 4 and 5 inches here near Little Switzerland.
  18. Ja643y
    Coming down pretty good. Eyeballing 1.5” on the railing! IMG_0391.MP4
  19. Ja643y
    Remarkably consistent. 12+ for probably 10 straight runs. If it verifies, I'll be thrilled and very impressed with the lead time at which this was accurate
  20. Ja643y
    First flakes - really fine, but quickly whitened up the deck railing. Near Little Switzerland @ around 3300'
  21. Ja643y
    Our Chili is cooking now to be ready for tomorrow! Sausage and Peppers tonight!
  22. Ja643y
    No real idea, looking for some input. Is there anything to the low level circulation of the winds down near Louisiana coast? Could that be where the LP tries to "jump south" over the next few hours as some of the models show?
  23. Ja643y
    I'm about the same. I'll take 50% and call it a huge win
  24. Ja643y
    That's a jackpot IMBY. Lol
  25. Ja643y
    21" IMBY... that's upped from the consistent 15-18 the last 6 runs have shown. Incredible even if half that verifies.
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