July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat

[Great Snow 1717]

11 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Also, any confirmed tornadoes anywhere in New England this year?

Off the top of my head I don't recall one.

NY state is well behind their record pace of 2024 and seems in line for a normal number of tornadoes this year.

Here in the winter wonderland aka methuen we haven't had anything close to a severe thunderstorm....

[weatherwiz]

1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Also, any confirmed tornadoes anywhere in New England this year?

 

1 hour ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

Off the top of my head I don't recall one.

NY state is well behind their record pace of 2024 and seems in line for a normal number of tornadoes this year.

Here in the winter wonderland aka methuen we haven't had anything close to a severe thunderstorm....

yeah we have had zero thus far. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Looks like a nice Steining for many today 

[Torch Tiger]

1 hour ago, Brewbeer said:

the only thing ugly about 80/55 are all the posts calling that weather ugly

the days will be mild with the decent sun angle, but the evenings/nights are certainly ugly

[Torch Tiger]

we have all fall/winter for 40's and 50's with crisp air, not sure why anyone would root for that crap in mid-summer

[HIPPYVALLEY]

78° and overcast.  Getting humid though.

[kdxken]

When are we supposed to clear out?

[HIPPYVALLEY]

24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Looks like a nice Steining for many today 

AWT

[DavisStraight]

Looks like a chance of storms later today

[NoCORH4L]

6 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Looks like a chance of storms later today

Cleared out nicely.

[Torch Tiger]

brightening through the ovc here

[Damage In Tolland]

Hi res all very meh. RRFS which has been killer this summer has very isolated stuff. Many will stay dry 

[Torch Tiger]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Hi res all very meh. RRFS which has been killer this summer has very isolated stuff. Many will stay dry 

3k nam is pretty good central/east MA

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

3k nam is pretty good central/east MA

That’s the one area that looks good 

[Great Snow 1717]

50 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

we have all fall/winter for 40's and 50's with crisp air, not sure why anyone would root for that crap in mid-summer

sort of like when you root for 60's and 70's during winter, no?

[powderfreak]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

 

yeah we have had zero thus far. 

There was that one up near Plattsburgh, NY but yeah, not New England.

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

There was that one up near Plattsburgh, NY but yeah, not New England.

yup...close but no cigar. 

[Torch Tiger]

19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s the one area that looks good 

13z hrrr gets your area pretty good iirc

[Modfan2]

25 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

13z hrrr gets your area pretty good iirc

Can you post it?

[Torch Tiger]

Just now, Modfan2 said:

Can you post it?

this is 14z, fairly similar for your hood

[Modfan2]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s the one area that looks good 

Wondering if we get caught between the stuff on the south coast in up in MA; sun wants to break out down here but it’s still mostly cloudy 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

It rained for about 90 seconds.

[weatherwiz]

Greatest aerial coverage of storms today should be from interior Maine southwest across southern New Hampshire and into northern Mass. Will be stuff farther south but probably more isolated but we may be able to build a line into northeast Connecticut as the stronger forcing slides southeast early this evening. 

[Lava Rock]

Let's get some bangers. All sailing north atm

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

[Torch Tiger]

36 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

It rained for about 90 seconds.

90 seconds more than many of us 

[bristolri_wx]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Hi res all very meh. RRFS which has been killer this summer has very isolated stuff. Many will stay dry 

Which RRFS are you looking at? The RRFS A is getting scrapped. I stopped looking at it. Not sure which one of the MPAS models is replacing it as the RRFS when it goes live as the NAM replacement…

[bristolri_wx]

11 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

Which RRFS are you looking at? The RRFS A is getting scrapped. I stopped looking at it. Not sure which one of the MPAS models is replacing it as the RRFS when it goes live as the NAM replacement…

Answering my own question:

https://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/MPAS/

[Chrisrotary12]

16 hours ago, dendrite said:

4 of those 6 highest are in the last 5 years. It’s a new regime. 

No wonder why I hate summer now. 

[Cyclone-68]

Northeast...
   Weak to moderate instability is forecast to develop across the
   Northeast through mid afternoon as the airmass continues to
   destabilize.  Midday surface analysis indicates temperatures are
   warming into the 80s with dewpoints in the upper 60s to lower 70s. 
   As the cold front advances east into this uncapped airmass,
   scattered thunderstorms should develop. Shear of 30 to 35 knots and
   relatively long/straight hodographs will support the potential for
   supercells. Weak mid-level lapse rates will be the primary limiting
   factor for large hail, but the overall favorable shear with strong
   venting aloft and potential supercells may support some isolated
   large hail. 

   Damaging wind gusts will be the primary threat, both from initial
   cells and also from any clusters which develop. Any stronger
   clusters with bowing segments could support a better organized
   damaging wind swath. The greatest wind damage threat will likely
   exist from western Massachusetts to far southern Maine. 

[Chrisrotary12]

Towers trying back in the Hudson River Valley but nothing too successful yet.