June 2025 Obs/Disco

[dendrite]

Min 51.1°

Feels chilly, but not too far below normal.

[CoastalWx]

we are right on the edge of heat at times. So maybe it’s a day or two of warmth followed by fropa and N to nE winds while NJ south roasts.

[kdxken]

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

we are right on the edge of heat at times. So maybe it’s a day or two of warmth followed by fropa and N to nE winds while NJ south roasts.

Yup, end of the week looks like some mid-80s possibly higher in hotspots but nothing sustained. So long as it doesn't rain I'm happy.

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Yup, end of the week looks like some mid-80s possibly higher in hotspots but nothing sustained. So long as it doesn't rain I'm happy.

Probably 85-90+ end of week

[Damage In Tolland]

Oh baby it’s coming 

https://x.com/jimcantore/status/1933436787159917015?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

[NoCORH4L]

[HoarfrostHubb]

https://x.com/surfskiweather/status/1933493008810348748?s=46&t=096JqkIpgJTvSWddnDYqdA
 

[CoastalWx]

Of course he posts long range gfs ops.

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Of course he posts long range gfs ops.

He’s the president of ACATT

[weatherwiz]

8 hours ago, DavisStraight said:

You stomp on it?

I did not

[Damage In Tolland]

Doesn’t look like much rain at all this weekend. Maybe the Jack gets .20. Certainly better than it looked a few days ago even if cloudy and cool 

[Typhoon Tip]

9 hours ago, powderfreak said:

ORH at a 35 DP.

Little pocket of very dry air over highly populated areas… EMATT.

that actually looks like an unusually dry air mass everywhere, with local wv forcing from evaporation post green up tainting DPs into the 40s to me.

[ineedsnow]

31 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Of course he posts long range gfs ops.

33 more days the GFS goes out to August 1st  and we can put the hottest month behind us 

[Typhoon Tip]

12 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

33 more days the GFS goes out to August 1st  and we can put the hottest month behind us 

10 more days the GFS will start pimping seasonal change on every D10 solution      ... it can't wait to get past the solstice every year and then it thinks it's October 15

[Ginx snewx]

31 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Doesn’t look like much rain at all this weekend. Maybe the Jack gets .20. Certainly better than it looked a few days ago even if cloudy and cool 

6z Euro  .5 .6 it is usually right day before 

[Ginx snewx]

10 hours ago, powderfreak said:

BOS at 75/37 for 25% RH after 10pm is awesome.  That’s a warm, dry, well-mixed breezy vibe.  Mediterranean.

It's been a COC week with fans house is perfect 

[Typhoon Tip]

meanwhile, that's a hot signal between the 19th and 25th.  

all the operational models are coherently ejecting/repositioning +2+ standard deviation height anomalies closer to 90 w, well teleconnected with the major index modes in that time range. 

trend of verification low-balling the original warm signals, if not fail,  has been observable - since last november that's been going on, actually.  interesting subplot.   

we'll see if this one has legs.

[Typhoon Tip]

59 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Of course he posts long range gfs ops.

i actually suggest it is useful to do that - not just a bias evidence.  

i was just smirking that we've been low-balling if not failing heat since last november really.   i've actually been seeing evidence of winter 'structure' to the super synoptic behavior, just doing so at 30 to 40 dm higher.   weirdly long wave lengths and useful pna prognostics is not very summer like, so we get what we get from that.  try to spare the long winded digression ( no pun intended) but the fast flow associated with blazing equatorial and sub-equatorial heights would be the most suspect factor in keeping the jet alive due to +d(gz) at mid and upper latitudes...

anyway, in deference to that being the case ... i believe these odd-ball cold lobes in ontario like these long range gfs have some principle value to them.  i mean they're not going to be right per se, just in concept in other words.  

that's an important heat signal in that ~19th + time range out there but we'll see. 

[SouthCoastMA]

Saturday looks like shite, maybe Sunday can be somewhat salvaged - But we can do a lot better on Father's Day. 

[CoastalWx]

45 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

33 more days the GFS goes out to August 1st  and we can put the hottest month behind us 

And the most humid month awaits!

[CoastalWx]

46 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

33 more days the GFS goes out to August 1st  and we can put the hottest month behind us 

We have deep summer well into October. 

[forkyfork]

i just want the snow bunnies to suffer

[forkyfork]

one day we will get a power grid collapsing derecho followed by two weeks of 90+

[tamarack]

14 hours ago, kdxken said:

She told me she helped to patient actually walk out of recovery last week. Still don't trust her.

While I was waiting to undergo pre-op tests, I watched nurses helping a surgery patient practicing on stairs, almost certainly on the day after his operation.  I anticipate going thru the same, as there's 8 steps to enter our place - fortunately has rails on both sides.

Hazy sun here, will be cooler than yesterday's 74.

Fantastic evening.  Warm, slight breeze. A few birds still calling and fireflies starting to come out. 

First firefly sighting here was June 3 and by the 5th (high was 86 that day) we had lots.

[rclab]

32 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

i just want the snow bunnies to suffer

 

29 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

one day we will get a power grid collapsing derecho followed by two weeks of 90+

May that day, to the disappointment of some, never come. As always ….

[ineedsnow]

43 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

We have deep summer well into October. 

I hate sleet this past October 

[Torch Tiger]

Next shot at any interesting thunder/severe looks like the 19th

[moneypitmike]

12 hours ago, DavisStraight said:

Should sell quick, I sold my house in one day, wrapping things up tomorrow with the lawyer.

Congrats—was that in Westborough too?  I hope it goes quickly—I dont want to mow 3 lawns.  

[weatherwiz]

1 hour ago, forkyfork said:

one day we will get a power grid collapsing derecho followed by two weeks of 90+

I wonder if we will ever see a high risk issued in the Northeast again

[CoastalWx]

Dogshit Saturday enroute.