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June 2025 discussion-obs: Summerlike


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tick season is here we can't go to parks anymore they said a deer died at a park because over three dozen ticks attacked him and they even killed a mallard duck....

don't they have chemicals they can spray to kill all these ticks?

Two things I want exterminated from the planet are ticks and mosquitoes they serve no purpose in nature except to hurt everything else so let's make them go extinct.

 

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It hit 91 here before the clouds moved in. The last 3 days it was 90-91-91 for the high temps, so we did achieve a heat wave here. 

I see a storm in Somerset County is missing me to the northwest right now. I just heard a rumble way off in the distance. I don't think anything is gonna make it to my area this evening, but keeping an eye on radar in case. 

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3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

tick season is here we can't go to parks anymore they said a deer died at a park because over three dozen ticks attacked him and they even killed a mallard duck....

don't they have chemicals they can spray to kill all these ticks?

Two things I want exterminated from the planet are ticks and mosquitoes they serve no purpose in nature except to hurt everything else so let's make them go extinct.

 

Permethrin will kill them, and all the other bugs - including bees which we don’t want to do.  I’ve seen literally dead giraffes in Africa die from ticks so dead deer is no surprise.  Sad .  I pulled 14 of my dog after one woods walk.  No more of that.  He can’t use tick meds or collars because of seizures.  Can’t use bug spray either.  Sucks.

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11 minutes ago, cleetussnow said:

Permethrin will kill them, and all the other bugs - including bees which we don’t want to do.  I’ve seen literally dead giraffes in Africa die from ticks so dead deer is no surprise.  Sad .  I pulled 14 of my dog after one woods walk.  No more of that.  He can’t use tick meds or collars because of seizures.  Can’t use bug spray either.  Sucks.

omg, how do you and your poor dog deal with it?

this seems to be a really bad season for ticks.

I wonder if it's because of all the rain followed by very warm weather?

 

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It will turn somewhat cooler with high temperatures returning to the upper 70s tomorrow and then middle 70s Sunday and Monday.

Showers and thundershowers are possible tomorrow. Rainfall amounts should generally be light except where scattered locations see heavier thunderstorms.

By the middle of the week, it will turn warmer with temperatures again rising into the 80s.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around May 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.17°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least mid summer.

The SOI was -1.13 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.967 today.

 

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4 hours ago, cleetussnow said:

Permethrin will kill them, and all the other bugs - including bees which we don’t want to do.  I’ve seen literally dead giraffes in Africa die from ticks so dead deer is no surprise.  Sad .  I pulled 14 of my dog after one woods walk.  No more of that.  He can’t use tick meds or collars because of seizures.  Can’t use bug spray either.  Sucks.

Same with my dog.  Not recommended so I'm don't know what to do since we have cats too. Don't need fleas all over the house. 

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I guess you all didn’t get the rains like we did out this way? 

I am camping with my daughter’s Girl Scout troop, in town, and we got it while we were setting around 4:00 to 6:00 p.m. Cooled the temps off perfectly and made tent camping palatable. 

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20 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

Sunday looks to be dry but mostly cloudy.

I don't think we're going to get an inch of rain out of this either.

 

We are starting out with fog here today with showers across the area. Then we dry out tomorrow morning before more rain later in the day into the evening.

So our first major 95° heat and first 90° east of NYC will have to wait. Longer range it looks like a back door  pattern for next weekend with strong Canadian high pressure. Maybe the high will be strong enough to keep the stalled front and rains closer to DC and south. Would be nice to get a dry weekend with comfortable June temperatures.

The strongest heat is forecast to stay to our West through mid-June. 
 

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IMG_3748.thumb.png.a0b4f4ff0791efa1c12b2e57b78d3f10.png

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Looks wet at times, daily through Tue... added the Prob of >0.01 from wet 00z/7 EPS and drier GEFS.  I wouldn't promise anyone a dry Sunday afternoon-night...  just by natural, albeit weakening northeastward ejection of the lead short wave, I would think rain would impact. our area later Sunday.

When to mow if you didnt yesterday...  for me up here, window of opportunity 4P today to 2P Sunday. Attached probs.

Next chance of 90 interior seems next Thu-Fri though ensembles dont play it up.  Very rapid warming again after the trough aloft our area Tue-Wed lifts northward, similar to this past Wed-Fri. 

 

Will add first week CF6 for Newark tomorrow morning. 

