Eskimo Joe Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Ukie is roughly GGEM-like. 4-7” or so before a flip to sleet and then dryslot for metro areas. Starts pre-dawn Tuesday. More energy behind but thermals are north. Events have trended drier nearly every time this winter. The Ukie, at this range, would seem more reasonable. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 4 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: GEFS looks good, similar to 6Z. UK looks decent, 3-5 of snow then over to sleet. Confidence that we get something is increasing. Gefs is good for some breathing room. It removed a lot of the bad misses to the north. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 27 minutes ago, weatherkyle said: I think it should be muted just based on the fact that it’s Thursday and the storm doesn’t start until Tuesday morning. I’m at least not buying into the huge amounts. It’s just digital porn You shut your mouth when you're talking to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 31 minutes ago, weatherkyle said: I think it should be muted just based on the fact that it’s Thursday and the storm doesn’t start until Tuesday morning. I’m at least not buying into the huge amounts. It’s just digital porn You’re new here. You’ll figure it out that the bulk of the weenies here are all in 10 days out lol 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 Arctic blocking going insane on the GEFS 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 WB 12Z GEFS...4 day mean. Snowy period ahead inside 9 days. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 Just now, brooklynwx99 said: Arctic blocking going insane on the GEFS 2 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 I’m gonna make a quasi-Ji statement. Up in my area we’ve had several 4-6” storms the last few years, including a couple last winter and a 4&7 Incher this year. The 7” a few weeks ago was awesome given the rates. I’m gonna big dog hunt this one at least for 6-10” which I think is very reachable. Getting 5” over 18 hours wouldn’t give as much excitement as 8 or 10 would. just give me the 12z gfs or the last Ai run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 3 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: I’m gonna make a quasi-Ji statement. Up in my area we’ve had several 4-6” storms the last few years, including a couple last winter and a 4&7 Incher this year. The 7” a few weeks ago was awesome given the rates. I’m gonna big dog hunt this one at least for 6-10” which I think is very reachable. Getting 5” over 18 hours wouldn’t give as much excitement as 8 or 10 would. just give me the 12z gfs or the last Ai run Picky picky. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 17 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Events have trended drier nearly every time this winter. The Ukie, at this range, would seem more reasonable. last night trended pretty wet 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 3 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: last night trended pretty wet Saturday is looking wetter too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 12 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: Arctic blocking going insane on the GEFS Pretty up top, but I want to see that SER beat down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 14 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: Arctic blocking going insane on the GEFS Much better than yesterday. Further south. Game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 Euro stuck at 63. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 It appears next week is when deep winter returns 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 CMC ens look good. 24 hour mean is 3-4” for the area, looks a lot like the gefs. Definitely more modest than the output from a few days ago but I’m just glad to not see it go north. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2025 Author Share Posted February 6, 2025 Nothing going on yet on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 15 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: last night trended pretty wet TMI 1 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2025 Author Share Posted February 6, 2025 Approaching at 123...not as cold as the GFS so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2025 Author Share Posted February 6, 2025 Somebody can check the therms, but 850 zero line well south...surface is along the fall line tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 1 minute ago, catoctin wx said: TMI I have taught you well, call me professor please. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2025 Author Share Posted February 6, 2025 Moderate precip...but thermals are shaky...850 still south of us, but north of RIC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 Just now, stormtracker said: Somebody can check the therms, but 850 zero line well south...surface is along the fall line tho the 850 is the main thing. The surface will be fine once it starts precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2025 Author Share Posted February 6, 2025 Precip is plentiful...just the fucking thermals...850 close to DC...32 right on top. We lose them both by 135... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 Kuchera is 4-6”. Pretty similar to 6z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2025 Author Share Posted February 6, 2025 looks like a 4-7 deal 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 Just now, stormtracker said: looks like a 4-7 deal Next 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2025 Author Share Posted February 6, 2025 I think our realistic max is 10"...and that might be tough 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 Just now, winter_warlock said: 4 to 6 isn't plentiful lol Like @stormtracker said, it gets kind of warm. Precip isn’t bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 6, 2025 Share Posted February 6, 2025 Just now, winter_warlock said: That brought everyone back down to earth lol Not me! I'm pumped lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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