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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat


Typhoon Tip
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16 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

A +19.2 day in summer is pretty damn hot. 
I doubt we see that again this summer. 

Prolly not this week. Brrrrr..

"on Thurs but this could
change as model guidance irons things out going forward.
Finally, temperatures will fall quite a bit by Thursday and
Friday with an easterly onshore flow developing. Ensemble
guidance shows surface temperature anomalies falling to between 5 and 10 degrees below climatology Thursday afternoon

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8 minutes ago, kdxken said:

I'm actually laughing out loud. That's how wars get started:D

Yeah, anyway this is like standard summer heat today… It wasn’t out of control
If that’s what people’s point is, I don’t have problem with that. 

So the reason why the heat index is the same here as it is and Atlanta Georgia or Florida Dallas or whatever, yet no advisory, is because of acclamation bias, which is a very real legitimate concern - has to be factored into pulling headline triggers. 

Ex, Virginia Beach gets a winter storm warning and a town shut down for four days over 3 inches of snow 
 

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3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Yeah, anyway this is like standard summer heat today… It wasn’t out of control
If that’s what people’s point is, I don’t have problem with that. 

So the reason why the heat index is the same here as it is and Atlanta Georgia or Florida Dallas or whatever, yet no advisory, is because of acclamation bias, which is a very real legitimate concern - has to be factored into pulling headline triggers. 

Ex, Virginia Beach gets a winter storm warning and a town shut down for four days over 3 inches of snow 
 

I think they actually base it off  anomalies. Average temperature in Indianapolis is higher than Boston hence...

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Per NWS

Each National Weather Service Forecast Office issues some or all of the following heat-related products as conditions warrant. NWS local offices often collaborate with local partners to determine when an alert should be issued for a local area. For instance, residents of Florida are much more prepared for 90°F+ weather than residents in Alaska.

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1 hour ago, kdxken said:

Just our area. Indianapolis, Savannah, Atlanta all had heat indexes similar to ours with no heat advisory. 

You do realize that NOAA/NWS has always had geographic differences for criteria of advisories, watches and warnings of all different types?  There are differing criteria for cold temperatures, frost/freeze, snow, etc as well.  Here you are 100% correct in stating facts about temps in those other locations yet 100% wrong in your assessment as to why they did not receive advisories and we did...

EDIT: Looks like several others have also brought up this point.

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