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Following a Miller A/B hybrid type coastal potential, Feb 13th ... As yet untapped potential and a higher ceiling with this one


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The EURO control is replacing the current EURO as the new operational later this year I believe.. So I've been looking at that as well. The control is always very close to the current OP especially inside day 6-7.. Since 18z op only went out to 90 here's what the control had at 18z for the rest of the storm. 

 

image.thumb.png.5142436d63c2a5e3287068385eec1a40.png

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7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Oh, you are such a martyr....I'm sure it has nothing to do with the fact that it would put you in the jackpot :lol:

Yeah if metfan can squeeze an advisory snowfall out of this then that bodes extremely well for the SW CT crew. 

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7 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Lets get Kevins mega band from SWCT to CT to RAY and many people are happy 

Yeah if we can get a little bit of partial phasing late in the game that a few of these solutions have shown, it will help tilt that best fronto band a bit more NE to SW instead of ENE to WSW. That would likely get a larger portion of SNE into the max snowfall zone. 

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6 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

I hearby sacrifice a north trend for the mental health of so many.

i know, very selfless.

Pretty realistic assessment from GYX this evening for our areas. 

 

The storm system we have been watching for Tuesday took a
northward jog on the latest models runs, and show a significant
snowfall for southern areas. While a change of one run wouldn`t
normally justify a significant change in thinking for a
forecast, we were watching for this northward trend to appear on
this run. Although lacking any hard numbers to back it up,
recent memory serves as a reminder that these west to east
storms have trended northward beginning around the day 4
timeframe. The expectation is that the model and ensemble runs
would continue to trend a little farther north over the next few
runs. We`ll watch for this trend to continue, and adjust
accordingly if it does not, but POPs were brought up much higher
than NBM with this forecast for Tuesday in anticipation of a
continued trend. While still too early to discuss specific
amounts, there is certainly the potential for warning level
snowfall across at least southern areas for late Monday night
and Tuesday with this system. There is also a strong consensus
that this system will have a sharp northern edge, with snowfall
amounts quickly dropping off on the northern edge somewhere in
our CWA. Where this edge ends up will be a difficult forecast
challenge that we will work to resolve over the next few days.
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I checked the models this afternoon and told my family to stock up on groceries and prepare for the blizzard coming on Tuesday. 980s mb low passing inside the benchmark, I’m all in.

Even the dang Nemo blizzard wasn’t days to get out and we had 3 feet! Yes some were stuck for tops 2 days but nothing horrible lol


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