Winter 2025-26

[Jebman]

9 hours ago, bncho said:

BANK ON IT. It will happen. Get the shovels ready. You'll all be GLUED to models for months. Your BACKS will hurt BAD. You are about to shovel about 50 years' worth of snow. Next winter will be even snowier. YOU ARE GONNABE SO DAMNED TIRED OF SNOW BY LATE JAN 2026, it will be ridiculous!

You guys have had this coming for a long while. These, will be the Days To Remember. Joel says they will not last forever, but I got news for you! It WILL last "forever" for many. BIG ALTERATIONS COMING!

 

[winter_warlock]

20 hours ago, Jebman said:

BANK ON IT. It will happen. Get the shovels ready. You'll all be GLUED to models for months. Your BACKS will hurt BAD. You are about to shovel about 50 years' worth of snow. Next winter will be even snowier. YOU ARE GONNABE SO DAMNED TIRED OF SNOW BY LATE JAN 2026, it will be ridiculous!

You guys have had this coming for a long while. These, will be the Days To Remember. Joel says they will not last forever, but I got news for you! It WILL last "forever" for many. BIG ALTERATIONS COMING!

 

U seem pretty sure of urself were all gonna get. A snowy winter..... I want what ur drinking... And I hope ur right lol

[Maestrobjwa]

52 minutes ago, winter_warlock said:

U seem pretty sure of urself were all gonna get. A snowy winter..... I want what ur drinking... And I hope ur right lol

Nah this is what he does. He is THE hype man of the forum and everybody loves it!

[Maestrobjwa]

I still wanna know why the heck the moisture cutoff from Baltimore north during the winter has lasted this long. Like..."north and west of the city" and the usual snowing areas hasn't even been a thing! Something going on this long makes "random chance" difficult to accept. I swear it feels like something in the atmosphere changed because it’s been a literal wall, smh

[winter_warlock]

8 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Nah this is what he does. He is THE hype man of the forum and everybody loves it!

Ahhh ok lol

[Eskimo Joe]

Would vastly prefer numerous light to moderate events with good cold that maintain some semblance of a snow pack, versus one big event that melts off in 2 days.

[dailylurker]

39 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Would vastly prefer numerous light to moderate events with good cold that maintain some semblance of a snow pack, versus one big event that melts off in 2 days.

The past two winters here in the lowlands have had some nice extended snowpack. Especially last season. I had more snowpack days in January and February than not. I had snowpack the entire month of January just about. Let's do it again!

[Eskimo Joe]

11 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

The past two winters here in the lowlands have had some nice extended snowpack. Especially last season. I had more snowpack days in January and February than not. I had snowpack the entire month of January just about. Let's do it again!

Last winter would have been a real nice one if the early January and late February events didn't skunk at the last minute. 

[psuhoffman]

19 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

I still wanna know why the heck the moisture cutoff from Baltimore north during the winter has lasted this long. Like..."north and west of the city" and the usual snowing areas hasn't even been a thing! Something going on this long makes "random chance" difficult to accept. I swear it feels like something in the atmosphere changed because it’s been a literal wall, smh

I think it’s a combination of a result of a general pattern and bad luck making it worse. We have been in a Nina like pattern a lot and it’s more common in that type of pattern to occasionally get west to east snow events that don’t phase and instead are suppressed by the northern stream. On top of that the storms that were phased all tended to end up too far north for Baltimore to make up for the southern misses. March 2017, March 2018, March 2019, 5 storms in 2021, Jan and March 2022…all those features big snowstorms that the big snow missed just NW of Baltimore. The combo has created a gap zone around Baltimore that’s probably the greatest snowfall minimum WRT mean on the US over the last 10 years. 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I think it’s a combination of a result of a general pattern and bad luck making it worse. We have been in a Nina like pattern a lot and it’s more common in that type of pattern to occasionally get west to east snow events that don’t phase and instead are suppressed by the northern stream. On top of that the storms that were phased all tended to end up too far north for Baltimore to make up for the southern misses. March 2017, March 2018, March 2019, 5 storms in 2021, Jan and March 2022…all those features big snowstorms that the big snow missed just NW of Baltimore. The combo has created a gap zone around Baltimore that’s probably the greatest snowfall minimum WRT mean on the US over the last 10 years. 

Philadelphia's previous 7-year low snowfall record was 13.2"

The last 7 years has been 10.5".. they might be the epicenter. 

I know that I haven't had a storm over 5.5" since Nov 15, 2018. 

[psuhoffman]

7 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Philadelphia's previous 7-year low snowfall record was 13.2"

The last 7 years has been 10.5".. they might be the epicenter. 

I know that I haven't had a storm over 5.5" since Nov 15, 2018. 

Phillys mean is a little higher than Baltimore. Baltimore is also in its least snowy 7 year period ever. Both are probably within a really small margin of each other wrt suckiest snow city in America recently. 

[JenkinsJinkies]

I wonder if this will be another season where the arctic blasts happen but go to the other side of the hemisphere instead?

[bigtenfan]

14 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Phillys mean is a little higher than Baltimore. Baltimore is also in its least snowy 7 year period ever. Both are probably within a really small margin of each other wrt suckiest snow city in America recently. 

Philadelphia's official measurement for snow is done across the Delaware River from the airport in National Park NJ. That particular spot is not really representative of the Phila area or for that matter most of Phila itself. That could have something to do with the low official measurements.

[IronTy]

1 hour ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

I wonder if this will be another season where the arctic blasts happen but I’m the go to the other side of the hemisphere instead?

Sounds like we need to start tracking snowcover in Mongolia pretty soon.   

[Weather Will]

17 minutes ago, IronTy said:

Sounds like we need to start tracking snowcover in Mongolia pretty soon.   

Go to Greenland...

[Stormchaserchuck1]

Again, with -ENSO (persistent +SOI), -PDO, -H5 over the Arctic during the Summer, I'm liking a blend of the last 5 Winters (20-21 to 24-25). We should at least get some cold shots, I don't think it will be a wall-to-wall warm Winter, like 97-98/01-02 or anything like that. 22-23 had some -EPO/-NAO patterns in Dec and March that didn't deliver, I'd take my chances with the same upper latitude pattern. 

[Terpeast]

9 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Again, with -ENSO (persistent +SOI), -PDO, -H5 over the Arctic during the Summer, I'm liking a blend of the last 5 Winters (20-21 to 24-25). We should at least get some cold shots, I don't think it will be a wall-to-wall warm Winter, like 97-98/01-02 or anything like that. 22-23 had some -EPO/-NAO patterns in Dec and March that didn't deliver, I'd take my chances with the same upper latitude pattern. 

And part of the problem with 22-23 was the timing of those favorable patterns. They happened outside of our peak winter window. Had they occurred in Jan and Feb instead of Dec and Mar, the outcome would probably not have been a ratter like it was.