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O'Brother Septorcher


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Just now, SouthCoastMA said:

.01 last night

I'm confident in a 7/10 split here on Sunday... heavy precip evaporates west of here, then most models have a healthy slug of moisture missing to the east aftewards. awesome! I expect the 3k NAM to trend eastward. Easy forecast. 

I wouldn't rule out decent rains there for Sunday.

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2 hours ago, Lava Rock said:

A little more on our hill

June: 2.73"

Jul: 2.75"

Aug: 1.60"

Sept: 0.12"

7.2"

We're assessing the damage from this morning's 0.04" deluge.   :o

June:     2.44"
July:       1.53"
August:  1.32"
Sept.:     0.04"
Total:     5.23"

2nd driest for the same period:  7.44" in 2002.

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9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

What will hold tornado potential back tomorrow is this god-forsaken severe-less wasteland part of Earth  storm mode. That's a large helicity field across the region with some decent turning in the lower levels. 

 

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Just now, Cyclone-68 said:

Even in September the coastline isn’t favored for any severe tomorrow..Are there ever scenarios where they don’t weaken and die out before they get here?

It's not for that reason. Look at the Cape last week. The cold front stalls and the best forcing is out west. As it moves east, temps aloft warm and you start to move away from the upper level support which runs parallel to the front.

Late tomorrow night ans Sunday they'll be a hell of a cluster tickling the Cape or just offshore.

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