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Rocktober Obs/DISCO


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15 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Amazing how far ahead trees are. All species. 2+ weeks ahead at least 

Near peak here, maybe a week early.  A bit of reds, too, as the trees near the house usually are all yellows.

Despite last month being way BN for rain, the year is still 6.5" AN.

Edit:  Looks like we finally get a frost next week, about 3 weeks later than average.

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20 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Near peak here, maybe a week early.  A bit of reds, too, as the trees near the house usually are all yellows.

Despite last month being way BN for rain, the year is still 6.5" AN.

Edit:  Looks like we finally get a frost next week, about 3 weeks later than average.

The only reds I see in my area are from Sumac, everything else is yellow and brownish yellow.

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2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

That October 4th snowstorm….  I was only a few years old but have a couple photos of my sister and I in the Albany suburbs playing in the snow in the road while almost every tree branch is on the ground.

IMG_0865.thumb.jpeg.14ac0ab58b39006d7ac83aff2aba3852.jpeg

Only rain in Gardiner where we then were living.  In 12 Octobers the only measurable events were 1.8" on 8-9, 1988 and 0.5" on 31, 1993.  I do recall seeing 1987 tree damage in Dutchess County NY as we drove south for Thanksgiving with family.

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3 hours ago, powderfreak said:

That October 4th snowstorm….  I was only a few years old but have a couple photos of my sister and I in the Albany suburbs playing in the snow in the road while almost every tree branch is on the ground.

IMG_0865.thumb.jpeg.14ac0ab58b39006d7ac83aff2aba3852.jpeg

interesting ...

it would be about 14 years again until a real october snow either would or chance take place in the general ne ... and since, about 1/2 the years in the last 22 of them have carried that as an at minimum threat if not realization.

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3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

We had peeps last week saying no frost til December in SNE.  I threw out a bet, challenging that,  but had no takers.  

Looks like 30's for a few nights, Hubby and Pete down there will see some frost, Next week here, Probably some freezes up north too.

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still thinking frost or near frost mid week, but we may regress back to a warm up thereafter ...

it's difficult with conflicting upstream signals but the wpo/epo is warm mid month and the ao/nao are creeping positive... yet the pna is stubbornly positive.   not sure how that's going force the dailies - the wave lengths aren't quite long yet. 

it's interesting that we're seeing those cold meanders though. 

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3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

still thinking frost or near frost mid week, but we may regress back to a warm up thereafter ...

it's difficult with conflicting upstream signals but the wpo/epo is warm mid month and the ao/nao are creeping positive... yet the pna is stubbornly positive.   not sure how that's going force the dailies - the wave lengths aren't quite long yet. 

it's interesting that we're seeing those cold meanders though. 

And yet still no rain in sight . 384 hours on GFS of bore 

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