dendrite Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 lol Gfs has 3” QPF a little east of here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 SME into SNH has some 30 burgers being dumped in there on the 12z goofus on the clowns. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 12z GFS looks similar to 6z. SE NH crusher into adjacent Maine. Ray slapped too. Its a hair south of/colder than 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 1 minute ago, dryslot said: SME into SNH has some 30 burgers being dumped in there on the 12z goofus on the clowns. Even if that is sliced in half it is still copious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Even if that is sliced in half it is still copious There would be at least some 1-2"/hr rates in there or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Huh? Text you read Sun. I already did this is more about Kev Hunch Ray. I still am thinking you do 4 to 6 Hunchie foot Ray 6 Please remove my location from this discussion. Couple inches of rain, gusts to 55 tomorrow night and some sleet pellets mixed in. Iron clad 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Depth change still really meh til you hit CON outside of elevated Monads/Berks/N ORH. Tough one... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 5 minutes ago, DomNH said: Dries out the DGZ really quickly Thursday morning like the NAM, but that's a pounding from like 03z to 12z. The timing of this actually reminds me of Jan 7th....it was insane, like 2"/hr from midnight through like 7AM. Glad the heavy band comes through at night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 If there is one thing i can say, The GFS has held its ground on this threat over several days of run cycles so its either going to sink or swim with this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 GFS for MBY 19" 10:1 15" on Kutchera 3.5" PDC 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Coastal areas are going to get rocked by wind and even into the interior. Low-level lapse rates are quite steep. I wonder if coastal Maine/New Hampshire could gusts 70-80 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Just now, weatherwiz said: Coastal areas are going to get rocked by wind and even into the interior. Low-level lapse rates are quite steep. I wonder if coastal Maine/New Hampshire could gusts 70-80 mph. You should run naked and free up and down Hampton Beach 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: You should run naked and free up and down Hampton Beach He would draw a lot more attention in Ogunquit if he did. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You should run naked and free up and down Hampton Beach been there, done that 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Looking at LWM, they drop blow 0C at 950 mb like Wednesday afternoon and stay there for the duration. Now the models all have it mixing thanks to some 700 mb warm air initially, but by midnight-ish Wednesday night the whole column is cold enough for snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 12Z GFS was run from my basement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Cmc nw of 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Hope CMP has called in the calvary. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: GFS for MBY 19" 10:1 15" on Kutchera 3.5" PDC PDC is always the floor. If you’re flirting with 32.5-33 with +rates tack on accordingly. I should be cold enough up here so I’m tossing it altogether. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Extreme Forecast Index looking tasty from the overnight runs. QPF is pretty meh on this product, but that makes sense because 2"+ QPF in April is not unheard of. Plowable snow in April is much more rare, and so we're getting pretty uniform high EFI numbers. Most anomalous near the coast, where you wouldn't expect much April accumulation normally. The Shift of Tails black lines show your forecast potential, the highest of the high end members. A value of 2 is pretty good, and shows the biggest boom potential is just north of that mid level warm front. Congrats Dendrite? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: He would draw a lot more attention in Ogunquit if he did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 42 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Because I enjoy having a couple of hours to myself with no kids or wife...only time I can get that....and I have always been a night owl...its peaceful. Amen, brotha!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Please remove my location from this discussion. Couple inches of rain, gusts to 55 tomorrow night and some sleet pellets mixed in. Iron clad One more tick south and you will join the sleet party .. congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 lol @ clown maps the one 40/70 posted seems to be the most plausible with the amount of sleet we're getting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 17 minutes ago, ma blizzard said: One more tick south and you will join the sleet party .. congrats When pigs fly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 26 minutes ago, dryslot said: Hope CMP has called in the calvary. I do wonder if the warm tongue aloft creates alot of rimed flakes atleast Wed night. Hopefully helps mitigate some of the tree accumulation. Somewhere will have issues though eventually. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 39 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Looking at LWM, they drop blow 0C at 950 mb like Wednesday afternoon and stay there for the duration. Now the models all have it mixing thanks to some 700 mb warm air initially, but by midnight-ish Wednesday night the whole column is cold enough for snow. Maybe several inches here about 5mi or so N of KLWM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 13 minutes ago, subdude said: lol @ clown maps the one 40/70 posted seems to be the most plausible with the amount of sleet we're getting. The GFS positive depth change is kinda eye opening to me.. you still in G-Vegas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Just now, wx2fish said: I do wonder if the warm tongue aloft creates alot of rimed flakes atleast Wed night. Hopefully helps mitigate some of the tree accumulation. Somewhere will have issues though eventually. It was looking earlier that the bulk was going to fall in the overnight weds into thurs am early, Now it looks delayed with a later start 6-9z here thurs if using the GFS, So it may start off as more fluff then transition to lower ratio snow as thursday progresses, But then we have the wind factor here in the coastal plain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 The best use the snow maps will be for this storm is printing out thousands and thousands of copies and using the paper to help keep wood stoves and fire pits going with the mass power outages coming to those up north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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