May 2025 Obs/Discussion

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

7 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro fucks us. JFC.

We’ve been on quite the heater with regards to peak misery occurring shortly after winter. Can’t get shit from Dec-March but we can sure ruin weekends in May and June like nobodies business 

[powderfreak]

11 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

We’ve been on quite the heater with regards to peak misery occurring shortly after winter. Can’t get shit from Dec-March but we can sure ruin weekends in May and June like nobodies business 

The forum would be losing its collective shit if the Euro pumped this out Dec-Mar… Even if it was a 5-day 18z run run.

Regardless of unlikeliness, it’s a hilarious model outcome of another Saturday.

[eekuasepinniW]

Enjoyed 4 nice downpours today to help keep the moss nourished.

I'll start planting tomorrow, by far the latest I've ever started planting.  I'm usually done by now. Really feels like the arrival of stable planting weather has been getting later and later, despite how much warmer the climate has become.

Too many ticks.

The bottom 30 feet of nearly every beech tree on my property has some sort of disease causing the leaves to die off. 

[weathafella]

3 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

9:07 and still a bit of light in the western sky here 

Sunset in Fairbanks tonight is 11:49pm with tomorrow’s sunrise at 3:46am.  

[kdxken]

Those seeking a rain-free weekend, don`t come after the messenger.
There are rain chances through this weekend

[kdxken]

7 hours ago, eekuasepinniW said:

Enjoyed 4 nice downpours today to help keep the moss nourished.

I'll start planting tomorrow, by far the latest I've ever started planting.  I'm usually done by now. Really feels like the arrival of stable planting weather has been getting later and later, despite how much warmer the climate has become.

Too many ticks.

The bottom 30 feet of nearly every beech tree on my property has some sort of disease causing the leaves to die off. 

The beech trees are toast. That's how mine started. Gone now.

[kdxken]

Nice write up on the tree diseases. 

https://www.timesunion.com/hudsonvalley/outdoors/article/invasive-species-ash-chestnut-hemlock-elm-beech-20324636.php

[CoastalWx]

Let’s ruin another weaken baby. Deep summer.

[CoastalWx]

And cooler adjustments 

[CoastalWx]

Although couple days next week look pretty warm.

[Typhoon Tip]

Deep tropospheric summer after day 7.  Remarkable operational model agreement between the Euro/GFS/GGEM for -d(PNA) seesaw, and this time there doesn't appear to be blocking tendency over the western lime of the NAO domain/N-central Canada.  These telecons argue for more warming ridge signal penetrating to higher latitudes E of 100W, and that's precisely ( also ) what these operational runs are signaling.  That's a tidy wholesale signal.  Yeah, long lead, admittedly ... but, having these converging methods raises the odds over the "confidence climate" for this range and gives the idea some legs. 

The trough at the end of the week/foreground may or may not host a focused low toward the coast, but that's not as clear as the last ordeal was from this same range.  This last one had a narrowed field by virtue of having a big polar +PP sprawling N of 40 N laying in an easterly flow anomaly from Chicago to Halifax. That's low pressure running underneath determinant correlation. Not having that hemisphere this time around provides differences.  For one, temp-wise.  Instead of 40s rain ... we may yet muster 60 deg type rain.  If the low ends up a bit west there even may be some southerly flow that ends with a cold front. ...  Not the same set up overall as this last.   

Does that butt bone a weekend for some?  Probably.   Not gonna attempt to gaslight that truth... but it just wouldn't be as bad imo.  As that whole thing implodes and folds up in latitude the eastern heights recover and we step through the summer door.

[amarshall]

On 5/23/2025 at 5:17 PM, Ginx snewx said:

 

Love the new updated SE mass drought.  I can tell you there's standing water everywhere.  Mosquitos are going to be the size of birds.  This drought map is nonsense 

 

 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

31 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Let’s ruin another weaken baby. Deep summer.

GFS wants to rain the following weekend also.

[Torch Tiger]

8am Kennebunk, very nice

[weatherwiz]

I can't wait for the heat/humidity. It's wild how different it is in the sun versus the shade. It's my belief that people should sweat and still be stifled, even in the shade. 

[CoastalWx]

31 minutes ago, amarshall said:

Love the new updated SE mass drought.  I can tell you there's standing water everywhere.  Mosquitos are going to be the size of birds.  This drought map is nonsense 

 

 

That will be gone this week. That was before the nor’easter. 

[Typhoon Tip]

38 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

GFS wants to rain the following weekend also.

06z no...

00z unlikely to even manifest.  That tropical entity is a CAC spin up and the GFS is overzealous with those as an ongoing model bias during warm season ridge eruptions over eastern N/A ...   The flow underneath the ridging ends up with an enhanced E and/or calm anomaly, at mid and upper levels, while trade-wind related convection festers below - it is all too favorable for TC genesis for the GFS to resist and it launches at least excuse.  If I had a nickle for every time there was a GFS emerged CAC created low under a late spring ridge, that it then ran up over Cuba and right on up the eastern seaboard, I'd buy this web site and then Trump-suppress anyone from ever grousing about them.   LOL

[amarshall]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That will be gone this week. That was before the nor’easter. 

TV mets looking for something to talk about this morning blasting that . 

[CoastalWx]

9 minutes ago, amarshall said:

TV mets looking for something to talk about this morning blasting that . 

 No way. Seriously? They might be the most useless maps on the planet. 

[amarshall]

21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

 No way. Seriously? They might be the most useless maps on the planet. 

https://www.cbsnews.com/boston/weather/

[NoCORH4L]

Week goes downhill drastically

[UnitedWx]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

And cooler adjustments 

Love it! And what a day today

[dryslot]

12 hours ago, eekuasepinniW said:

Enjoyed 4 nice downpours today to help keep the moss nourished.

I'll start planting tomorrow, by far the latest I've ever started planting.  I'm usually done by now. Really feels like the arrival of stable planting weather has been getting later and later, despite how much warmer the climate has become.

Too many ticks.

The bottom 30 feet of nearly every beech tree on my property has some sort of disease causing the leaves to die off. 

Yup, Same, Just started yesterday, Usually done after Memorial weekend, Been terrible with 8 rainy weekends.

[powderfreak]

39F for the low and up to 70F already.

[weatherwiz]

I really hope the GFS is onto something with some EML potential moving into the second half of next week. 

[DavisStraight]

4 hours ago, kdxken said:

The beech trees are toast. That's how mine started. Gone now.

Great firewood, my favorite, good btu's and no bark to make a mess.

[Damage In Tolland]

What a torch starting next and beyond. Things you love to see 

[CoastalWx]

46 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I really hope the GFS is onto something with some EML potential moving into the second half of next week. 

It’s unusable. Don’t do it.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Another garbage week filled with clouds and rain 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

I hope this week turns out better than is being advertised. Not sure I can stand the wall to wall clouds again this week.

Yesterdya may have been the best day until late next week.