clskinsfan Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 1 hour ago, jayyy said: I know the northern tier folks would take that 986 off Cape May. Woof Over OC to Cape May would be better. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 genuine question, what was a similar storm to this setup with TPV interaction(to this extent) being involved?The second event feb 9-11 2010 was sort of like that. This event has more southern proponent ahead of it I think . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 9 minutes ago, adelphi_sky said: Has there ever been a snowstorm that sat off the coast and produced at least 20 hours of heavy snow before it cleared the area? Edit: seems like when we get these setups, the storm is over in under 24 hours. I think Jan 1996 was close. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 Ukie ensembles 24hr snowfall to maintain the sanity of all N&W weenies. 9 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Ukie ensembles 24hr snowfall to maintain the sanity of all N&W weenies. So every ens other than the GFS (which isn’t shabby) has a 4” 24hr snow mean? Gonna snow again somewhere here, folks 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 7 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said: genuine question, what was a similar storm to this setup with TPV interaction(to this extent) being involved? March 2001 iirc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 Would like to see the models start popping the primary a bit further north going forward. Not often we score with a coastal popping off the coast of FL. At least not those of us to the NW. SC sure. FL not so much. UKIE does just that, SC coast, and is really close to a monster run for all of us. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 Just playing catch up between sampling and selling beers today. So we need a happy hour yank and banger? Got it. Keep up the great work in here. You’re killing it! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silver Meteor Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: No because there's no place to sit off the coast. March 5th - 9th in 1962. The Great Atlantic Coastal Storm. I remember it and saw the aftermath a month later. (Yes, I'm old as dirt - born 1951.) Far as I know a once in recorded history event? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 1996 was similar but that upper low was incredibly amplified and dove into KY/TN. We would need to see a major adjustment on that part for this to have that kind of potential. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 3 minutes ago, Silver Meteor said: March 5th - 9th in 1962. The Great Atlantic Coastal Storm. I remember it and saw the aftermath a month later. Yes, I'm old as dirt - born 1951.) Far as I know a once in recorded history event? That was the worst natural disaster in MD history up to that point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: That was the worst natural disaster in MD history up to that point. Was that the Ashe Wed storm? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 12 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Ukie ensembles 24hr snowfall to maintain the sanity of all N&W weenies. Oh my. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 I know there was a 16” snowstorm up here the first week of March 62. Must of been that storm. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 Spring is definitely coming. Not only does it feel warm out but the sun felt hot on my face walking to the car. Give me one legit 8”+ snowstorm and I’m ready. 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I know there was a 16” snowstorm up here the first week of March 62. Must of been that storm. Yeah it was Ash Wednesday. Hammered the Shenandoah valley with 2-3 feet of smow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 25 minutes ago, HornetsHomer91 said: Nice signal. Trajectory on that should be NE instead of E. Maybe ENE, which is just enough to get DC in the game. Still lots of time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 CIPS analog system at T+156 with a signal here. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 Spring is definitely coming. Not only does it feel warm out but the sun felt hot on my face walking to the car. Give me one legit 8”+ snowstorm and I’m ready. I don’t like how your standards are falling for what type of storm pleases you You’ve become jaded lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NVAwx Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 Precipitation is forecast to exit the region on Monday , but river flooding could linger through Monday evening as water slowly drains through the river system. Below normal temperatures and mostly dry conditions are favored through the middle parts of next week. The next chance for precipitation will be Wednesday into Thursday when a coastal low may bring coastal low to the region with wintry precipitation possible. - LWX discussion (2/13/25 @ 2:41 pm) FUJIWHARA!?! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 6 minutes ago, csnavywx said: CIPS analog system at T+156 with a signal here. That trajectory reminds me a lot of 2/6-7/03. https://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2003/07-Feb-03.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Spring is definitely coming. Not only does it feel warm out but the sun felt hot on my face walking to the car. Give me one legit 8”+ snowstorm and I’m ready. Enjoy that sun angle now and curse it later ... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 26 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: That was the worst natural disaster in MD history up to that point. Then I was born near the end of the decade. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 6 minutes ago, gymengineer said: That trajectory reminds me a lot of 2/6-7/03. https://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2003/07-Feb-03.html Looks similar. Ceiling on this one could be a bit higher. In my experience, the big dogs are usually pretty synoptically obvious and show up on guidance earlier than most events. Solution stability brought on by larger, more stable parts. The PV streamer that comes off the Hudson Bay TPV and the timing of the southern stream shortwave are probably the parts with the biggest slippage, but given that these are currently large, stable systems means it's rather unlikely all of this is a hallucination. 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 10 minutes ago, gymengineer said: That trajectory reminds me a lot of 2/6-7/03. https://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2003/07-Feb-03.html I remember that storm from the coverage of it on Channel 13 in Baltimore. They had a live traffic segment from their chopper traffic reporter. It hadn't started snowing yet imby, but he showed a pic outside the chopper and the chopper lights illuminated decent snow falling where he was 1500' or so up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 40 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Ukie ensembles 24hr snowfall to maintain the sanity of all N&W weenies. <jinx>Just wanted to mention that my house was as dead center of the heaviest square north of Carroll County.<jinx> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Junkie Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 18 minutes ago, NVAwx said: Precipitation is forecast to exit the region on Monday , but river flooding could linger through Monday evening as water slowly drains through the river system. Below normal temperatures and mostly dry conditions are favored through the middle parts of next week. The next chance for precipitation will be Wednesday into Thursday when a coastal low may bring coastal low to the region with wintry precipitation possible. - LWX discussion (2/13/25 @ 2:41 pm) FUJIWHARA!?! Coastal low is so strong it was mentioned twice! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 14 minutes ago, Ji said: I don’t like how your standards are falling for what type of storm pleases you You’ve become jaded lol lol It’s about potential. If we were in a Nino I might have a higher bar. But 8” has always been the bar of what I think feels like a big snow. But if it’s supposed to be a 20” storm and I get fringed with 8 that’s different so it just depends. But in general 8+ is a big snow, 4-7 is a moderate storm and 1-3 is minor and I generally meh those. But I can even enjoy a 1-3” event if it’s part of building a snowpack. Know you don’t care about that. But a 1-3” that’s gone a day later does nada for me. In every case meeting reasonable potential is more important than the number. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 Sterling has snow forecasted for. Central md..... Kinda Ballsy for 6 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 13, 2025 Share Posted February 13, 2025 This looks really good and remarkably cold for mid/late February. In 48 hours if it hasn't gone poof I will legit get excited. It's crazy we're already tracking again just a day after our last event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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