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Winter cancelled/uncancelled banter 25/26


Rjay
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Some data analytics.

Calendar days at New York City where the current daily record high was set in multiple years:

More than 4 years:

No days

4 years:

July 28 & July 30

3 years:

February 10

April 22

May 5

June 12 & 14

August 18 & 19

December 19 & 20

2 years:

January 4, 5, 9, 18, 22, 31

February 11, 12, 20

March 6, 7, 12, 18, 23

April 28

May 2, 6, 8, 31

June 21, 23, 25, 28

July 1, 10, 24, 27

August 6, 10, 17, 30

September 10, 11, 20, 22, 26

October 12, 20, 26, 30 & 31

November 9, 18

December 14, 18, 23, 26, 28

 

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5 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Some data analytics.

Calendar days at New York City where the current daily record high was set in multiple years:

More than 4 years:

No days

4 years:

July 28 & July 30

3 years:

February 10

April 22

May 5

June 12 & 14

August 18 & 19

December 19 & 20

2 years:

January 4, 5, 9, 18, 22, 31

February 11, 12, 20

March 6, 7, 12, 18, 23

April 28

May 2, 6, 8, 31

June 21, 23, 25, 28

July 1, 10, 24, 27

August 6, 10, 17, 30

September 10, 11, 20, 22, 26

October 12, 20, 26, 30 & 31

November 9, 18

December 14, 18, 23, 26, 28

 

In all, there are 307 days on which the current record high is unmatched, 59 days in which the record high was set in at least 2 years, 11 days in which the record high was set in at least 3 years, and 2 days in which the record high was set in 4 years.

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1 minute ago, Roger Smith said:

My early take is 18-24 inch potential across parts of e PA, n NJ and se NY, into n CT and central MA.

Brief mixing issues south of that axis may intrude into parts of metro NYC near end of event, but even so, would expect 14-16" EWR, 10-13" NYC and JFK, 12-15" LGA and ISP. Can see how all of those could be a bit higher although getting NYC higher involves both (a) more snow and (b) somebody to measure more snow.

Thinking I might start up a forum-wide storm snowfall contest for this one, would have an 18z Saturday closing time for entries. Look for it ...

Roger Smith for President!

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6 inches of snow through CNJ followed by frozen junk until the storm is over.  <1” QPF, <10:1 ratios, precip ending before monday sunrise.  parlayed with patriots money line and LA/SEA u54.5 for $25,000.  i’m going to buy an aircraft carrier

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1 hour ago, Santa Claus said:

6 inches of snow through CNJ followed by frozen junk until the storm is over.  <1” QPF, <10:1 ratios, precip ending before monday sunrise.  parlayed with patriots money line and LA/SEA u54.5 for $25,000.  i’m going to buy an aircraft carrier

this is exhilarating, i feel like i’m at the horse track

5575996777609856223.png

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                        :weenie: New York Forecast by Feen :weenie::

Tonight: Cold breezy with a low of 25, Friday sunny and cold high of 31.

Friday Night Coldest night of the year 7 degrees.

Saturday: Becoming cloudy by late afternoon cold with a high of 18.

Saturday Night Cold with a low of 15 with snow by 7am.

Sunday: Heavy snow 8-12 inches of snow. High 23.

Sunday Night: Snow and some sleet low 26; 2-4 inches of slop. 

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11 hours ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

                        :weenie: New York Forecast by Feen :weenie::

Tonight: Cold breezy with a low of 25, Friday sunny and cold high of 31.

Friday Night Coldest night of the year 7 degrees.

Saturday: Becoming cloudy by late afternoon cold with a high of 18.

Saturday Night Cold with a low of 15 with snow by 7am.

Sunday: Heavy snow 8-12 inches of snow. High 23.

Sunday Night: Snow and some sleet low 26; 2-4 inches of slop. 

No slop with this one-powdery snow with some sleet on top

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I know this is a Master Of The Obvious thing to say, but the whole tone of the board leading up to these events, other than for the few who are able to keep emotions out of it, is entirely driven by expectations.

The 12-18" for the city / LI being tossed around starting 3 days ago virtually guaranteed that there would be a lot of unhappy people.

Had the early numbers been 1-3 and out to sea and evolved into even 4-8" plus sleet, the mood would be so much more chipper.

Meanwhile, I can go back to now two different times this winter where there was much lamenting about how we were going to be cold and dry forever.  Yet here we are again.

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