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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat


Typhoon Tip
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Under the heading of situational awareness ... 

Chantal's remnants are currently passing just SE of the Islands and it's influence on the synoptics this morning ... I don't think the models handled very well.

...spanning around the N-W arc there is DVM, the axis of which is right over us. NVA/DVM on the west side, outside the circulation, is not atypical as TC's rise in latitude. You can also see that influence on the vis loop as cloud decay and deep blue skies opened up.  MET and MAV machine is OV and yet there are few of any clouds at all at 50 miles of sky in all directions. 

This is a still-air bake we are in for this morning as a result.  Through a high launch pad and DPs very think in the sounding.  Yuck.  ..until the convective temperature is reached, these obs and trends suggest we don't have cloud shade.  And little or no air movement to offer those little moments of ah ventilation.  

go above machine for highs.   It's 86 here at 9am, am MET FIT is 89-ish for a high.   

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4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Under the heading of situational awareness ... 

Chantal's remnants are currently passing just SE of the Islands and it's influence on the synoptics this morning ... I don't think the models handled very well.

...spanning around the N-W arc there is DVM, the axis of which is right over us. NVA/DVM on the west side, outside the circulation, is not atypical as TC's rise in latitude. You can also see that influence on the vis loop as cloud decay and deep blue skies opened up.  MET and MAV machine is OV and yet there are few of any clouds at all at 50 miles of sky in all directions. 

This is a still air bake we are in for this morning as a result.  Through a high launch pad and DPs very think in the sounding.  Yuck.  ..until the convective temperature is reached, these obs and trends suggest we don't have cloud shade.  And little or now natural ventilation.  

go above machine for highs.   It's 86 here at 9am, am MET FIT is 89-ish for a high.   

Opposite of yesterday.

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13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Opposite of yesterday.

we actually still touched 91 here ... 90 next door at KFIT despite the clouds.  It was a 'silently remarkable' day for warmth considering there was little direct sun or none some 70 or 80% of the time.  There's kind of a perhaps "bun worthy" eeriness when it's completely cloudy and 90 F, which at one moment yesterday that occurred here.  it's just weird -

anyway, we're probably a 1/2 hour if that away from verifying a heat wave in this part of the AFD

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5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

we actually still touched 91 here ... 90 next door at KFIT despite the clouds.  It was a 'silently remarkable' day for warmth considering there was little direct sun or none some 70 or 80% of the time.  There's kind of a perhaps "bun worthy" eeriness when it's completely cloud and 90 F, which at one moment yesterday that occurred here.  it's just weird -

anyway, we're probably a 1/2 hour if that away from verifying a heat wave in this part of the AFD

Can't be, Mark Moregarbage said we won't have one.

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