Screen Shot 2025-06-07 at 6.58.35 AM.png

Screen Shot 2025-06-07 at 6.58.54 AM.png

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5 minutes ago, bluewave said:

We are starting out with fog here today with showers across the area. Then we dry out tomorrow morning before more rain later in the day into the evening.

So our first major 95° heat and first 90° east of NYC will have to wait. Longer range it looks like a back door  pattern for next weekend with strong Canadian high pressure. Maybe the high will be strong enough to keep the stalled front and rains closer to DC and south. Would be nice to get a dry weekend with comfortable June temperatures.

The strongest heat is forecast to stay to our West through mid-June. 
 

IMG_3745.thumb.png.5281e1eba9c8180424fb7004df6600ff.png


IMG_3748.thumb.png.a0b4f4ff0791efa1c12b2e57b78d3f10.png

No showers here at all just foggy and 100% humidity and yucky 70 degrees.

 

I don't know why some people go by the temperatures, 100 degrees with a 58 dew point and 25% humidity is MUCH more comfortable than this mess I turned on the air conditioner as soon as I woke up.  No a/c needed with 100 degrees and 58 dew point and 25% humidity, this weather is so much worse!

 

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8 minutes ago, bluewave said:

We are starting out with fog here today with showers across the area. Then we dry out tomorrow morning before more rain later in the day into the evening.

So our first major 95° heat and first 90° east of NYC will have to wait. Longer range it looks like a back door  pattern for next weekend with strong Canadian high pressure. Maybe the high will be strong enough to keep the stalled front and rains closer to DC and south. Would be nice to get a dry weekend with comfortable June temperatures.

The strongest heat is forecast to stay to our West through mid-June. 
 

IMG_3745.thumb.png.5281e1eba9c8180424fb7004df6600ff.png


IMG_3748.thumb.png.a0b4f4ff0791efa1c12b2e57b78d3f10.png

Chris whats that giant High in eastern Canada doing in the first map, all that deep red up, what are the temperatures under that?

 

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9 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Chris whats that giant High in eastern Canada doing in the first map, all that deep red up, what are the temperatures under that?

 

The deep red is the higher pressure than normal. This leads to easterly flow here once the back door drops south. The EPS is forecasting a stalled out front to be somewhere south of us mid-June. Once waves of low pressure start to ride east it will eventually lead to the rains coming back north into our area mid-June. But maybe we can sneak in a dry weekend for a change. 
 

IMG_3749.thumb.png.059eb14e8a93e916b2b973ec4f0b4d06.png

 

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4 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The deep red is the higher pressure than normal. This leads to easterly flow here once the back door drops south. The EPS is forecasting a stalled out front to be somewhere south of us mid-June. Once waves of low pressure start to ride east it will eventually lead to the rains coming back north into our area mid-June. But maybe we can sneak in a dry weekend for a change. 
 

IMG_3749.thumb.png.059eb14e8a93e916b2b973ec4f0b4d06.png

 

So it looks like June will be wet just like May was but with much higher humidity, so more like a tropical climate for us? I'm going to have to spray outside for mosquitoes and other bad bugs.

 

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20 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

So it looks like June will be wet just like May was but with much higher humidity, so more like a tropical climate for us? I'm going to have to spray outside for mosquitoes and other bad bugs.

 

Yeah, the clouds and showers will probably cap the high temperature potential unless the late month pattern can find a a way to dry out a bit. 
 

 

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18 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

yeah this weather absolutely sucks, on came the a/c even before 7 am lol

100 degrees sunny and dew point of 58 with humidity of 25% is so much more comfortable than this.

A/C on all night with fan.  Can't sleep when its warm out.  Gotta be freezing for me year round when sleeping.  

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72 / 68 highest dew points in a while.  Another period of 72 - 96 hours of mainly cloudy conditions coinciding with a weekend.  Showers / pop up storms Sat - Sun - Mon - Tue with 0.50 - 1.00+ heaviest storms spots as frontal boundary lingers over or nearby.  Clears out and warms up Wed - Fri with next chance of 90 in the hotter areas of C-n _NJ of this regional group.  Next front arriving next weekend 6/14 - 6/15.  Beyond there overall warm with heat from west building north and east towards the 20th along with heights.  

6/7 - 6/10 :   Cloudy wet - rain chances
6/11 - 6/13 : Much warmer - dry perhaps stray 90 
6/14 - 6/17 : Front nearby - more clouds / rain -storms
6/18  - Byond : Hotter by the 20th - overall warmer than normal

 

GOES19-NE-GEOCOLOR-600x600.gif

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